Preseason Rankings
Dixie St.
Western Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.7#337
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.3#162
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-16.9#347
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#108
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 3.7% 8.4% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 11.0% 17.5% 8.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.3% 4.1%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Home) - 29.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 45 - 105 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 256   Weber St. L 59-65 29%    
  Dec 02, 2020 248   North Dakota L 62-68 28%    
  Dec 12, 2020 305   @ Denver L 61-70 20%    
  Dec 15, 2020 75   @ Utah St. L 49-74 1%    
  Dec 17, 2020 192   @ Southern Utah L 55-71 8%    
  Dec 29, 2020 1   @ Gonzaga L 51-88 0.1%   
  Jan 08, 2021 92   New Mexico St. L 50-68 5%    
  Jan 09, 2021 92   New Mexico St. L 50-68 6%    
  Jan 15, 2021 231   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 58-71 13%    
  Jan 16, 2021 231   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 58-71 13%    
  Jan 22, 2021 177   Grand Canyon L 58-69 18%    
  Jan 23, 2021 177   Grand Canyon L 58-69 19%    
  Jan 29, 2021 271   @ California Baptist L 60-71 17%    
  Jan 30, 2021 271   @ California Baptist L 60-71 18%    
  Feb 05, 2021 286   Seattle L 62-67 35%    
  Feb 06, 2021 286   Seattle L 62-67 35%    
  Feb 12, 2021 291   @ Utah Valley L 59-69 20%    
  Feb 13, 2021 291   @ Utah Valley L 59-69 19%    
  Feb 19, 2021 340   Tarleton St. W 65-62 60%    
  Feb 20, 2021 340   Tarleton St. W 65-62 60%    
  Feb 26, 2021 345   @ Chicago St. W 57-56 50%    
  Feb 27, 2021 345   @ Chicago St. W 57-56 50%    
Projected Record 5 - 17 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 2.7 3rd
4th 0.3 1.2 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.1 6.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 16.1 6th
7th 0.2 3.8 9.2 7.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 22.5 7th
8th 0.6 5.7 9.9 5.3 1.0 0.1 22.6 8th
9th 3.3 7.5 6.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 19.4 9th
10th 10th
Total 3.3 8.1 11.9 16.1 16.7 13.7 11.6 7.7 5.1 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 65.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 66.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 25.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 7.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 21.2% 21.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 15.5% 15.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.4% 9.6% 9.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 0.7% 7.8% 7.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-6 1.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
9-7 3.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 3.1
8-8 5.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.0
7-9 7.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.7
6-10 11.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.5
5-11 13.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.6
4-12 16.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.7
3-13 16.1% 16.1
2-14 11.9% 11.9
1-15 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.1
0-16 3.3% 3.3
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.3%