Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#278
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#237
Pace82.5#8
Improvement-7.1#345

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#152
First Shot+1.7#131
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#236
Layup/Dunks-1.2#217
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.0#3
Freethrows-2.2#314
Improvement-4.7#334

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#343
First Shot-5.7#323
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#320
Layups/Dunks+0.4#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#349
Freethrows-0.7#231
Improvement-2.4#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 4.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 21.0 - 3.01.0 - 10.0
Quad 33.0 - 2.04.0 - 12.0
Quad 45.0 - 6.09.0 - 18.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 29   @ Clemson L 80-100 3%     0 - 1 -4.5 +8.2 -10.1
  Nov 16, 2018 30   @ Texas L 69-97 3%     0 - 2 -12.7 -5.2 -4.3
  Nov 20, 2018 267   @ James Madison W 91-82 OT 38%     1 - 2 +5.5 +3.1 +1.2
  Nov 24, 2018 120   @ South Florida W 84-81 11%     2 - 2 +9.4 +13.3 -4.1
  Nov 27, 2018 236   High Point W 112-87 52%     3 - 2 +17.9 +27.8 -12.0
  Dec 01, 2018 203   Mercer W 79-69 45%     4 - 2 1 - 0 +4.6 +0.4 +4.0
  Dec 15, 2018 317   Southeast Missouri St. W 86-74 71%     5 - 2 -0.3 -2.5 +0.9
  Dec 18, 2018 196   @ Campbell W 82-76 24%     6 - 2 +6.6 +0.3 +5.9
  Dec 29, 2018 292   Longwood L 94-110 65%     6 - 3 -26.6 +2.5 -26.5
  Jan 03, 2019 25   @ Wofford L 81-112 3%     6 - 4 1 - 1 -14.8 +7.0 -19.3
  Jan 05, 2019 61   @ Furman L 85-101 6%     6 - 5 1 - 2 -5.2 +5.3 -8.0
  Jan 10, 2019 89   East Tennessee St. L 73-98 18%     6 - 6 1 - 3 -22.1 -6.2 -13.3
  Jan 12, 2019 283   Western Carolina L 82-94 61%     6 - 7 1 - 4 -21.7 -15.4 -3.6
  Jan 17, 2019 159   @ Samford L 77-80 18%     6 - 8 1 - 5 +0.0 +6.8 -6.9
  Jan 19, 2019 265   @ Chattanooga L 71-73 37%     6 - 9 1 - 6 -5.3 -5.1 -0.2
  Jan 24, 2019 97   @ UNC Greensboro L 60-83 9%     6 - 10 1 - 7 -15.1 -11.9 -1.5
  Jan 26, 2019 295   VMI W 84-82 65%     7 - 10 2 - 7 -8.7 -4.8 -4.1
  Jan 31, 2019 61   Furman L 61-71 13%     7 - 11 2 - 8 -4.7 -8.1 +3.4
  Feb 02, 2019 25   Wofford L 61-99 6%     7 - 12 2 - 9 -27.3 -5.9 -23.5
  Feb 09, 2019 203   @ Mercer W 67-61 25%     8 - 12 3 - 9 +6.2 -7.2 +13.3
  Feb 14, 2019 89   @ East Tennessee St. L 83-91 9%     8 - 13 3 - 10 +0.4 +15.2 -14.8
  Feb 16, 2019 283   @ Western Carolina L 82-103 40%     8 - 14 3 - 11 -25.1 -2.8 -20.1
  Feb 21, 2019 265   Chattanooga L 65-68 58%     8 - 15 3 - 12 -11.9 -6.9 -5.3
  Feb 23, 2019 159   Samford W 87-83 OT 34%     9 - 15 4 - 12 +1.4 +4.3 -3.2
  Feb 28, 2019 97   UNC Greensboro L 96-100 20%     9 - 16 4 - 13 -1.6 +24.0 -25.6
  Mar 02, 2019 295   @ VMI L 78-81 44%     9 - 17 4 - 14 -8.1 -4.0 -3.9
  Mar 08, 2019 159   Samford L 71-100 25%     9 - 18 -28.8 -7.5 -19.3
Projected Record 9.0 - 18.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%