Preseason Rankings
Central Michigan
Mid-American
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#207
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace80.3#10
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#157
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#279
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 4.2% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.3
.500 or above 30.2% 41.5% 18.5%
.500 or above in Conference 31.0% 38.3% 23.4%
Conference Champion 2.8% 4.1% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 20.5% 15.4% 25.9%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round2.8% 4.0% 1.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Neutral) - 50.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 85 - 12
Quad 46 - 311 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 212   Robert Morris W 76-75 51%    
  Dec 01, 2020 171   @ Florida International L 84-89 31%    
  Dec 05, 2020 333   @ Western Illinois W 89-82 73%    
  Dec 09, 2020 199   @ Youngstown St. L 78-82 37%    
  Dec 12, 2020 155   Valparaiso L 81-82 48%    
  Dec 22, 2020 238   @ Western Michigan L 78-79 44%    
  Jan 02, 2021 179   Miami (OH) W 79-78 53%    
  Jan 05, 2021 126   @ Akron L 77-86 22%    
  Jan 09, 2021 146   @ Bowling Green L 80-87 27%    
  Jan 12, 2021 172   Kent St. W 82-81 52%    
  Jan 16, 2021 160   Eastern Michigan L 74-75 50%    
  Jan 19, 2021 137   @ Toledo L 77-85 26%    
  Jan 23, 2021 146   Bowling Green L 83-84 47%    
  Jan 26, 2021 116   @ Buffalo L 83-93 20%    
  Jan 30, 2021 172   @ Kent St. L 79-84 32%    
  Feb 02, 2021 134   Ohio L 79-81 44%    
  Feb 06, 2021 189   @ Northern Illinois L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 09, 2021 130   Ball St. L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 13, 2021 116   Buffalo L 86-90 38%    
  Feb 16, 2021 134   @ Ohio L 76-84 26%    
  Feb 20, 2021 238   Western Michigan W 81-76 64%    
  Feb 23, 2021 160   @ Eastern Michigan L 72-78 32%    
  Feb 27, 2021 130   @ Ball St. L 73-81 26%    
  Mar 02, 2021 137   Toledo L 80-82 44%    
  Mar 05, 2021 189   Northern Illinois W 75-73 55%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.4 2.1 3.5 1.6 0.2 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.4 3.3 0.8 0.0 12.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.3 4.4 2.7 0.7 0.0 13.0 11th
12th 0.6 1.8 3.1 3.7 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 14.4 12th
Total 0.6 1.8 3.5 5.3 7.5 8.9 9.8 10.9 10.8 9.9 8.2 7.0 5.5 3.8 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 99.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 86.7% 0.4    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 66.4% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0
15-5 42.7% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 13.9% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 96.3% 45.0% 51.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.2%
18-2 0.2% 45.3% 36.3% 9.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14.1%
17-3 0.5% 40.2% 32.6% 7.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11.3%
16-4 1.0% 28.7% 27.9% 0.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.1%
15-5 2.0% 19.1% 19.0% 0.1% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.1%
14-6 2.7% 11.0% 11.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.4
13-7 3.8% 9.1% 9.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.4
12-8 5.5% 7.3% 7.3% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.1
11-9 7.0% 4.1% 4.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 6.7
10-10 8.2% 2.7% 2.7% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.9
9-11 9.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.7
8-12 10.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 10.8
7-13 10.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.9
6-14 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.8
5-15 8.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.9
4-16 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
3-17 5.3% 5.3
2-18 3.5% 3.5
1-19 1.8% 1.8
0-20 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 2.9% 2.8% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.4 97.1 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%