IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.6	#233
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.1	#169
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.6	#151

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.2	#312

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	17.4%	21.1%	14.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.1	15.5

.500 or above	63.1%	77.4%	50.3%
.500 or above in Conference	35.4%	42.8%	28.7%
Conference Champion	3.5%	4.6%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.1%	0.3%

First Four	6.4%	5.9%	6.8%
First Round	14.1%	18.2%	10.5%
Second Round	0.5%	0.7%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 3	1 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 4	9 - 4	10 - 8

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	288	@ Quinnipiac	L	75-76	47%
Nov 30, 2020	273	Rider	W	79-77	56%
Nov 30, 2020	152	@ Hofstra	L	72-80	23%
Dec 05, 2020	41	@ Providence	L	65-84	5%
Dec 08, 2020	332	Central Connecticut St.	W	83-72	84%
Dec 09, 2020	332	Central Connecticut St.	W	83-72	84%
Dec 15, 2020	239	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	76-79	40%
Dec 16, 2020	239	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	76-79	40%
Jan 07, 2021	313	Wagner	W	79-71	75%
Jan 14, 2021	310	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	80-73	74%
Jan 15, 2021	310	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	80-73	73%
Jan 21, 2021	290	@ Merrimack	L	65-66	49%
Jan 22, 2021	290	@ Merrimack	L	65-66	49%
Feb 11, 2021	313	@ Wagner	W	76-74	55%
Feb 20, 2021	257	Mount St. Mary's	W	71-67	64%
Feb 21, 2021	257	Mount St. Mary's	W	71-67	63%
Projected Record						9 - 7	7 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.5	1.7	1.4								3.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.9	3.7	3.3	0.7								8.6	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.3	5.7	5.5	1.6	0.0								14.1	3rd
4th							0.1	1.2	6.0	6.4	1.7	0.1									15.6	4th
5th						0.0	1.1	5.3	6.9	2.0	0.1	0.0									15.4	5th
6th					0.1	1.0	4.4	6.6	2.2	0.2	0.0										14.4	6th
7th				0.1	0.7	3.1	5.3	2.4	0.2	0.0											11.7	7th
8th		0.0	0.1	0.6	2.1	3.4	1.8	0.2													8.1	8th
9th	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.5	2.2	1.3	0.2														5.7	9th
10th	0.0	0.3	0.8	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0														2.8	10th
11th	0.0																				0.0	11th

Total	0.1	0.3	1.4	3.0	5.7	8.9	12.9	15.7	16.5	15.2	11.5	6.6	2.1									Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6	64.7%	1.4		0.7	0.6	0.1
11-7	25.1%	1.7		0.4	0.8	0.4	0.1
10-8	4.0%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-9	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0

Total	3.5%	3.5		1.2	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6	2.1%		49.6%	49.6%		13.5							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	1.1
11-7	6.6%		43.0%	43.0%		14.6													0.0	0.3	0.9	1.1	0.5	3.8
10-8	11.5%		32.0%	32.0%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	1.4	7.8
9-9	15.2%		23.4%	23.4%		15.5														0.0	0.3	1.2	2.1	11.6
8-10	16.5%		16.8%	16.8%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.4	2.3	13.8
7-11	15.7%		12.0%	12.0%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.8	13.8
6-12	12.9%		7.5%	7.5%		16.0																0.0	0.9	11.9
5-13	8.9%		5.2%	5.2%		16.0																	0.5	8.5
4-14	5.7%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.1	5.6
3-15	3.0%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	3.0
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	15.3							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	2.2	4.7	9.6	82.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	9.1						17.8	17.8		24.4		20.0	17.8	2.2
Lose Out	0.0%