Duke
Atlantic Coast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank vs Preseason
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +23.9 1 92%
INCC Stats Results Rating -0.6 255 0%
Consistency 0.00 1
Pace 64.8 292
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A+ 2 B+ A+ C+ B+ A
Defense A+ 1 A A A- A A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 13 A- 65% 23 +8.7 3
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 358 C+ 37% 131 -4.4 355
Three Pointers 46% 91 C- 31% 256 +1.1 133
Selection / Accuracy A +2.3 4 B +3.1 72
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.09 33
Second Chance A 40.9% 5 A 1.25 7 A+ 0.51 2
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 165
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 138
Turnovers C+ 17.1% 139
Freethrows B 0.35 54 B 72% 65 B+ 0.25 36
Total Offense A+ +12.6 2

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 59% 55 C+ 10.7% 151
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 29% 140 B 2.9% 38
Three Pointers B 94% 54 B+ 0.2% 19
Total B+ 68% 35 C+ 5.3% 133


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 348 A- 48% 20 -7.2 11
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 48 C+ 34% 104 +1.2 285
Three Pointers 45% 69 A- 28% 18 -1.3 115
Selection / Accuracy A- -1.3 25 A -6.2 9
1st FG Attempt A 0.84 9
Second Chance A- 23.6% 13 A- 0.83 12 A 0.20 5
Turnovers from Steals A 13.5% 8
Other Turnovers C 7.9% 177
Turnovers A- 21.4% 16
Freethrows A 0.21 3 C 69% 172 A 0.14 5
Total Defense A+ +11.2 1

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 48% 122 B- 13.5% 88
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 28% 208 B 7.4% 61
Three Pointers B 80% 42 A 2.3% 18
Total C+ 54% 104 B- 7.0% 81

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.4 33 19.8 365
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 30 0.14 63
Consistency 0.00 1 0.00 1

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Likely In (99%)
Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 21 - 13 26 - 8 31 - 4
Predictive Rating Rank 18 4 1
Results Rating Rank 47 16 3
Conference Record 10 - 8 13 - 5 17 - 1
Conference Finish 7 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 9 3 1
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round Sweet 16 Champion

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 5% 5% 0%
#1 Seed 18% 18% 0%
Top 2 Seed 48% 48% 0%
Top 4 Seed 74% 74% 0%
Top 6 Seed 89% 89% 0%
Opening Round Bye 98% 98% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99% 99% 100%
At-Large Status Likely In Likely In Lock
At-Large Bid 99% 99% 100%
Average Seed 3.4 3.4 9.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conf 99% 99% 0%
Conference Champion 45% 45% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Opening Round2% 2% 0%
First Round99% 99% 100%
Second Round87% 87% 100%
Sweet Sixteen57% 57% 100%
Elite Eight36% 36% 100%
Final Four21% 21% 100%
Championship Game10% 10% 100%
National Champion7% 7% 100%
Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Home) - 100% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance		 Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
34 - 1 33 - 1 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
33 - 2 32 - 2 1% 100% 1 Auto Bid
32 - 3 31 - 3 2% 99% 100% 1 Lock
31 - 4 30 - 4 4% 97% 100% 1 Lock
30 - 5 29 - 5 6% 92% 100% 1 Lock
29 - 6 28 - 6 11% 86% 100% 2 Lock
28 - 7 27 - 7 11% 75% 100% 2 Lock
27 - 7 26 - 7 13% 64% 100% 3 Lock
26 - 8 25 - 8 10% 50% 100% 3 Lock
25 - 9 24 - 9 13% 40% 100% 4 Lock
24 - 10 23 - 10 11% 27% 100% 5 Lock
23 - 11 22 - 11 6% 17% 100% 6 Lock
22 - 12 21 - 12 4% 11% 100% 6 Lock
21 - 13 20 - 13 4% 7% 100% 8 Lock
20 - 13 19 - 13 1% 3% 100% 9 Lock
19 - 15 18 - 15 2% 2% 75% 10 Bubble - In
18 - 16 17 - 16 0% 0% Negligible
17 - 18 16 - 18 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 55 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 29 - 6
Quad 28 - 117 - 8
Quad 34 - 021 - 8
Quad 45 - 026 - 8


Stat Type Preseason Current
Predictive Rank 1 1
Results Rank 255
Projected Overall Record 26 - 8 26 - 8
Projected Conference Record 14 - 4 13 - 5
Conference Champion 43% 45%
Conference Finish 2 2
NCAA Tournament Seed 1 2
Opening Round Bye 99% 98%
At-Large Tourney Chance 98% 99%
At Large Status Likely In Likely In



Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 2 335 Army W 84 - 50 100% +18  100% 1 - 0 A +20 C+ +2 C- A+ D A+ +18 A C+ A+
Thu, Nov 5 250 Coastal Carolina W 86 - 54 100%
Tue, Nov 10 7 Michigan St. W 71 - 66 68%
Fri, Nov 13 273 SIU Edwardsville W 81 - 48 99%
Tue, Nov 17 3 Illinois W 75 - 70 63%
Sat, Nov 21 165 Washington St. W 83 - 58 98%
Wed, Nov 25 5 Connecticut W 68 - 64 57%
Tue, Dec 1 2 Florida L 72 - 75 46%
Fri, Dec 4 126 Harvard W 77 - 52 98%
Tue, Dec 8 43 Georgia W 82 - 70 81%
Tue, Dec 15 247 Campbell W 89 - 57 99%
Thu, Dec 17 320 Grambling St. W 88 - 52 100%
Mon, Dec 21 11 Texas Tech W 73 - 67 62%
Wed, Dec 30 104 Georgia Tech W 81 - 65 86% ✓
Sat, Jan 2 90 California W 80 - 60 91% ✓
Tue, Jan 5 70 Syracuse W 76 - 64 76% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 73 Pittsburgh W 79 - 60 88% ✓
Wed, Jan 13 74 Stanford W 79 - 60 86% ✓
Sat, Jan 16 105 Boston College W 77 - 61 86% ✓
Wed, Jan 20 94 Wake Forest W 77 - 63 76% ✓
Sat, Jan 23 75 Notre Dame W 78 - 59 90% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 52 Clemson W 72 - 62 62% ✓
Mon, Feb 1 19 Miami (FL) W 76 - 66 75% ✓
Sat, Feb 6 12 Virginia W 72 - 69 43% ✓
Tue, Feb 9 63 SMU W 78 - 67 69% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 46 North Carolina W 78 - 63 80% ✓
Tue, Feb 16 56 Florida St. W 82 - 66 83% ✓
Sat, Feb 20 9 Gonzaga W 76 - 70 58%
Wed, Feb 24 13 Louisville W 75 - 71 46% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 50 North Carolina St. W 82 - 66 80% ✓
Mon, Mar 1 12 Virginia W 75 - 66 69% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 46 North Carolina W 75 - 66 56% ✓
Totals 26 - 8 13 - 5 +24 A+ +13 C B A A+ +11 C- B B+
Stat History After Each Game

Date Opponent Result Stats Rank Projected Record Chances Predicted At-Large Status
Predictive Results Overall Conf Opening Bye Conf
Champ		 NCAA
Seed		 Conf
Finish
Preseason 1 26 - 8 14 - 4 99% 43% 1 2 Likely In 98%
Mon, Nov 2 335 Army W 84 - 50 1 268 27 - 8 14 - 4 98% 48% 2 2 Likely In 99%
Current 1 255 26 - 8 13 - 5 98% 45% 2 2 Likely In 99%






NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid		 Auto At-Large Avg
Seed		 At-Large
Selection Chances		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
34 - 1 33 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
33 - 2 32 - 2 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 1
32 - 3 31 - 3 2% 99% 100% 82% 100% 1 Lock 2
31 - 4 30 - 4 4% 97% 100% 77% 100% 1 Lock 4
30 - 5 29 - 5 6% 92% 100% 72% 100% 1 Lock 4 2
29 - 6 28 - 6 11% 86% 100% 39% 100% 2 Lock 5 5 1
28 - 7 27 - 7 11% 75% 100% 35% 100% 2 Lock 1 7 3
27 - 7 26 - 7 13% 64% 100% 37% 100% 3 Lock 8 4 1
26 - 8 25 - 8 10% 50% 100% 16% 100% 3 Lock 4 2 2 1
25 - 9 24 - 9 13% 40% 100% 15% 100% 4 Lock 3 3 3 2 1
24 - 10 23 - 10 11% 27% 100% 11% 100% 5 Lock 1 1 3 3 1 1
23 - 11 22 - 11 6% 17% 100% 100% 6 Lock 1 2 1 1
22 - 12 21 - 12 4% 11% 100% 5% 100% 6 Lock 2 1
21 - 13 20 - 13 4% 7% 100% 100% 8 Lock 0 1 1 1 1 0
20 - 13 19 - 13 1% 3% 100% 100% 9 Lock 0 0 0 0 0
19 - 14 18 - 14 2% 2% 75% 75% 10 Bubble - In 0 0 1 0
18 - 16 17 - 16 0% 0% Negligible 0
17 - 18 16 - 18 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 99% 29% 99% 3 Likely In 18 30 15 11 9 6 4 2 2 2 1 1


