Preseason Rankings
Samford
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#322
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.6#44
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#271
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#341
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 16.0
.500 or above 13.4% 16.7% 4.5%
.500 or above in Conference 13.9% 16.1% 7.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 31.0% 27.3% 41.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Alabama (Home) - 72.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.10.0 - 2.1
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.90.1 - 4.0
Quad 20.3 - 3.50.4 - 7.5
Quad 31.2 - 5.11.6 - 12.6
Quad 48.4 - 7.410.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 340   North Alabama W 75-72 73%    
  Nov 09, 2018 146   Jacksonville St. L 67-78 22%    
  Nov 12, 2018 338   Kennesaw St. W 77-74 70%    
  Nov 18, 2018 281   @ Cleveland St. L 73-77 28%    
  Nov 20, 2018 40   @ Ohio St. L 65-85 2%    
  Nov 23, 2018 169   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-88 13%    
  Nov 25, 2018 348   South Carolina St. W 82-76 78%    
  Nov 29, 2018 109   Belmont L 70-84 18%    
  Dec 09, 2018 349   @ Alabama A&M W 76-70 60%    
  Dec 13, 2018 224   Morehead St. L 74-80 39%    
  Dec 17, 2018 312   Houston Baptist L 84-85 57%    
  Dec 19, 2018 9   @ Tennessee L 61-87 1%    
  Dec 22, 2018 86   UNC Greensboro L 64-80 14%    
  Dec 29, 2018 310   VMI L 75-76 56%    
  Jan 03, 2019 153   @ East Tennessee St. L 68-79 13%    
  Jan 05, 2019 307   @ Western Carolina L 76-78 34%    
  Jan 12, 2019 314   @ Chattanooga L 72-73 37%    
  Jan 17, 2019 265   The Citadel L 89-93 47%    
  Jan 19, 2019 272   Mercer L 71-75 46%    
  Jan 24, 2019 97   @ Wofford L 70-84 7%    
  Jan 26, 2019 123   @ Furman L 71-84 9%    
  Jan 31, 2019 153   East Tennessee St. L 68-79 26%    
  Feb 02, 2019 307   Western Carolina L 76-78 54%    
  Feb 07, 2019 86   @ UNC Greensboro L 64-80 6%    
  Feb 09, 2019 310   @ VMI L 75-76 36%    
  Feb 16, 2019 314   Chattanooga L 72-73 58%    
  Feb 21, 2019 272   @ Mercer L 71-75 29%    
  Feb 23, 2019 265   @ The Citadel L 89-93 28%    
  Feb 28, 2019 123   Furman L 71-84 21%    
  Mar 02, 2019 97   Wofford L 70-84 18%    
Projected Record 10.0 - 20.0 5.4 - 12.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 2.7 2.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.3 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.1 4.7 1.3 0.2 15.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.1 7.0 4.1 1.0 0.1 17.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 5.3 7.3 3.5 0.5 0.1 18.6 9th
10th 1.6 5.1 7.2 5.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 21.5 10th
Total 1.6 5.3 8.9 11.5 13.6 13.6 12.5 10.7 8.4 5.6 3.8 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 18.2% 0.0    0.0
15-3 76.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 22.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 6.1% 6.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 9.5% 9.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.4% 10.3% 10.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 0.6% 4.6% 4.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.2% 5.2% 5.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
11-7 2.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.3
10-8 3.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
9-9 5.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6
8-10 8.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.4
7-11 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.7
6-12 12.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.5
5-13 13.6% 13.6
4-14 13.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.6
3-15 11.5% 11.5
2-16 8.9% 8.9
1-17 5.3% 5.3
0-18 1.6% 1.6
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%