IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Bowling Green
Mid-American
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.0	#146
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.6	#79
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.1	#120

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.1	#205

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	1.1%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.4%	21.4%	9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.2%	5.0%	1.0%
Average Seed	12.7	11.2	12.9

.500 or above	53.2%	80.9%	51.3%
.500 or above in Conference	60.7%	79.6%	59.4%
Conference Champion	11.1%	22.5%	10.4%
Last Place in Conference	6.3%	2.3%	6.6%

First Four	1.0%	1.8%	0.9%
First Round	9.9%	20.4%	9.2%
Second Round	1.9%	6.1%	1.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.5%	1.5%	0.4%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 6.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	6 - 6	7 - 11
Quad 4	6 - 2	13 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	19	@ Michigan	L	69-85	7%
Nov 30, 2020	194	@ Appalachian St.	W	75-74	51%
Dec 03, 2020	182	@ Western Carolina	L	82-83	47%
Dec 06, 2020	116	Buffalo	W	84-83	52%
Dec 13, 2020	121	Wright St.	W	81-80	54%
Jan 02, 2021	189	@ Northern Illinois	L	70-71	50%
Jan 05, 2021	179	@ Miami (OH)	L	74-75	47%
Jan 09, 2021	207	Central Michigan	W	87-80	73%
Jan 12, 2021	130	Ball St.	W	74-72	58%
Jan 15, 2021	116	@ Buffalo	L	81-86	32%
Jan 19, 2021	126	Akron	W	78-76	55%
Jan 23, 2021	207	@ Central Michigan	W	84-83	53%
Jan 26, 2021	189	Northern Illinois	W	74-68	69%
Jan 30, 2021	137	Toledo	W	78-76	58%
Feb 02, 2021	160	@ Eastern Michigan	L	70-72	43%
Feb 06, 2021	238	Western Michigan	W	79-70	76%
Feb 09, 2021	172	Kent St.	W	79-74	65%
Feb 13, 2021	137	@ Toledo	L	75-79	38%
Feb 16, 2021	130	@ Ball St.	L	71-75	38%
Feb 20, 2021	134	Ohio	W	76-74	58%
Feb 23, 2021	172	@ Kent St.	L	76-77	46%
Feb 27, 2021	126	@ Akron	L	75-79	36%
Mar 02, 2021	179	Miami (OH)	W	77-72	65%
Mar 05, 2021	134	@ Ohio	L	73-77	38%
Projected Record						12 - 12	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.1	2.3	3.0	2.3	1.5	0.6	0.1		11.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.5	2.1	3.2	2.6	1.1	0.3	0.0				9.9	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	2.6	3.9	2.3	0.7	0.1						10.2	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.5	4.0	2.1	0.5	0.0							9.5	4th
5th										0.3	2.4	4.2	2.3	0.4	0.0								9.6	5th
6th									0.2	2.0	4.6	2.3	0.3	0.0									9.5	6th
7th								0.3	1.6	3.9	2.7	0.4	0.0										8.7	7th
8th						0.0	0.2	1.5	3.4	2.7	0.4	0.0											8.2	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	1.1	3.2	2.3	0.5	0.0												7.3	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	1.2	2.3	2.0	0.6	0.0	0.0												6.5	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.9	1.4	0.4	0.1														5.5	11th
12th	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.0															4.0	12th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.7	2.5	3.9	5.2	7.4	8.1	9.5	10.5	9.9	9.8	8.7	7.1	5.6	4.3	2.6	1.5	0.6	0.1			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.6		0.6	0.0
18-2	97.4%	1.5		1.4	0.1
17-3	88.4%	2.3		1.9	0.4	0.0
16-4	71.2%	3.0		2.0	0.9	0.1	0.0
15-5	40.9%	2.3		1.0	0.9	0.3	0.0
14-6	14.9%	1.1		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-7	2.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	11.1%	11.1		7.4	2.8	0.8	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		94.2%	36.5%	57.7%	6.8			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		90.8%
19-1	0.6%		78.9%	49.4%	29.5%	8.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1		58.3%
18-2	1.5%		68.4%	40.4%	28.0%	10.5						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0			0.5		46.9%
17-3	2.6%		47.9%	38.2%	9.7%	11.5							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.3		15.7%
16-4	4.3%		32.3%	29.3%	3.1%	12.2										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0		2.9		4.3%
15-5	5.6%		24.3%	23.3%	0.9%	12.9											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.3	0.0		4.2		1.2%
14-6	7.1%		18.7%	18.7%	0.0%	13.2												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.4	0.1		5.8		0.0%
13-7	8.7%		12.3%	12.3%		13.6													0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	7.6
12-8	9.8%		11.1%	11.1%		14.1													0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	8.7
11-9	9.9%		5.4%	5.4%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	9.4
10-10	10.5%		3.2%	3.2%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	10.1
9-11	9.5%		1.6%	1.6%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.4
8-12	8.1%		1.6%	1.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	7.9
7-13	7.4%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	7.3
6-14	5.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
5-15	3.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.9
4-16	2.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
3-17	1.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
2-18	0.7%																							0.7
1-19	0.3%																							0.3
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		10.4%	9.3%	1.1%	12.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.9	2.1	2.6	1.9	1.1	0.6	89.6		1.2%