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed		 At-Large
Selection Chances		 Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
34 - 1 33 - 1 18 - 1 0% 100% Auto Bid 1 1 1 16 - 1 10 - 0 4 - 0 6 - 0
33 - 2 32 - 2 17 - 1 1% 100% Auto Bid 1 1 1 15 - 2 8 - 0 5 - 0 5 - 0
32 - 3 31 - 3 16 - 2 2% 99% 100% 100% 1 Lock 1 3 1 13 - 2 10 - 1 3 - 0 5 - 0
31 - 4 30 - 4 16 - 2 4% 97% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 4 2 13 - 4 9 - 0 4 - 0 5 - 0
30 - 5 29 - 5 16 - 2 6% 92% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 5 3 12 - 4 9 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
29 - 6 28 - 6 15 - 3 11% 86% 100% 100% 2 Lock 2 7 4 11 - 5 8 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
28 - 7 27 - 7 14 - 4 11% 75% 100% 100% 2 Lock 3 10 5 10 - 5 8 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
27 - 7 26 - 7 14 - 4 13% 64% 100% 100% 3 Lock 4 14 8 10 - 6 8 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
26 - 8 25 - 8 13 - 5 10% 50% 100% 100% 3 Lock 6 18 10 9 - 6 8 - 2 4 - 0 6 - 0
25 - 9 24 - 9 13 - 5 13% 40% 100% 100% 4 Lock 7 21 13 8 - 7 7 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
24 - 10 23 - 10 12 - 6 11% 27% 100% 100% 5 Lock 8 27 16 8 - 8 6 - 2 4 - 0 5 - 0
23 - 11 22 - 11 12 - 6 6% 17% 100% 100% 6 Lock 12 32 20 6 - 8 7 - 2 4 - 0 5 - 0
22 - 12 21 - 12 11 - 7 4% 11% 100% 100% 6 Lock 12 40 23 6 - 9 7 - 3 4 - 0 5 - 0
21 - 13 20 - 13 10 - 8 4% 7% 100% 79% 8 Lock 16 46 29 6 - 10 6 - 3 4 - 0 5 - 0
20 - 13 19 - 13 11 - 7 1% 3% 100% 71% 9 Lock 19 48 31 5 - 10 6 - 3 4 - 0 6 - 0
19 - 14 18 - 14 10 - 9 2% 2% 75% 33% 10 Bubble - In 23 59 37 5 - 10 5 - 4 3 - 1 5 - 0
18 - 16 17 - 16 8 - 10 0% 0% Negligible 30 74 46 3 - 13 4 - 3 4 - 0 7 - 0
17 - 18 16 - 18 7 - 11 0% 0% Negligible 46 74 57 3 - 13 5 - 5 4 - 0 5 - 0
Total 13 - 5 100% 99% 97% 3 Likely In 6 19 11 9 - 6 8 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 1
17-1 5% 99% 100% 96% 4% 5 5
16-2 10% 95% 96% 81% 15% 9 0 10
15-3 16% 85% 93% 66% 26% 1% 15 1 16
14-4 18% 69% 61% 38% 18% 4% 11 6 1 18
13-5 21% 50% 20% 3% 9% 6% 2% 4 9 6 2 21
12-6 12% 29% 2% 0 2 3 5 2 0 12
11-7 8% 17% 0 0 2 3 1 1 8
10-8 6% 9% 1 2 2 1 0 0 6
9-9 2% 3% 0 1 0 1 2
8-10 1% 1% 1 0 1
7-11 0% 0% 0 0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 45% 31% 11% 2% 1% 45 19 10 10 6 4 3 1 1 1 0 0 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A+ A- C+ C- B 46% 16% 46% A B+ A A A+ C+ B B B+ A+ A- C+ A- A 30% 25% 45% A- A A- A- A A- A C A
1.27 65% 37% 31% +3 +2 1.09 41% 1.2 .51 17% .35 72% .25 0.93 48% 34% 28% -6 -1 0.84 24% 0.8 .20 21% .21 69% .24
