IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.7	#264
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.2	#192
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.9	#234

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#285

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.6%	4.1%	1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.8	15.3

.500 or above	36.7%	53.7%	26.9%
.500 or above in Conference	48.7%	59.4%	42.5%
Conference Champion	2.6%	4.0%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	8.8%	5.3%	10.8%

First Four	0.5%	0.6%	0.5%
First Round	2.4%	3.8%	1.5%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Home) - 36.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 10
Quad 4	11 - 7	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	142	Samford	L	74-78	36%
Nov 14, 2019	319	@ Presbyterian	W	74-73	54%
Nov 16, 2019	350	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	57-44	89%
Nov 20, 2019	53	@ Missouri	L	60-78	5%
Nov 22, 2019	56	@ Butler	L	62-80	5%
Nov 26, 2019	246	@ William & Mary	L	73-77	36%
Nov 30, 2019	313	@ North Alabama	W	72-71	51%
Dec 04, 2019	253	IUPUI	W	75-73	58%
Dec 07, 2019	187	@ Illinois St.	L	67-74	28%
Dec 16, 2019	188	Marshall	L	81-82	47%
Dec 21, 2019	217	@ Ohio	L	70-76	31%
Jan 02, 2020	216	Jacksonville St.	W	71-70	52%
Jan 04, 2020	310	Tennessee Tech	W	74-68	70%
Jan 09, 2020	324	SIU Edwardsville	W	79-71	74%
Jan 11, 2020	255	Eastern Illinois	W	74-71	58%
Jan 16, 2020	272	@ Tennessee St.	L	73-75	42%
Jan 18, 2020	80	@ Belmont	L	71-86	10%
Jan 23, 2020	310	@ Tennessee Tech	W	71-70	51%
Jan 25, 2020	216	@ Jacksonville St.	L	68-74	32%
Jan 30, 2020	294	Southeast Missouri St.	W	76-71	66%
Feb 01, 2020	258	Tennessee Martin	W	78-75	59%
Feb 06, 2020	324	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	76-74	56%
Feb 08, 2020	255	@ Eastern Illinois	L	71-74	39%
Feb 13, 2020	274	Eastern Kentucky	W	86-82	61%
Feb 15, 2020	119	@ Murray St.	L	68-80	16%
Feb 20, 2020	80	Belmont	L	74-83	22%
Feb 22, 2020	272	Tennessee St.	W	76-72	61%
Feb 27, 2020	211	@ Austin Peay	L	72-78	32%
Feb 29, 2020	274	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	83-85	42%
Projected Record						13 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.1	2.1	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0			6.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	2.3	3.4	2.2	0.6	0.0					9.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.6	3.2	4.2	2.1	0.4	0.0						10.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	3.5	4.6	1.8	0.3	0.0							10.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	3.2	5.0	2.2	0.2	0.0								11.1	6th
7th							0.2	2.7	5.1	2.3	0.2	0.0									10.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.1	4.9	2.7	0.3	0.0										10.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.6	4.0	2.7	0.3	0.0											8.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	1.5	3.7	2.7	0.4	0.0												8.5	10th
11th		0.0	0.4	1.4	2.7	1.9	0.4	0.0													6.8	11th
12th	0.1	0.6	1.5	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.0													5.2	12th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.8	3.3	5.3	7.7	9.4	11.2	11.8	11.7	10.7	8.8	7.0	4.9	3.0	1.6	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	95.8%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	82.1%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-3	51.6%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.0
14-4	21.7%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	5.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.6%	2.6		1.3	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		34.7%	19.4%	15.3%	13.3										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		19.0%
17-1	0.2%		32.3%	32.3%		13.3											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
16-2	0.6%		24.7%	24.7%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
15-3	1.6%		27.1%	27.1%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	1.2
14-4	3.0%		16.9%	16.9%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.5
13-5	4.9%		9.6%	9.6%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	4.4
12-6	7.0%		5.9%	5.9%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	6.6
11-7	8.8%		2.9%	2.9%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	8.6
10-8	10.7%		1.7%	1.7%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.6
9-9	11.7%		0.7%	0.7%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.7
8-10	11.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																0.0	0.0	11.8
7-11	11.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
6-12	9.4%																							9.4
5-13	7.7%																							7.7
4-14	5.3%																							5.3
3-15	3.3%																							3.3
2-16	1.8%																							1.8
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.6%	2.6%	0.0%	15.0										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.0	97.4		0.0%