IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Francis Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.6	#293
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.4	#134
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.0	#309

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.6	#244

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.9%	9.6%	5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.4	15.7

.500 or above	41.2%	60.5%	34.2%
.500 or above in Conference	52.5%	64.9%	48.0%
Conference Champion	8.1%	12.4%	6.5%
Last Place in Conference	9.1%	5.2%	10.6%

First Four	3.7%	3.9%	3.6%
First Round	5.1%	7.6%	4.2%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 26.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 6
Quad 4	13 - 10	14 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	233	@ Fordham	L	62-69	27%
Nov 09, 2019	261	Lafayette	W	75-74	53%
Nov 14, 2019	260	@ Longwood	L	69-74	32%
Nov 16, 2019	22	@ North Carolina St.	L	66-89	2%
Nov 26, 2019	220	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	69-76	26%
Nov 30, 2019	307	@ St. Peter's	L	62-64	42%
Dec 05, 2019	321	@ Hartford	L	70-71	48%
Dec 07, 2019	263	@ Umass Lowell	L	74-79	34%
Dec 10, 2019	319	Presbyterian	W	75-70	68%
Dec 14, 2019	175	NJIT	L	68-72	37%
Dec 22, 2019	349	Delaware St.	W	60-49	81%
Jan 02, 2020	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	72-71	51%
Jan 09, 2020	273	@ Robert Morris	L	65-69	36%
Jan 11, 2020	248	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	71-77	31%
Jan 15, 2020	210	LIU Brooklyn	L	74-76	45%
Jan 18, 2020	331	@ Wagner	W	65-64	53%
Jan 20, 2020	287	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	69-72	39%
Jan 23, 2020	273	Robert Morris	W	68-66	56%
Jan 25, 2020	248	St. Francis (PA)	W	74-73	51%
Jan 30, 2020	304	@ Merrimack	L	70-72	43%
Feb 01, 2020	249	Sacred Heart	W	78-77	51%
Feb 06, 2020	314	@ Bryant	L	73-74	45%
Feb 08, 2020	287	Mount St. Mary's	W	72-69	58%
Feb 13, 2020	304	Merrimack	W	73-69	62%
Feb 18, 2020	210	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	71-79	27%
Feb 21, 2020	314	Bryant	W	76-71	65%
Feb 23, 2020	331	Wagner	W	68-61	71%
Feb 27, 2020	249	@ Sacred Heart	L	74-80	32%
Feb 29, 2020	342	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	74-71	60%
Projected Record						13 - 16	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	1.5	2.4	2.0	1.3	0.4	0.1		8.1	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	2.5	2.8	1.6	0.4	0.0	0.0			8.3	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.0	3.7	3.4	1.3	0.2	0.0					9.7	3rd
4th									0.1	1.0	3.9	3.7	1.2	0.1	0.0						10.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.9	4.0	4.1	1.1	0.1								10.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.8	3.6	4.3	1.2	0.0									10.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.7	3.4	4.4	1.3	0.1	0.0									9.9	7th
8th					0.1	0.7	3.4	4.4	1.4	0.1	0.0										10.1	8th
9th			0.0	0.1	1.1	3.2	3.7	1.4	0.1	0.0											9.6	9th
10th		0.0	0.4	1.4	2.7	2.6	1.1	0.1													8.4	10th
11th	0.1	0.8	1.3	1.7	1.2	0.4	0.0	0.0													5.5	11th

Total	0.1	0.8	1.7	3.2	5.0	7.0	8.9	10.2	10.5	10.9	10.6	9.4	7.5	5.7	4.1	2.5	1.3	0.5	0.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	98.5%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	97.3%	1.3		1.1	0.1	0.0
15-3	81.5%	2.0		1.5	0.5	0.0
14-4	57.0%	2.4		1.1	1.0	0.2	0.0
13-5	25.6%	1.5		0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1
12-6	5.2%	0.4		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.1%	8.1		4.7	2.4	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		56.2%	56.2%		13.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.5%		48.4%	48.4%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
16-2	1.3%		40.9%	40.9%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.8
15-3	2.5%		27.3%	27.3%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	1.8
14-4	4.1%		23.0%	23.0%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	3.2
13-5	5.7%		17.4%	17.4%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	4.7
12-6	7.5%		12.2%	12.2%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.8	6.6
11-7	9.4%		10.8%	10.8%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.0	8.4
10-8	10.6%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																0.0	0.6	9.9
9-9	10.9%		5.2%	5.2%		16.0																0.0	0.6	10.3
8-10	10.5%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.3	10.3
7-11	10.2%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.1
6-12	8.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
5-13	7.0%																							7.0
4-14	5.0%																							5.0
3-15	3.2%																							3.2
2-16	1.7%																							1.7
1-17	0.8%																							0.8
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.9%	6.9%	0.0%	15.6												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	5.0	93.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%