Nov
2		 Army C+ A F F D- 52% 6% 42% A+ C- A+ A+ A+ D A A+ A+ A+ A D- A A- 25% 17% 58% A- A C C+ C+ A+ B+ C B+
1.19 69% 0% 19% -4 +3 0.96 44% 1.4 .63 18% .45 85% .38 0.71 42% 38% 25% -10 -1 0.77 30% 0.9 .27 34% .19 67% .13
Nov
5		 Coastal Car. 1.29 60% 51% 35% +6 44% 15% 41% +1 1.11 40% 1.3 .52 11% .37 77% .29 0.81 37% 36% 27% -8 22% 32% 46% -3 0.77 21% 1.6 .16 21% .16 69% .11
13-22 4-7 7-20 11 rb 14 pt 7 to 20-26 4-10 6-16 6-22 7 rb 6 pt 14 to 7-9
Nov
10		 Mich St. 1.09 61% 32% 30% +1 41% 9% 50% +2 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 17% .31 72% .22 1.02 61% 37% 31% +1 32% 27% 41% -1 0.97 34% 1.0 .34 21% .26 71% .19
12-19 1-4 7-23 9 rb 10 pt 11 to 14-20 9-14 5-12 6-18 10 rb 10 pt 14 to 11-16
Nov
13		 SIUE 1.28 66% 54% 33% +6 42% 10% 48% +2 1.13 45% 1.2 .56 15% .36 77% .28 0.76 39% 31% 27% -10 25% 34% 41% -3 0.74 20% 1.9 .16 23% .16 57% .09
12-19 2-4 7-21 11 rb 14 pt 10 to 19-24 4-12 5-15 5-19 7 rb 5 pt 15 to 5-9
Nov
17		 Illinois 1.13 66% 37% 28% 0 35% 16% 48% 0 0.99 33% 1.4 .44 13% .21 76% .16 1.05 58% 31% 29% -3 28% 15% 57% 0 0.92 37% 1.0 .41 17% .19 70% .13
12-19 3-9 7-25 10 rb 14 pt 8 to 11-15 8-14 2-8 8-28 12 rb 14 pt 11 to 9-13
Nov
21		 WA St. 1.24 64% 55% 36% +8 45% 12% 43% +2 1.17 38% 1.3 .49 16% .32 75% .24 0.87 53% 33% 30% -3 29% 22% 49% -1 0.90 24% 1.6 .16 22% .16 72% .11
14-22 3-6 7-21 10 rb 13 pt 10 to 16-21 7-14 3-11 7-24 7 rb 5 pt 15 to 7-9
Nov
25		 Uconn 1.07 55% 33% 29% -3 44% 13% 42% +1 0.94 35% 1.2 .44 19% .40 73% .29 1.01 62% 42% 31% +2 33% 17% 49% 0 1.01 29% 1.3 .26 20% .22 70% .15
10-19 2-6 5-18 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 18-25 10-15 3-8 7-23 8 rb 7 pt 13 to 9-13
Dec
1		 Florida 1.04 53% 34% 29% -4 43% 19% 39% +1 0.91 32% 1.1 .35 17% .33 73% .24 1.08 64% 36% 30% +1 35% 19% 46% 0 1.00 38% 0.9 .38 19% .29 69% .20
11-21 3-9 5-19 10 rb 11 pt 12 to 17-23 11-17 3-9 7-22 11 rb 11 pt 13 to 14-20
Dec
4		 Harvard 1.24 64% 59% 31% +5 52% 6% 42% +3 1.13 41% 1.3 .55 15% .30 77% .23 0.84 49% 36% 30% -3 30% 24% 46% -1 0.89 20% 2.0 .13 23% .14 85% .12
15-23 2-3 6-19 10 rb 13 pt 10 to 14-19 7-13 4-11 6-21 6 rb 4 pt 15 to 6-8
Dec
8		 Georgia 1.15 60% 44% 34% +4 50% 7% 43% +3 1.10 43% 1.1 .46 20% .28 76% .21 0.99 58% 36% 28% -2 34% 17% 49% 0 0.94 28% 1.6 .27 18% .24 74% .18
15-25 2-3 7-21 12 rb 13 pt 14 to 15-19 10-17 3-9 7-25 9 rb 9 pt 13 to 12-17
Dec
15		 Campbell 1.29 73% 40% 35% +11 52% 11% 37% +2 1.23 43% 1.3 .58 17% .34 76% .26 0.83 45% 33% 24% -10 38% 21% 41% 0 0.78 27% 1.5 .19 21% .24 68% .16
18-25 2-5 6-18 10 rb 14 pt 12 to 18-23 8-18 3-10 5-20 9 rb 7 pt 15 to 10-15
