Preseason Rankings
Big South
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
149 Radford 35.3%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 12 11 - 5 +1.0      +0.6 145 +0.4 154 59.1 351 0.0 1 0.0 1
194 Winthrop 17.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 10 - 6 -1.8      -0.9 195 -0.9 199 77.3 27 0.0 1 0.0 1
218 Gardner-Webb 12.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 13 9 - 7 -3.3      -2.1 231 -1.2 208 68.0 205 0.0 1 0.0 1
232 Charleston Southern 9.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 13 9 - 7 -4.2      -2.1 234 -2.0 249 65.3 274 0.0 1 0.0 1
240 Hampton 8.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 13 9 - 7 -4.3      -2.6 250 -1.7 236 77.8 23 0.0 1 0.0 1
254 Campbell 6.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 14 8 - 8 -5.3      -1.3 209 -3.9 296 68.0 204 0.0 1 0.0 1
255 High Point 6.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 8 - 8 -5.4      -3.4 269 -2.0 246 64.8 284 0.0 1 0.0 1
294 UNC Asheville 3.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 17 7 - 9 -7.4      -5.4 313 -2.1 250 71.6 105 0.0 1 0.0 1
319 Presbyterian 1.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 18 6 - 10 -9.5      -3.8 277 -5.8 330 60.5 345 0.0 1 0.0 1
333 Longwood 0.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 19 5 - 11 -11.6      -7.0 332 -4.6 316 71.1 120 0.0 1 0.0 1
334 South Carolina Upstate 0.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 11 -11.7      -1.9 224 -9.8 353 71.3 113 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Radford 2.7 39.7 20.4 12.2 9.0 6.3 4.6 3.2 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.2
Winthrop 4.0 20.1 16.9 14.0 11.8 10.4 8.5 6.3 5.3 3.3 2.5 0.9
Gardner-Webb 4.3 15.6 15.4 13.9 12.7 11.1 9.6 6.6 5.9 4.2 3.4 1.6
Charleston Southern 4.9 11.9 13.3 12.2 12.4 11.2 10.1 9.1 7.5 5.8 4.1 2.5
Hampton 4.9 12.2 12.7 12.2 13.1 10.1 9.8 8.9 7.7 6.4 4.2 2.7
Campbell 5.2 10.1 10.5 11.4 11.7 11.8 10.5 9.7 8.7 7.2 5.3 3.2
High Point 5.6 7.4 9.9 10.6 10.6 11.6 11.2 11.4 9.3 8.0 6.0 4.1
UNC Asheville 6.4 5.2 6.3 8.0 9.0 10.1 10.5 11.4 11.4 10.4 9.8 7.9
Presbyterian 7.4 1.8 3.8 5.0 6.3 7.6 10.1 11.4 12.9 14.4 14.3 12.4
Longwood 8.4 0.9 1.7 2.4 4.0 5.1 7.0 9.1 12.3 15.8 20.0 21.8
South Carolina Upstate 8.2 1.0 2.1 3.1 4.3 5.5 7.5 9.8 11.9 14.5 18.4 22.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Radford 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.5 4.1 5.7 8.6 10.4 13.9 15.2 14.0 11.9 8.2 3.2
Winthrop 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 3.8 5.7 8.0 10.9 11.6 13.0 12.7 11.5 9.2 5.9 3.0 0.8
Gardner-Webb 9 - 7 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.4 6.9 8.9 11.3 12.7 12.9 12.0 10.5 7.5 5.0 2.1 0.7
Charleston Southern 9 - 7 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.0 4.0 6.2 8.5 10.8 11.7 12.8 12.6 11.1 8.1 5.8 3.1 1.4 0.4
Hampton 9 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.1 6.4 8.8 10.1 11.8 12.7 12.4 10.4 8.4 6.0 3.3 1.3 0.3
Campbell 8 - 8 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.9 5.0 7.6 9.6 11.1 12.1 12.9 11.0 9.7 7.4 4.6 2.4 1.4 0.3
High Point 8 - 8 0.1 0.8 1.8 3.3 5.9 8.2 10.3 12.8 12.8 12.5 10.5 8.6 6.2 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.1
UNC Asheville 7 - 9 0.6 1.4 3.8 6.2 8.5 10.1 12.5 12.3 11.6 10.4 8.4 5.9 4.1 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
Presbyterian 6 - 10 1.0 2.9 6.0 9.9 11.7 13.4 12.9 12.5 10.0 8.1 5.1 3.4 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Longwood 5 - 11 2.3 6.0 10.3 13.6 14.6 14.4 12.1 9.4 7.0 4.8 2.7 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 2.1 6.2 9.6 12.7 14.2 13.2 12.6 9.9 7.3 5.2 3.2 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Radford 39.7% 28.5 8.8 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 20.1% 12.7 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb 15.6% 9.5 4.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Charleston Southern 11.9% 6.9 3.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Hampton 12.2% 7.0 3.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Campbell 10.1% 5.8 3.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
High Point 7.4% 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
UNC Asheville 5.2% 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 1.8% 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Longwood 0.9% 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 1.0% 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Radford 35.3% 35.1% 0.2% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.2 6.2 8.1 8.9 7.4 64.7 0.3%
Winthrop 17.8% 17.7% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 3.9 5.2 5.8 82.2 0.1%
Gardner-Webb 12.1% 12.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.4 6.0 87.9 0.0%
Charleston Southern 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.1 91.0 0.0%
Hampton 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.7 91.9 0.0%
Campbell 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.1 93.6 0.0%
High Point 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 3.3 94.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.4 96.8 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 98.7 0.0%
Longwood 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.4 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Radford 35.3% 3.6% 33.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 17.8% 3.1% 16.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 12.1% 4.0% 10.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 9.0% 2.3% 7.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 8.1% 2.5% 6.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 6.4% 1.9% 5.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 6.0% 2.0% 5.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 3.2% 1.8% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.7 0.3 0.0
1st Round 89.2% 0.9 10.8 89.0 0.2
2nd Round 7.3% 0.1 92.7 7.3 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0