Preseason Rankings
Wofford
Southern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#97
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.5#292
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#57
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 1.7% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 1.4% 1.7% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.4% 45.7% 28.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.3% 14.1% 2.6%
Average Seed 12.0 10.7 12.4
.500 or above 88.8% 97.8% 87.0%
.500 or above in Conference 95.6% 98.8% 95.0%
Conference Champion 34.2% 44.6% 32.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four1.8% 3.8% 1.4%
First Round30.5% 43.7% 27.9%
Second Round8.1% 16.0% 6.5%
Sweet Sixteen2.3% 4.8% 1.8%
Elite Eight0.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Home) - 16.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.3 - 3.00.3 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.5 - 1.60.9 - 4.6
Quad 21.4 - 1.72.3 - 6.3
Quad 33.8 - 1.76.1 - 8.0
Quad 411.7 - 1.317.7 - 9.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 6   North Carolina L 71-84 17%    
  Nov 10, 2018 255   @ High Point W 74-64 74%    
  Nov 18, 2018 53   @ Oklahoma L 78-82 24%    
  Nov 21, 2018 345   Coppin St. W 78-59 98%    
  Nov 26, 2018 61   @ South Carolina L 68-72 26%    
  Dec 01, 2018 153   East Tennessee St. W 71-67 73%    
  Dec 04, 2018 1   @ Kansas L 67-82 6%    
  Dec 09, 2018 221   Coastal Carolina W 75-67 83%    
  Dec 15, 2018 294   UNC Asheville W 78-66 90%    
  Dec 19, 2018 21   @ Mississippi St. L 67-76 16%    
  Dec 29, 2018 307   @ Western Carolina W 78-65 79%    
  Jan 03, 2019 265   The Citadel W 90-80 88%    
  Jan 05, 2019 272   Mercer W 74-63 88%    
  Jan 10, 2019 86   @ UNC Greensboro L 67-68 37%    
  Jan 12, 2019 310   @ VMI W 77-64 81%    
  Jan 19, 2019 123   Furman W 73-72 65%    
  Jan 24, 2019 322   Samford W 84-70 93%    
  Jan 26, 2019 314   Chattanooga W 75-61 92%    
  Jan 31, 2019 272   @ Mercer W 74-63 74%    
  Feb 02, 2019 265   @ The Citadel W 90-80 73%    
  Feb 07, 2019 153   @ East Tennessee St. W 71-67 53%    
  Feb 09, 2019 307   Western Carolina W 78-65 90%    
  Feb 14, 2019 310   VMI W 77-64 91%    
  Feb 16, 2019 86   UNC Greensboro L 67-68 56%    
  Feb 23, 2019 123   @ Furman W 73-72 44%    
  Feb 28, 2019 314   @ Chattanooga W 75-61 81%    
  Mar 02, 2019 322   @ Samford W 84-70 82%    
Projected Record 17.7 - 9.3 13.4 - 4.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.8 8.5 10.3 7.5 3.0 34.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.3 6.6 8.5 6.5 1.7 26.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 3.2 6.2 5.8 2.5 0.3 18.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.7 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.2 0.7 2.0 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.1 3.8 5.4 8.8 11.0 14.0 14.8 15.3 12.0 7.5 3.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 3.0    3.0
17-1 100.0% 7.5    7.2 0.4
16-2 85.9% 10.3    7.9 2.4 0.0
15-3 55.8% 8.5    4.4 3.5 0.6 0.0
14-4 25.3% 3.8    1.1 2.1 0.5 0.0
13-5 6.1% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 34.2% 34.2 23.8 8.7 1.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 3.0% 89.8% 73.4% 16.3% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 61.5%
17-1 7.5% 74.9% 61.6% 13.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 1.9 34.7%
16-2 12.0% 56.9% 49.2% 7.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 5.2 15.1%
15-3 15.3% 39.4% 36.2% 3.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.3 5.0%
14-4 14.8% 29.1% 28.0% 1.1% 13.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 10.5 1.6%
13-5 14.0% 19.5% 19.4% 0.1% 13.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.1 11.3 0.1%
12-6 11.0% 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.2 9.5 0.0%
11-7 8.8% 10.5% 10.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 7.8
10-8 5.4% 7.2% 7.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 5.0
9-9 3.8% 3.1% 3.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.7
8-10 2.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.0
7-11 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3
6-12 0.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6
5-13 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 31.4% 28.3% 3.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.7 4.4 7.2 6.1 4.5 2.7 1.0 68.6 4.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.0 50.0 50.0