Dec
17		 Grambling 1.32 70% 41% 37% +10 48% 5% 47% +3 1.23 45% 1.3 .59 17% .37 77% .29 0.78 47% 31% 25% -9 32% 28% 40% -1 0.78 19% 2.1 .14 24% .24 67% .16
15-22 1-2 8-22 11 rb 14 pt 11 to 19-25 7-14 4-13 5-18 6 rb 5 pt 16 to 9-13
Dec
21		 Texas Tech 1.13 69% 42% 29% +4 36% 18% 45% 0 1.05 38% 1.2 .45 19% .31 71% .22 1.03 61% 43% 34% +4 24% 23% 53% -1 1.03 27% 1.4 .24 19% .20 69% .14
11-16 3-8 6-20 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 14-20 7-12 5-11 9-25 8 rb 7 pt 12 to 8-12
Dec
30		 GA Tech 1.17 63% 27% 31% +1 42% 10% 48% +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .49 15% .35 71% .25 0.93 56% 39% 30% -1 31% 28% 41% -1 0.93 30% 1.4 .26 23% .19 73% .14
13-20 1-5 7-24 12 rb 15 pt 11 to 18-25 9-15 5-14 6-20 9 rb 8 pt 16 to 9-12
Jan
2		 California 1.20 64% 47% 30% +3 46% 7% 47% +2 1.08 40% 1.3 .51 16% .35 70% .24 0.90 49% 34% 31% -3 26% 28% 47% -2 0.88 20% 2.2 .16 19% .23 74% .17
14-22 2-3 7-22 11 rb 14 pt 11 to 17-24 6-12 5-13 7-23 6 rb 5 pt 13 to 10-14
Jan
5		 Syracuse 1.14 61% 25% 30% 0 49% 10% 41% +2 1.01 41% 1.3 .53 19% .31 72% .23 0.95 56% 34% 29% -2 31% 25% 44% -1 0.91 26% 1.8 .23 18% .24 64% .15
14-22 1-5 6-19 12 rb 15 pt 12 to 15-21 8-15 4-12 6-21 8 rb 7 pt 12 to 10-15
Jan
9		 Pitt 1.19 66% 43% 34% +6 45% 8% 47% +2 1.14 37% 1.2 .46 18% .32 79% .25 0.91 49% 33% 30% -4 27% 25% 48% -1 0.87 28% 1.2 .24 21% .20 64% .13
14-20 2-4 7-22 9 rb 12 pt 12 to 16-20 6-13 4-12 7-23 9 rb 8 pt 14 to 8-12
Jan
13		 Stanford 1.19 63% 45% 29% +3 49% 13% 38% +2 1.07 42% 1.3 .53 18% .38 78% .30 0.91 53% 31% 28% -5 37% 15% 47% +1 0.89 25% 1.7 .22 20% .21 69% .15
14-22 3-6 5-17 11 rb 14 pt 12 to 20-25 9-18 2-7 6-22 8 rb 7 pt 13 to 9-13
Jan
16		 Boston Col 1.18 63% 33% 30% +2 47% 11% 41% +2 1.04 40% 1.2 .46 15% .34 74% .25 0.93 53% 38% 28% -3 27% 27% 46% -2 0.88 25% 1.6 .23 20% .20 69% .14
14-22 2-5 6-19 11 rb 13 pt 10 to 17-23 7-13 5-13 6-22 8 rb 7 pt 13 to 8-12
Jan
20		 Wake Forest 1.15 62% 37% 30% +1 41% 7% 52% +2 1.03 42% 1.2 .50 19% .33 73% .24 0.94 55% 42% 29% -2 31% 21% 48% 0 0.93 24% 2.1 .21 20% .23 72% .16
12-19 1-3 7-24 12 rb 14 pt 13 to 16-22 8-15 4-10 7-23 8 rb 6 pt 13 to 10-14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
23		 Notre Dame 1.19 68% 51% 31% +5 37% 9% 54% +2 1.10 37% 1.3 .49 18% .34 77% .27 0.91 50% 30% 31% -5 25% 27% 48% -2 0.85 27% 1.3 .21 20% .24 67% .16
11-17 2-4 8-24 10 rb 13 pt 12 to 17-22 6-11 4-12 7-22 9 rb 7 pt 13 to 10-14
Jan
30		 Clemson 1.14 67% 24% 30% +2 44% 10% 46% +2 1.04 35% 1.2 .42 17% .30 80% .24 0.98 54% 39% 31% 0 33% 19% 48% 0 0.96 21% 1.7 .17 18% .29 73% .21
