Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.2#16
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#26
Pace69.3#157
Improvement-1.2#237

Offense
Total Offense+10.5#10
First Shot+10.1#4
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#140
Layup/Dunks+5.8#14
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#75
Freethrows+0.5#136
Improvement+1.5#107

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#61
First Shot+5.1#43
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#231
Layups/Dunks+4.4#28
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#260
Freethrows+3.2#13
Improvement-2.7#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 4.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 82.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round71.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen33.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight12.3% n/a n/a
Final Four4.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6.0 - 4.06.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 3.08.0 - 7.0
Quad 23.0 - 4.011.0 - 11.0
Quad 36.0 - 0.017.0 - 11.0
Quad 46.0 - 0.023.0 - 11.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 334   Alabama St. W 79-53 99%     1 - 0 +10.7 -1.8 +12.1
  Nov 09, 2018 67   Missouri W 76-59 83%     2 - 0 +21.9 +6.5 +15.2
  Nov 12, 2018 238   Texas Southern W 85-73 97%     3 - 0 +4.8 -2.0 +5.5
  Nov 19, 2018 98   Arizona L 66-71 83%     3 - 1 +0.1 -3.7 +3.8
  Nov 20, 2018 75   Illinois W 84-68 79%     4 - 1 +22.7 +17.6 +5.8
  Nov 21, 2018 104   San Diego St. W 87-57 84%     5 - 1 +34.6 +30.5 +8.1
  Nov 26, 2018 162   Nebraska Omaha W 82-55 94%     6 - 1 +24.1 -1.9 +24.1
  Dec 03, 2018 195   North Dakota St. W 81-59 96%     7 - 1 +17.2 +0.1 +16.3
  Dec 06, 2018 36   @ Iowa L 84-98 54%     7 - 2 +0.1 +9.7 -8.8
  Dec 09, 2018 336   Southern W 101-65 99%     8 - 2 +19.6 +16.8 +1.3
  Dec 15, 2018 123   Drake W 77-68 86%     9 - 2 +12.4 +8.4 +4.3
  Dec 21, 2018 313   Eastern Illinois W 101-53 99%     10 - 2 +35.9 +25.2 +12.7
  Jan 02, 2019 79   @ Oklahoma St. W 69-63 72%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +15.0 +4.5 +10.9
  Jan 05, 2019 17   Kansas W 77-60 61%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +29.3 +9.0 +19.7
  Jan 08, 2019 40   @ Baylor L 70-73 55%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +10.8 +8.0 +2.6
  Jan 12, 2019 21   Kansas St. L 57-58 63%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +10.8 +2.8 +7.9
  Jan 16, 2019 9   @ Texas Tech W 68-64 29%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +25.0 +9.0 +16.0
  Jan 19, 2019 79   Oklahoma St. W 72-59 86%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +16.4 +10.4 +7.9
  Jan 21, 2019 17   @ Kansas L 76-80 40%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +13.8 +12.7 +1.1
  Jan 26, 2019 41   @ Mississippi W 87-73 56%     15 - 5 +27.6 +19.4 +8.1
  Jan 30, 2019 82   West Virginia W 93-68 87%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +28.2 +12.5 +13.4
  Feb 02, 2019 30   Texas W 65-60 70%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +14.7 +2.3 +13.0
  Feb 04, 2019 34   @ Oklahoma W 75-74 54%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +15.3 +14.3 +1.0
  Feb 09, 2019 47   TCU L 83-92 76%     18 - 6 7 - 4 -1.3 +8.1 -8.8
  Feb 16, 2019 21   @ Kansas St. W 78-64 42%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +31.3 +28.8 +4.5
  Feb 19, 2019 40   Baylor L 69-73 75%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +4.3 +8.2 -4.4
  Feb 23, 2019 47   @ TCU L 72-75 58%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +10.2 +4.0 +6.3
  Feb 25, 2019 34   Oklahoma W 78-61 73%     20 - 8 9 - 6 +25.7 +16.2 +10.6
  Mar 02, 2019 30   @ Texas L 69-86 50%     20 - 9 9 - 7 -1.7 +13.6 -17.9
  Mar 06, 2019 82   @ West Virginia L 75-90 73%     20 - 10 9 - 8 -6.3 +1.6 -7.0
  Mar 09, 2019 9   Texas Tech L 73-80 49%     20 - 11 9 - 9 +8.5 +9.5 -0.9
  Mar 14, 2019 40   Baylor W 83-66 66%     21 - 11 +28.0 +23.3 +6.6
  Mar 15, 2019 21   Kansas St. W 63-59 52%     22 - 11 +18.6 +5.3 +13.5
  Mar 16, 2019 17   Kansas W 78-66 50%     23 - 11 +27.1 +13.4 +13.5
Projected Record 23.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.8 0.2 4.0 32.0 46.0 17.7 0.1
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5.8 0.2 4.0 32.0 46.0 17.7 0.1