Preseason Rankings
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#86
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.5#157
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#99
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#82
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 3.0% 3.3% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.5% 22.4% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.8% 14.3% 3.2%
Average Seed 9.5 9.5 10.4
.500 or above 73.9% 77.3% 50.4%
.500 or above in Conference 77.4% 79.3% 64.5%
Conference Champion 10.5% 11.3% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.0% 2.7%
First Four4.3% 4.7% 1.5%
First Round18.1% 19.7% 6.7%
Second Round7.7% 8.4% 2.4%
Sweet Sixteen2.5% 2.7% 1.0%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 87.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 44 - 9
Quad 37 - 311 - 12
Quad 48 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 210   LIU Brooklyn W 81-69 87%    
  Nov 09, 2019 9   @ Maryland L 63-77 11%    
  Nov 15, 2019 45   Alabama L 72-73 46%    
  Nov 19, 2019 309   Nicholls St. W 83-65 94%    
  Nov 22, 2019 152   North Texas W 70-64 69%    
  Nov 24, 2019 20   LSU L 73-80 28%    
  Nov 27, 2019 259   Manhattan W 70-55 90%    
  Dec 01, 2019 46   @ West Virginia L 72-79 27%    
  Dec 06, 2019 36   Providence L 70-72 43%    
  Dec 21, 2019 76   Western Kentucky W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 29, 2019 174   @ Middle Tennessee W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 02, 2020 171   @ Brown W 76-72 62%    
  Jan 05, 2020 105   Richmond W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 08, 2020 52   Davidson L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 11, 2020 28   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 66-75 22%    
  Jan 15, 2020 221   @ Saint Joseph's W 76-69 71%    
  Jan 18, 2020 189   La Salle W 78-67 82%    
  Jan 22, 2020 126   Duquesne W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 25, 2020 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-66 49%    
  Jan 28, 2020 151   @ George Mason W 73-70 58%    
  Jan 31, 2020 28   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 04, 2020 237   Massachusetts W 78-65 87%    
  Feb 08, 2020 190   @ George Washington W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 11, 2020 60   @ Dayton L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 15, 2020 221   Saint Joseph's W 79-66 85%    
  Feb 22, 2020 52   @ Davidson L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 26, 2020 233   @ Fordham W 69-62 72%    
  Mar 01, 2020 141   Saint Louis W 71-63 75%    
  Mar 04, 2020 60   Dayton W 70-69 50%    
  Mar 07, 2020 237   @ Massachusetts W 75-68 73%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.3 3.1 1.4 0.3 10.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 12.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.1 4.9 1.9 0.1 12.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 4.4 5.0 1.5 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.1 1.8 0.1 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.9 1.9 0.2 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.1 4.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 3.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 5.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.6 4.0 5.7 8.2 10.3 12.1 12.8 12.1 10.6 8.7 5.8 3.4 1.4 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.4    1.3 0.1
16-2 88.8% 3.1    2.3 0.7 0.0
15-3 56.9% 3.3    1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0
14-4 23.1% 2.0    0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.7% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.5% 10.5 6.1 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 97.2% 66.6% 30.6% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.5%
17-1 1.4% 95.7% 42.1% 53.6% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 92.5%
16-2 3.4% 85.8% 34.4% 51.4% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 78.4%
15-3 5.8% 70.7% 25.0% 45.7% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 60.9%
14-4 8.7% 50.8% 17.2% 33.6% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.3 40.6%
13-5 10.6% 32.6% 14.3% 18.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.1 21.4%
12-6 12.1% 17.2% 8.2% 9.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.0 9.9%
11-7 12.8% 8.8% 5.7% 3.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.7 3.3%
10-8 12.1% 4.0% 3.2% 0.9% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.6 0.9%
9-9 10.3% 1.8% 1.7% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.1 0.1%
8-10 8.2% 1.2% 1.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
7-11 5.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7 0.1%
6-12 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
5-13 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 2.5
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 20.5% 8.8% 11.7% 9.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.3 2.9 5.1 3.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 79.5 12.8%