IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Rice
Conference USA
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.1	#265
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.1	#71
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.8	#226

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#299

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	0.7%	0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.5	13.3	14.4

.500 or above	12.4%	16.1%	4.5%
.500 or above in Conference	9.3%	11.3%	4.8%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	39.8%	35.3%	49.4%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	0.6%	0.7%	0.3%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Away) - 68.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 7
Quad 3	2 - 7	3 - 13
Quad 4	6 - 3	8 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 27, 2020	336	@ Incarnate Word	W	76-71	68%
Dec 05, 2020	339	@ Houston Baptist	W	93-87	70%
Dec 12, 2020	18	@ Houston	L	61-84	2%
Dec 15, 2020	339	Houston Baptist	W	96-84	85%
Dec 19, 2020	246	@ Sam Houston St.	L	77-81	37%
Dec 21, 2020	336	Incarnate Word	W	79-68	83%
Jan 01, 2021	153	Texas San Antonio	L	82-86	37%
Jan 02, 2021	153	Texas San Antonio	L	82-86	37%
Jan 08, 2021	161	@ UTEP	L	68-77	22%
Jan 09, 2021	161	@ UTEP	L	68-77	22%
Jan 15, 2021	118	Old Dominion	L	69-75	29%
Jan 16, 2021	118	Old Dominion	L	69-75	29%
Jan 22, 2021	131	@ UAB	L	67-78	18%
Jan 23, 2021	131	@ UAB	L	67-78	18%
Jan 28, 2021	95	North Texas	L	66-75	24%
Jan 30, 2021	95	@ North Texas	L	63-78	11%
Feb 05, 2021	229	Southern Miss	W	73-72	54%
Feb 06, 2021	229	Southern Miss	W	73-72	54%
Feb 12, 2021	82	@ Western Kentucky	L	70-86	10%
Feb 13, 2021	82	@ Western Kentucky	L	70-86	9%
Feb 19, 2021	110	Marshall	L	81-88	28%
Feb 20, 2021	110	Marshall	L	81-88	27%
Feb 26, 2021	109	@ Louisiana Tech	L	68-81	14%
Feb 27, 2021	109	@ Louisiana Tech	L	68-81	14%
Projected Record						8 - 16	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3	1st
2nd												0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.7	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0						1.0	3rd
4th										0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0							1.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	1.0	0.3	0.0								2.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	1.3	0.7	0.1									2.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.4	1.2	0.2	0.0									2.9	7th
8th							0.1	1.3	2.4	0.6	0.0										4.5	8th
9th						0.1	1.1	2.9	1.3	0.1											5.5	9th
10th					0.1	1.0	3.4	2.5	0.4												7.4	10th
11th				0.1	1.1	3.8	3.9	1.0	0.0												9.9	11th
12th		0.0	0.3	2.2	5.2	5.5	1.5	0.1													14.8	12th
13th	0.1	1.1	3.8	6.8	6.1	2.0	0.2	0.0													20.0	13th
14th	3.8	7.7	8.8	5.4	1.6	0.2	0.0														27.5	14th

Total	3.9	8.8	12.8	14.4	14.1	12.5	10.3	8.1	5.8	3.7	2.4	1.4	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	76.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-4	48.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	14.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%													0.0
17-1	0.0%																		0.0	0.0				0.0
16-2	0.0%		58.6%	55.2%	3.4%	9.4								0.0		0.0	0.0							0.0		7.7%
15-3	0.1%		32.2%	26.7%	5.6%	11.2											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		7.6%
14-4	0.2%		35.4%	35.0%	0.4%	12.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2		0.6%
13-5	0.5%		13.6%	11.7%	1.9%	12.9													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.4		2.1%
12-6	0.8%		11.6%	11.6%		12.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7
11-7	1.4%		2.6%	2.6%		13.6													0.0		0.0	0.0		1.4
10-8	2.4%		3.9%	3.9%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.3
9-9	3.7%		1.0%	1.0%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.7
8-10	5.8%		1.0%	1.0%		15.2														0.0		0.0	0.0	5.8
7-11	8.1%		0.6%	0.6%		15.6																0.0	0.0	8.0
6-12	10.3%		0.3%	0.3%		15.7																0.0	0.0	10.2
5-13	12.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
4-14	14.1%																							14.1
3-15	14.4%																							14.4
2-16	12.8%																							12.8
1-17	8.8%																							8.8
0-18	3.9%																							3.9

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.0%	13.5								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%