Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
American Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#215
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#242
Pace67.8#236
Improvement+1.8#105

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#282
First Shot-5.0#304
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#108
Layup/Dunks+1.2#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.0#349
Freethrows-0.9#244
Improvement+2.2#76

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#153
First Shot+0.7#151
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#169
Layups/Dunks-1.9#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#255
Freethrows+0.8#114
Improvement-0.5#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 285   Troy L 77-82 76%     0 - 1 -15.9 -14.0 -1.0
  Nov 16, 2015 223   NJIT L 57-60 62%     0 - 2 -9.5 -19.7 +10.3
  Nov 19, 2015 72   George Washington L 67-73 22%     0 - 3 -1.2 -6.7 +5.7
  Nov 21, 2015 247   Boston University L 66-78 67%     0 - 4 -19.8 -8.9 -11.3
  Nov 24, 2015 131   Albany W 63-61 39%     1 - 4 +1.4 -4.7 +6.4
  Nov 27, 2015 7   Kentucky L 63-84 3%     1 - 5 -2.9 -4.5 +1.5
  Nov 29, 2015 325   Savannah St. W 67-57 85%     2 - 5 -4.6 -3.3 -0.8
  Dec 03, 2015 270   @ Delaware L 58-67 52%     2 - 6 -12.8 -18.1 +5.3
  Dec 05, 2015 45   @ South Carolina L 63-81 7%     2 - 7 -4.5 -7.0 +4.3
  Dec 13, 2015 74   North Carolina St. L 46-65 22%     2 - 8 -14.3 -25.0 +9.7
  Dec 16, 2015 273   Jacksonville W 88-75 74%     3 - 8 +2.9 +2.0 -0.3
  Dec 19, 2015 117   UAB L 68-79 36%     3 - 9 -10.7 -2.5 -8.7
  Dec 22, 2015 28   @ Seton Hall L 49-66 4%     3 - 10 -0.7 -8.8 +6.2
  Dec 30, 2015 59   Houston L 67-73 18%     3 - 11 0 - 1 +0.3 -6.1 +6.4
  Jan 02, 2016 19   @ SMU L 58-72 3%     3 - 12 0 - 2 +4.1 -0.3 +2.5
  Jan 06, 2016 173   @ Central Florida L 64-75 29%     3 - 13 0 - 3 -8.8 -2.4 -7.0
  Jan 10, 2016 32   Cincinnati L 51-54 12%     3 - 14 0 - 4 +6.2 -8.0 +13.9
  Jan 12, 2016 192   Tulane L 70-81 56%     3 - 15 0 - 5 -15.8 +3.4 -20.0
  Jan 16, 2016 71   @ Memphis L 56-71 10%     3 - 16 0 - 6 -4.2 -9.3 +5.0
  Jan 20, 2016 173   Central Florida L 54-64 51%     3 - 17 0 - 7 -13.6 -15.7 +1.6
  Jan 23, 2016 59   @ Houston W 71-62 8%     4 - 17 1 - 7 +21.2 +4.6 +17.1
  Jan 27, 2016 192   @ Tulane W 73-60 34%     5 - 17 2 - 7 +14.0 +0.3 +13.0
  Jan 31, 2016 84   Temple L 63-70 25%     5 - 18 2 - 8 -3.3 +0.8 -4.8
  Feb 04, 2016 32   @ Cincinnati L 57-88 5%     5 - 19 2 - 9 -15.9 -5.1 -11.2
  Feb 07, 2016 19   SMU L 58-92 8%     5 - 20 2 - 10 -21.8 -4.8 -20.5
  Feb 14, 2016 84   @ Temple L 65-77 12%     5 - 21 2 - 11 -2.5 +3.2 -6.4
  Feb 16, 2016 185   @ East Carolina W 69-52 32%     6 - 21 3 - 11 +18.5 -0.4 +19.6
  Feb 20, 2016 71   Memphis W 80-71 21%     7 - 21 4 - 11 +14.0 +5.1 +8.2
  Feb 25, 2016 29   Connecticut L 51-81 11%     7 - 22 4 - 12 -20.0 -13.5 -7.5
  Mar 02, 2016 185   East Carolina L 39-52 54%     7 - 23 4 - 13 -17.4 -31.1 +11.8
  Mar 05, 2016 64   @ Tulsa L 74-84 9%     7 - 24 4 - 14 +1.3 +4.9 -3.5
  Mar 10, 2016 185   East Carolina W 71-66 43%     8 - 24 +3.5 -4.1 +7.6
  Mar 11, 2016 84   Temple L 62-79 17%     8 - 25 -10.4 -1.5 -10.0
Projected Record 8.0 - 25.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%