IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
California Baptist
Western Athletic
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.4	#271
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.9	#141
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.9	#199

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.5	#316

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.5%	10.2%	5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.4	15.5

.500 or above	57.3%	84.0%	56.2%
.500 or above in Conference	67.9%	83.7%	67.2%
Conference Champion	4.5%	12.1%	4.2%
Last Place in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

First Four	2.2%	1.4%	2.2%
First Round	4.4%	9.2%	4.2%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 6	13 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	57	@ USC	L	66-85	4%
Dec 01, 2020	318	Florida A&M	W	76-72	64%
Dec 04, 2020	319	SE Louisiana	W	83-76	74%
Dec 08, 2020	204	UC Davis	L	75-76	48%
Dec 10, 2020	334	Alcorn St.	W	82-72	82%
Dec 16, 2020	38	@ Arizona	L	66-86	4%
Dec 19, 2020	228	Long Beach St.	W	79-78	53%
Dec 21, 2020	262	Southern	W	74-71	59%
Jan 08, 2021	291	@ Utah Valley	L	75-77	43%
Jan 09, 2021	291	@ Utah Valley	L	75-77	43%
Jan 15, 2021	340	Tarleton St.	W	81-69	84%
Jan 16, 2021	340	Tarleton St.	W	81-69	84%
Jan 22, 2021	345	@ Chicago St.	W	72-64	76%
Jan 23, 2021	345	@ Chicago St.	W	72-64	75%
Jan 29, 2021	337	Dixie St.	W	71-60	83%
Jan 30, 2021	337	Dixie St.	W	71-60	82%
Feb 05, 2021	92	@ New Mexico St.	L	62-77	10%
Feb 06, 2021	92	@ New Mexico St.	L	62-77	10%
Feb 12, 2021	231	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	78-77	54%
Feb 13, 2021	231	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	78-77	54%
Feb 19, 2021	177	@ Grand Canyon	L	72-80	25%
Feb 20, 2021	177	@ Grand Canyon	L	72-80	24%
Mar 05, 2021	286	Seattle	W	79-75	62%
Mar 06, 2021	286	Seattle	W	79-75	62%
Projected Record						13 - 11	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Western Athletic Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.2	0.9	1.6	1.2	0.5	0.1		4.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	1.6	4.4	4.7	2.7	0.6				14.4	2nd
3rd								0.1	1.1	4.8	8.2	6.1	1.7	0.1					22.1	3rd
4th							0.3	2.1	6.3	7.9	3.8	0.7	0.0						21.1	4th
5th						0.3	2.7	6.9	5.7	1.8	0.2								17.5	5th
6th					0.4	2.5	4.7	3.1	0.6	0.0									11.2	6th
7th			0.0	0.2	1.6	2.4	1.2	0.2											5.6	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	0.8	1.2	0.3	0.1												2.6	8th
9th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0													1.0	9th
10th																				10th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	3.3	5.5	8.9	12.3	13.6	14.9	13.8	11.4	7.3	4.4	1.8	0.5	0.1			Total

Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.1
14-2	69.1%	1.2		0.7	0.5	0.0
13-3	35.6%	1.6		0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0
12-4	12.3%	0.9		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0
11-5	1.3%	0.2			0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	4.5%	4.5		2.2	1.8	0.5	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		37.2%	35.9%	1.3%	13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		2.0%
15-1	0.5%		37.7%	37.7%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.3
14-2	1.8%		33.1%	33.1%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	1.2
13-3	4.4%		20.0%	20.0%		15.0														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	3.5
12-4	7.3%		14.4%	14.4%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	6.3
11-5	11.4%		8.9%	8.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	10.4
10-6	13.8%		5.3%	5.3%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	13.1
9-7	14.9%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																0.0	0.4	14.4
8-8	13.6%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.3	13.4
7-9	12.3%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	12.2
6-10	8.9%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.8
5-11	5.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
4-12	3.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
3-13	1.4%																							1.4
2-14	0.6%																							0.6
1-15	0.2%																							0.2
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		5.5%	5.5%	0.0%	15.4												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	1.3	3.4	94.5		0.0%