Preseason Rankings
Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.7#13
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.0#252
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#33
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+9.5#5
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 2.4% 2.4% 0.1%
#1 Seed 10.3% 10.4% 1.0%
Top 2 Seed 22.2% 22.4% 3.6%
Top 4 Seed 43.1% 43.5% 11.9%
Top 6 Seed 60.1% 60.5% 22.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 82.0% 82.3% 53.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 78.4% 78.7% 50.4%
Average Seed 4.7 4.7 7.0
.500 or above 93.3% 93.6% 69.7%
.500 or above in Conference 78.5% 78.8% 55.9%
Conference Champion 20.4% 20.6% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 3.0% 10.8%
First Four1.9% 1.9% 2.9%
First Round81.1% 81.4% 52.1%
Second Round63.3% 63.7% 34.0%
Sweet Sixteen37.9% 38.2% 13.5%
Elite Eight20.5% 20.7% 6.9%
Final Four10.5% 10.6% 2.3%
Championship Game5.0% 5.1% 1.4%
National Champion2.5% 2.5% 1.3%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Home) - 98.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 27 - 8
Quad 25 - 113 - 9
Quad 33 - 015 - 10
Quad 47 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 255   Eastern Illinois W 81-57 99%    
  Nov 09, 2019 326   Bethune-Cookman W 86-57 99.7%   
  Nov 13, 2019 292   Houston Baptist W 90-67 98%    
  Nov 21, 2019 272   Tennessee St. W 83-58 99%    
  Nov 24, 2019 210   LIU Brooklyn W 83-61 97%    
  Nov 28, 2019 39   Iowa W 77-72 66%    
  Dec 04, 2019 97   @ DePaul W 76-68 77%    
  Dec 10, 2019 6   Louisville L 67-70 40%    
  Dec 16, 2019 238   Southern Miss W 77-54 98%    
  Dec 21, 2019 230   UT Rio Grande Valley W 81-58 97%    
  Dec 29, 2019 197   Cal St. Bakersfield W 76-55 96%    
  Jan 04, 2020 49   Oklahoma St. W 72-63 77%    
  Jan 07, 2020 15   Baylor W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 11, 2020 46   @ West Virginia W 73-71 59%    
  Jan 14, 2020 50   @ Kansas St. W 63-60 59%    
  Jan 18, 2020 35   Iowa St. W 74-67 73%    
  Jan 21, 2020 68   @ TCU W 72-67 65%    
  Jan 25, 2020 2   Kentucky L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 29, 2020 46   West Virginia W 76-68 76%    
  Feb 01, 2020 4   @ Kansas L 69-76 29%    
  Feb 04, 2020 38   Oklahoma W 73-66 73%    
  Feb 08, 2020 24   @ Texas W 66-65 50%    
  Feb 10, 2020 68   TCU W 75-64 81%    
  Feb 15, 2020 49   @ Oklahoma St. W 69-66 58%    
  Feb 19, 2020 50   Kansas St. W 66-57 76%    
  Feb 22, 2020 35   @ Iowa St. W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 25, 2020 38   @ Oklahoma W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 29, 2020 24   Texas W 68-62 69%    
  Mar 02, 2020 15   @ Baylor L 67-69 43%    
  Mar 07, 2020 4   Kansas L 72-73 47%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.5 4.5 5.4 4.2 2.3 0.8 20.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.9 6.4 4.5 1.8 0.3 19.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.1 5.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 15.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.3 4.8 3.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 4.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.6 3.7 5.5 7.1 9.5 10.5 11.2 11.9 11.3 9.4 7.2 4.5 2.3 0.8 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
17-1 100.0% 2.3    2.2 0.1
16-2 92.7% 4.2    3.6 0.6 0.0
15-3 74.7% 5.4    3.9 1.5 0.0
14-4 47.9% 4.5    2.4 1.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 21.9% 2.5    0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.4% 20.4 13.8 5.3 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.8% 100.0% 58.6% 41.4% 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 2.3% 100.0% 56.5% 43.5% 1.3 1.6 0.6 0.0 100.0%
16-2 4.5% 100.0% 44.6% 55.4% 1.5 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 7.2% 100.0% 35.1% 64.9% 1.9 2.7 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 9.4% 100.0% 29.1% 70.9% 2.6 1.8 3.3 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 11.3% 100.0% 22.1% 77.9% 3.4 0.7 2.3 3.5 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 11.9% 99.8% 15.4% 84.4% 4.5 0.2 1.0 2.4 2.9 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
11-7 11.2% 98.6% 12.2% 86.4% 5.7 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 2.5 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.4%
10-8 10.5% 95.3% 9.4% 85.9% 6.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 94.8%
9-9 9.5% 83.4% 6.1% 77.3% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.6 82.3%
8-10 7.1% 56.5% 4.4% 52.2% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.1 54.6%
7-11 5.5% 26.6% 2.8% 23.8% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.0 24.5%
6-12 3.7% 6.4% 0.8% 5.6% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.5 5.7%
5-13 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 1.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 1.0%
4-14 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
3-15 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 82.0% 16.8% 65.2% 4.7 10.3 11.9 11.4 9.6 9.1 7.8 6.5 5.5 3.9 3.0 2.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 78.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 1.1 92.9 7.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 1.1 89.0 11.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 1.4 59.7 40.3