Northeast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
LIU Brooklyn 38%   16   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.2 253 D+ -4 286 C- -1 196 -7 317 0 1
Mercyhurst 0%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -8.4 308 D -5 306 D+ -4 291 +4 99 0 1
Le Moyne 10%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -9.8 324 D -5 311 D -5 327 +6 79 0 1
Central Connecticut St. 10%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -10.1 327 D- -7 349 D+ -3 265 -8 319 0 1
Fairleigh Dickinson 10%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.1 340 D- -7 344 D -4 321 +12 21 0 1
Wagner 14%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.3 343 D- -8 356 D -4 298 -6 310 0 1
New Haven 0%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.8 346 D- -8 355 D -4 310 -1 271 0 1
Chicago St. 8%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.9 349 D- -7 345 D- -5 336 +8 53 0 1
Stonehill 10%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.1 350 D- -8 353 D -5 324 0 159 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 340 Fairleigh Dickinson 45 3 Illinois 120   
Mon, Nov 2 349 Chicago St. 59 10 Texas 109   
Mon, Nov 2 324 Le Moyne 64 23 Nebraska 106   
Mon, Nov 2 31 Marquette 78 308 Mercyhurst 43   
Mon, Nov 2 346 New Haven 58 70 Syracuse 74   
Mon, Nov 2 117 Florida Atlantic 74 253 LIU Brooklyn 60   
Mon, Nov 2 327 Central Connecticut St. 56 123 Temple 68   
Tue, Nov 3 105 Boston College 76 343 Wagner 50   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Wed, Nov 4 91 Butler 82 340 Fairleigh Dickinson 61 96%   
Thu, Nov 5 253 LIU Brooklyn 58 72 Seton Hall 74 93%   
Thu, Nov 5 45 Creighton 87 324 Le Moyne 63 98%   
Thu, Nov 5 308 Mercyhurst 57 75 Notre Dame 76 95%   
Thu, Nov 5 327 Central Connecticut St. 55 70 Syracuse 77 97%   
Thu, Nov 5 124 Fordham 77 350 Stonehill 59 94%   
Thu, Nov 5 349 Chicago St. 64 310 Incarnate Word 70 73%   
Fri, Nov 6 19 Miami (FL) 84 343 Wagner 53 99%   
Fri, Nov 6 346 New Haven 55 87 Rutgers 76 97%   
Sat, Nov 7 253 LIU Brooklyn 68 177 La Salle 74 74%   
Sun, Nov 8 327 Central Connecticut St. 63 282 Dartmouth 69 72%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
LIU Brooklyn 2 47% 32% 11% 4% 47 20 11 8 5 4 2 1 2
Mercyhurst 4 16% 9% 5% 2% 16 17 15 11 11 12 7 7 4
Wagner 4 14% 7% 5% 2% 14 15 15 12 12 9 10 9 5
Le Moyne 5 12% 8% 3% 1% 12 12 15 10 15 13 9 8 7
Stonehill 5 9% 4% 4% 1% 9 10 13 12 11 11 11 13 8
Central Connecticut St. 5 9% 5% 2% 1% 9 10 12 15 10 12 13 13 8
Fairleigh Dickinson 5 8% 5% 2% 2% 8 9 13 12 12 10 11 9 14
New Haven 5 8% 4% 3% 1% 8 8 10 10 11 14 13 13 14
Chicago St. 5 7% 4% 1% 2% 7 10 9 10 12 13 13 13 13

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 5 14 - 17 0 1 1 1 3 4 9 11 16 18 16 12 7 2 0
Mercyhurst 9 - 7 11 - 17 0 0 1 4 4 10 15 16 13 14 10 9 2 1
Wagner 8 - 8 10 - 17 0 1 2 3 6 11 16 15 13 13 12 5 3 1 0
Le Moyne 8 - 8 12 - 17 1 2 6 8 11 16 17 13 11 9 4 2 1 0
Stonehill 8 - 8 10 - 18 1 3 6 12 12 16 13 15 9 7 4 1 1 0
Central Connecticut St. 8 - 8 10 - 17 1 1 3 5 12 13 14 16 13 10 6 3 1 1 0 0
Fairleigh Dickinson 7 - 9 10 - 19 0 0 3 4 9 9 11 15 15 15 9 6 3 1 0
New Haven 7 - 9 10 - 18 1 1 4 9 11 17 16 13 11 8 4 3 2 1
Chicago St. 7 - 9 9 - 23 0 3 3 8 14 13 17 15 11 7 7 2 1 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
LIU Brooklyn 38% 38% 0% 16 Negligible 3 35 62
Mercyhurst 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Le Moyne 10% 10% 0% Negligible 10 90
Central Connecticut St. 10% 10% 0% Negligible 10 90
Fairleigh Dickinson 10% 10% 0% Negligible 10 90
Wagner 14% 14% 0% Negligible 14 86
New Haven 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Chicago St. 8% 8% 0% Negligible 8 92
Stonehill 10% 10% 0% Negligible 10 90

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 45% 0.4 55 45
2nd Round 1% 0.0 99 1
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100
Final Four 0% 0.0 100
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 38% 38% 19% 1%
Mercyhurst
Le Moyne 10% 10% 4%
Central Connecticut St. 10% 10% 4%
Fairleigh Dickinson 10% 10% 4%
Wagner 14% 14% 6%
New Haven
Chicago St. 8% 8% 3%
Stonehill 10% 10% 4%