IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#214
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.4	#171
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#251

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.6	#184

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.4%	22.6%	11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	1.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	13.5	15.0

.500 or above	60.5%	87.8%	59.4%
.500 or above in Conference	70.4%	84.6%	69.8%
Conference Champion	14.2%	27.9%	13.6%
Last Place in Conference	4.6%	2.6%	4.6%

First Four	2.7%	2.1%	2.7%
First Round	10.1%	22.1%	9.6%
Second Round	0.7%	2.7%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.1	0.0 - 1.1
Quad 1b	0.1 - 1.0	0.1 - 2.0
Quad 2	0.3 - 1.7	0.5 - 3.7
Quad 3	2.1 - 3.9	2.6 - 7.6
Quad 4	12.0 - 5.7	14.6 - 13.4

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	24	@ Marquette	L	68-84	4%
Nov 12, 2018	291	Manhattan	W	68-64	74%
Nov 16, 2018	212	Air Force	L	68-69	50%
Nov 17, 2018	255	High Point	W	69-67	57%
Nov 19, 2018	134	South Dakota	L	69-75	31%
Nov 24, 2018	242	American	W	70-69	65%
Nov 30, 2018	128	@ Northern Kentucky	L	68-74	23%
Dec 03, 2018	345	@ Coppin St.	W	73-62	76%
Dec 08, 2018	280	@ Drexel	W	74-71	50%
Dec 11, 2018	237	Towson	W	69-68	63%
Dec 16, 2018	179	Florida Gulf Coast	L	73-75	53%
Dec 29, 2018	57	@ Penn St.	L	63-75	10%
Jan 05, 2019	327	Maine	W	76-68	82%
Jan 09, 2019	193	@ Hartford	L	70-71	35%
Jan 12, 2019	306	@ Umass Lowell	W	79-74	57%
Jan 16, 2019	269	Binghamton	W	69-66	68%
Jan 19, 2019	278	Albany	W	69-66	69%
Jan 23, 2019	124	@ Vermont	L	65-71	22%
Jan 26, 2019	316	@ New Hampshire	W	69-63	60%
Jan 30, 2019	222	Stony Brook	W	69-68	61%
Feb 06, 2019	193	Hartford	L	70-71	55%
Feb 10, 2019	327	@ Maine	W	76-68	65%
Feb 13, 2019	269	@ Binghamton	W	69-66	49%
Feb 16, 2019	306	Umass Lowell	W	79-74	76%
Feb 21, 2019	124	Vermont	L	65-71	40%
Feb 23, 2019	278	@ Albany	W	69-66	50%
Feb 27, 2019	222	@ Stony Brook	W	69-68	41%
Mar 02, 2019	316	New Hampshire	W	69-63	77%
Projected Record						14.6 - 13.4	9.1 - 6.9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	1.3	3.2	4.0	3.5	1.5	0.4		14.2	1st
2nd									0.0	0.7	2.9	5.8	5.7	2.1	0.4				17.5	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	4.6	7.0	4.0	0.8	0.0					17.3	3rd
4th							0.0	0.9	4.5	6.6	2.2	0.4							14.6	4th
5th						0.0	0.9	4.1	5.1	1.5	0.1								11.6	5th
6th					0.1	1.0	3.7	4.1	1.1	0.0									10.0	6th
7th				0.1	0.9	2.9	3.0	0.6	0.0										7.5	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0	1.5	0.3	0.0											5.0	8th
9th	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0												2.3	9th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.8	3.4	5.6	8.0	9.8	11.5	13.4	12.4	11.5	9.7	6.1	3.9	1.5	0.4			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
15-1	100.0%	1.5		1.4	0.1
14-2	90.4%	3.5		2.8	0.7	0.0
13-3	65.6%	4.0		2.4	1.4	0.2
12-4	33.0%	3.2		1.2	1.4	0.5	0.1
11-5	11.5%	1.3		0.2	0.6	0.4	0.1
10-6	1.6%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0						0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	14.2%	14.2		8.5	4.2	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.4%		69.8%	69.6%	0.1%	11.4					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.1		0.4%
15-1	1.5%		58.7%	58.7%	0.1%	13.7										0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.6		0.2%
14-2	3.9%		46.4%	46.0%	0.4%	14.3												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.2	2.1		0.7%
13-3	6.1%		30.7%	30.5%	0.2%	14.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.4	4.2		0.3%
12-4	9.7%		21.9%	21.9%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.8	7.6
11-5	11.5%		15.9%	15.9%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	9.7
10-6	12.4%		10.2%	10.2%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0	11.1
9-7	13.4%		5.4%	5.4%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	12.6
8-8	11.5%		3.6%	3.6%		15.9																0.0	0.4	11.1
7-9	9.8%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	9.6
6-10	8.0%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	7.9
5-11	5.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.6
4-12	3.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
3-13	1.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
2-14	0.8%																							0.8
1-15	0.3%																							0.3
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		11.4%	11.4%	0.0%	14.9					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	2.0	3.5	4.6	88.6		0.0%