Preseason Rankings
Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#243
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace76.2#37
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#207
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#286
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.6% 56.7% 35.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 49.1% 81.1% 47.4%
.500 or above in Conference 91.7% 97.6% 91.4%
Conference Champion 40.9% 57.8% 39.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.3% 0.8%
First Four25.2% 23.1% 25.3%
First Round23.6% 46.3% 22.4%
Second Round0.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.10.0 - 3.1
Quad 1b0.1 - 2.00.1 - 5.1
Quad 20.2 - 2.10.3 - 7.2
Quad 30.8 - 2.41.1 - 9.6
Quad 413.2 - 5.114.3 - 14.7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 48   @ Baylor L 67-81 5%    
  Nov 10, 2018 5   @ Gonzaga L 68-91 1%    
  Nov 12, 2018 30   @ Iowa St. L 71-87 4%    
  Nov 14, 2018 45   @ San Diego St. L 69-84 6%    
  Nov 18, 2018 196   @ Evansville L 68-71 31%    
  Nov 26, 2018 17   @ Oregon L 67-85 3%    
  Dec 01, 2018 43   @ Arizona St. L 76-91 6%    
  Dec 03, 2018 80   @ Georgia L 65-76 12%    
  Dec 17, 2018 195   @ Tulane L 77-80 31%    
  Dec 19, 2018 227   @ Lamar L 75-76 37%    
  Dec 29, 2018 64   @ Texas A&M L 70-83 9%    
  Jan 05, 2019 346   @ Alcorn St. W 80-70 72%    
  Jan 07, 2019 343   @ Southern W 78-69 69%    
  Jan 12, 2019 297   @ Prairie View W 82-79 50%    
  Jan 19, 2019 296   Grambling St. W 81-78 70%    
  Jan 21, 2019 335   Jackson St. W 72-65 81%    
  Jan 26, 2019 332   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-71 63%    
  Jan 28, 2019 344   @ Mississippi Valley W 82-73 69%    
  Feb 02, 2019 325   Alabama St. W 80-74 76%    
  Feb 04, 2019 349   Alabama A&M W 78-67 88%    
  Feb 09, 2019 297   Prairie View W 82-79 68%    
  Feb 16, 2019 296   @ Grambling St. W 81-78 48%    
  Feb 18, 2019 335   @ Jackson St. W 72-65 64%    
  Feb 23, 2019 332   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-71 80%    
  Feb 25, 2019 344   Mississippi Valley W 82-73 84%    
  Mar 02, 2019 325   @ Alabama St. W 80-74 57%    
  Mar 04, 2019 349   @ Alabama A&M W 78-67 75%    
  Mar 07, 2019 346   Alcorn St. W 80-70 86%    
  Mar 09, 2019 343   Southern W 78-69 84%    
Projected Record 14.3 - 14.7 12.8 - 5.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.5 7.0 10.1 9.4 7.0 2.9 40.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 4.6 7.1 5.4 2.4 0.5 21.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 4.4 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 13.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 3.3 2.8 1.2 0.1 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.4 3.4 5.5 7.5 9.2 11.7 12.7 12.9 12.5 9.9 7.0 2.9 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.9    2.9
17-1 100.0% 7.0    6.9 0.1
16-2 94.9% 9.4    8.7 0.8
15-3 80.6% 10.1    7.6 2.4 0.1
14-4 54.4% 7.0    4.1 2.5 0.4 0.0
13-5 27.8% 3.5    1.3 1.4 0.7 0.1
12-6 7.7% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 40.9% 40.9 31.4 7.6 1.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.9% 83.6% 83.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.5
17-1 7.0% 78.0% 78.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.3 1.5
16-2 9.9% 70.3% 70.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 5.6 3.0
15-3 12.5% 57.6% 57.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 6.6 5.3
14-4 12.9% 44.6% 44.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.5 7.1
13-5 12.7% 30.7% 30.7% 16.0 0.0 3.9 8.8
12-6 11.7% 21.6% 21.6% 16.0 0.0 2.5 9.2
11-7 9.2% 15.3% 15.3% 16.0 1.4 7.8
10-8 7.5% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.7 6.8
9-9 5.5% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.2 5.3
8-10 3.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.4
7-11 2.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.3
6-12 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 36.6% 36.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 4.6 30.4 63.4 0.0%