IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida International
Conference USA
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.7	#171
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.7	#29
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.6	#153

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.2	#212

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.3%	3.8%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Average Seed	12.8	12.6	13.8

.500 or above	55.0%	61.4%	33.1%
.500 or above in Conference	33.0%	36.3%	21.9%
Conference Champion	1.1%	1.3%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	11.3%	9.3%	18.2%

First Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%
First Round	3.2%	3.7%	1.4%
Second Round	0.5%	0.7%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Home) - 77.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 9
Quad 4	7 - 3	12 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 27, 2020	250	Stetson	W	76-68	77%
Dec 01, 2020	207	Central Michigan	W	89-84	69%
Dec 04, 2020	255	Jacksonville St.	W	80-72	76%
Dec 06, 2020	255	Jacksonville St.	W	80-72	77%
Dec 12, 2020	218	@ North Florida	W	84-83	52%
Dec 16, 2020	241	@ Florida Gulf Coast	W	74-73	55%
Dec 19, 2020	203	Georgia Southern	W	84-79	67%
Jan 01, 2021	118	Old Dominion	L	73-74	46%
Jan 02, 2021	118	Old Dominion	L	73-74	46%
Jan 08, 2021	193	@ Middle Tennessee	L	78-80	45%
Jan 09, 2021	193	@ Middle Tennessee	L	78-80	45%
Jan 14, 2021	191	Florida Atlantic	W	78-74	65%
Jan 16, 2021	191	@ Florida Atlantic	L	75-77	45%
Jan 21, 2021	110	Marshall	L	85-87	44%
Jan 23, 2021	110	Marshall	L	85-87	44%
Jan 29, 2021	164	@ Charlotte	L	72-75	40%
Jan 30, 2021	164	@ Charlotte	L	72-75	39%
Feb 12, 2021	161	@ UTEP	L	73-76	38%
Feb 13, 2021	161	@ UTEP	L	73-76	39%
Feb 18, 2021	229	Southern Miss	W	78-71	71%
Feb 20, 2021	229	Southern Miss	W	78-71	71%
Feb 26, 2021	82	@ Western Kentucky	L	74-84	20%
Feb 27, 2021	82	@ Western Kentucky	L	74-84	19%
Projected Record						12 - 11	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.1				1.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.8	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0				2.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.2	1.6	0.9	0.2	0.0					4.0	3rd
4th										0.1	1.4	2.3	1.2	0.2							5.1	4th
5th									0.0	1.0	2.9	1.8	0.3	0.0							6.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	3.2	3.0	0.5	0.0								7.3	6th
7th								0.2	2.7	4.1	1.0	0.1									8.1	7th
8th							0.1	2.0	4.9	2.0	0.1										9.0	8th
9th						0.2	1.4	4.7	3.1	0.3											9.6	9th
10th					0.1	1.1	3.9	4.1	0.7	0.0											9.9	10th
11th				0.1	0.9	3.9	4.2	1.5	0.0												10.6	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	1.0	3.5	4.3	1.5	0.1	0.0												10.6	12th
13th	0.0	0.3	1.4	3.2	3.0	1.4	0.2														9.6	13th
14th	0.4	1.4	2.1	1.7	0.8	0.1															6.4	14th

Total	0.4	1.7	3.6	6.0	8.3	11.0	11.3	12.6	12.1	10.7	8.6	6.0	4.0	2.2	1.1	0.3	0.1					Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	96.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0
15-3	72.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	41.0%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	10.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0					0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.1%	1.1		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.1%		89.3%	16.7%	72.6%	8.3				0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0					0.0		87.1%
15-3	0.3%		64.7%	43.4%	21.4%	9.3					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		37.7%
14-4	1.1%		32.3%	22.8%	9.5%	11.2							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.8		12.3%
13-5	2.2%		23.4%	19.8%	3.6%	12.3										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.7		4.5%
12-6	4.0%		12.9%	11.4%	1.5%	12.7											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		3.5		1.7%
11-7	6.0%		9.2%	9.2%	0.0%	13.2												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	5.4		0.0%
10-8	8.6%		4.1%	4.1%	0.0%	13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	8.2		0.0%
9-9	10.7%		2.4%	2.4%		13.9													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	10.4
8-10	12.1%		1.9%	1.9%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	11.9
7-11	12.6%		1.0%	1.0%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.5
6-12	11.3%		0.8%	0.8%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.1	11.2
5-13	11.0%		0.1%	0.1%		15.5																0.0	0.0	10.9
4-14	8.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
3-15	6.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
2-16	3.6%																							3.6
1-17	1.7%																							1.7
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		3.3%	2.9%	0.4%	12.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.7	0.9	0.7	0.3	0.2	96.7		0.4%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	8.9							59.3		3.7			37.0