Preseason Rankings
Kent St.
Mid-American
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#159
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.0#155
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#153
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#168
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 7.7% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.6 12.3 13.6
.500 or above 59.3% 69.2% 42.1%
.500 or above in Conference 54.1% 60.4% 43.1%
Conference Champion 6.4% 8.1% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 6.3% 11.6%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
First Round5.8% 7.2% 3.3%
Second Round1.3% 1.7% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Away) - 63.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 1.40.1 - 1.4
Quad 1b0.3 - 1.50.4 - 2.9
Quad 21.4 - 3.51.8 - 6.4
Quad 34.9 - 4.96.7 - 11.3
Quad 48.8 - 2.215.5 - 13.5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 281   @ Cleveland St. W 75-68 63%    
  Nov 16, 2018 155   Liberty L 67-68 61%    
  Nov 18, 2018 346   Alcorn St. W 79-64 95%    
  Nov 20, 2018 353   Savannah St. W 95-77 97%    
  Nov 23, 2018 83   @ Vanderbilt L 69-75 22%    
  Nov 28, 2018 336   @ Detroit Mercy W 85-72 81%    
  Dec 01, 2018 277   Norfolk St. W 77-70 80%    
  Dec 08, 2018 138   Wright St. L 69-71 53%    
  Dec 15, 2018 54   @ Louisville L 70-79 15%    
  Dec 21, 2018 82   @ Oregon St. L 67-73 23%    
  Dec 28, 2018 278   Albany W 73-66 79%    
  Jan 05, 2019 205   Bowling Green W 77-74 70%    
  Jan 08, 2019 211   Western Michigan W 74-71 70%    
  Jan 12, 2019 135   @ Eastern Michigan L 67-69 33%    
  Jan 15, 2019 142   @ Ohio L 75-76 36%    
  Jan 19, 2019 186   Northern Illinois W 73-71 64%    
  Jan 22, 2019 126   Toledo L 75-77 53%    
  Jan 25, 2019 65   Buffalo L 75-83 35%    
  Feb 02, 2019 111   @ Ball St. L 73-76 30%    
  Feb 05, 2019 170   Miami (OH) W 70-69 62%    
  Feb 08, 2019 184   @ Akron W 73-72 45%    
  Feb 14, 2019 211   @ Western Michigan W 74-71 53%    
  Feb 16, 2019 135   Eastern Michigan L 67-69 54%    
  Feb 19, 2019 219   @ Central Michigan W 76-72 53%    
  Feb 22, 2019 65   @ Buffalo L 75-83 18%    
  Feb 26, 2019 142   Ohio L 75-76 56%    
  Mar 01, 2019 205   @ Bowling Green W 77-74 49%    
  Mar 05, 2019 170   @ Miami (OH) W 70-69 42%    
  Mar 08, 2019 184   Akron W 73-72 64%    
Projected Record 15.5 - 13.5 8.9 - 9.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.9 3.0 2.0 0.6 0.1 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.8 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.2 1.8 0.1 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.4 1.8 0.1 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 5.1 2.3 0.1 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 3.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.2 2.7 0.7 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 1.9 0.7 0.0 6.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.2 4.3 6.8 8.6 9.9 11.1 11.6 10.9 9.5 8.0 5.8 4.1 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 93.9% 1.2    1.1 0.1
15-3 76.1% 1.8    1.1 0.6 0.1
14-4 41.2% 1.7    0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 17.1% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 97.1% 90.5% 6.6% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 69.2%
17-1 0.4% 81.2% 52.4% 28.8% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 60.4%
16-2 1.3% 58.6% 35.0% 23.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 36.3%
15-3 2.3% 36.6% 23.9% 12.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 16.7%
14-4 4.1% 24.2% 20.5% 3.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.1 4.7%
13-5 5.8% 13.1% 12.1% 1.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.1 1.1%
12-6 8.0% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.4 0.0%
11-7 9.5% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 14.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.8 0.0%
10-8 10.9% 3.8% 3.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 10.5
9-9 11.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.4
8-10 11.1% 1.9% 1.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.9
7-11 9.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.7
6-12 8.6% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 8.6
5-13 6.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 6.8
4-14 4.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-15 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.1% 5.2% 0.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 93.9 1.0%