13-20 1-5 6-21 9 rb 11 pt 11 to 15-19 8-15 3-9 7-22 6 rb 5 pt 11 to 12-17
Feb
1		 Miami FL 1.14 65% 26% 35% +4 39% 14% 47% +1 1.07 33% 1.4 .46 19% .33 70% .23 0.99 55% 38% 28% -2 39% 25% 36% -1 0.92 32% 1.2 .32 20% .26 68% .18
12-18 2-7 8-22 9 rb 13 pt 12 to 15-21 10-18 4-12 5-17 10 rb 10 pt 13 to 11-17
Feb
6		 Virginia 1.08 59% 37% 29% -1 41% 16% 43% +1 0.98 36% 1.1 .41 18% .29 78% .23 1.03 56% 42% 33% +1 32% 17% 52% 0 1.00 32% 1.2 .32 20% .19 75% .15
12-20 3-7 6-20 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 15-19 9-15 3-8 8-25 10 rb 9 pt 13 to 9-12
Feb
9		 SMU 1.15 62% 38% 31% +2 40% 11% 50% +2 1.04 40% 1.3 .52 19% .30 74% .22 0.98 57% 41% 33% +3 30% 29% 41% -2 0.99 30% 1.7 .24 21% .24 74% .18
12-19 2-5 7-23 11 rb 15 pt 13 to 15-20 8-14 6-14 6-19 9 rb 7 pt 14 to 11-15
Feb
13		 UNC 1.17 59% 31% 34% +2 42% 15% 43% +1 1.03 37% 1.2 .44 14% .27 78% .21 0.94 56% 31% 29% -4 31% 21% 48% 0 0.89 24% 1.6 .22 18% .27 64% .17
12-21 2-8 7-22 11 rb 13 pt 9 to 15-19 8-15 3-10 7-23 8 rb 7 pt 12 to 11-17
Feb
16		 FL St. 1.17 67% 38% 34% +6 37% 11% 51% +1 1.11 41% 1.2 .47 19% .31 74% .23 0.94 52% 32% 27% -6 32% 17% 51% 0 0.86 26% 1.5 .26 18% .22 66% .15
12-18 2-5 8-25 11 rb 13 pt 13 to 16-21 9-16 3-9 7-26 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 10-15
Feb
20		 Gonzaga 1.12 67% 42% 28% +2 39% 14% 46% +1 1.04 35% 1.1 .39 19% .33 76% .25 1.03 66% 37% 29% +2 32% 32% 36% -2 0.98 30% 1.3 .31 18% .25 74% .18
12-18 3-7 6-22 10 rb 11 pt 13 to 16-22 10-16 6-16 5-18 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 12-16
Feb
24		 Louisville 1.08 65% 19% 29% -1 40% 14% 46% +1 0.98 37% 1.3 .46 20% .31 69% .22 1.03 66% 41% 32% +4 31% 13% 56% +1 1.05 30% 1.4 .23 20% .21 73% .15
12-19 1-6 6-22 11 rb 14 pt 13 to 14-21 10-15 3-7 9-28 9 rb 7 pt 14 to 10-13
Feb
27		 NC St. 1.20 65% 68% 32% +6 43% 6% 51% +2 1.14 39% 1.1 .45 18% .30 75% .22 0.97 54% 29% 33% -1 31% 19% 50% 0 0.95 23% 1.8 .22 18% .22 71% .16
13-21 2-3 8-25 11 rb 12 pt 12 to 15-20 9-16 3-9 8-25 7 rb 7 pt 12 to 10-14
Mar
1		 Virginia 1.13 61% 41% 30% +2 41% 16% 43% +1 1.02 37% 1.2 .43 17% .29 81% .23 0.99 53% 39% 31% -1 32% 17% 52% 0 0.95 31% 1.2 .29 20% .19 72% .14
12-20 3-8 6-20 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 15-19 8-15 3-8 8-25 10 rb 9 pt 14 to 9-12
Mar
6		 UNC 1.12 57% 27% 33% 0 42% 15% 43% +1 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 14% .27 75% .21 0.99 58% 34% 30% -1 31% 21% 48% 0 0.94 25% 1.6 .24 18% .27 66% .18
12-21 2-8 7-21 11 rb 13 pt 10 to 14-19 9-15 3-10 7-23 8 rb 8 pt 12 to 12-17