Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
American Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#107
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#83
Pace68.6#161
Improvement-4.9#327

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#108
First Shot-0.4#195
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#16
Layup/Dunks-1.5#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#109
Freethrows-1.2#284
Improvement-3.4#322

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#117
First Shot+2.4#99
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#203
Layups/Dunks+2.4#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#250
Freethrows+0.3#167
Improvement-1.5#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 6
Quad 23 - 34 - 9
Quad 34 - 28 - 11
Quad 410 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 311   Robert Morris W 69-59 93%     1 - 0 -1.8 -9.5 +8.1
  Nov 13, 2021 54   @ Miami (FL) W 95-89 25%     2 - 0 +17.7 +19.1 -1.8
  Nov 16, 2021 184   Jacksonville W 63-54 77%     3 - 0 +5.8 -0.9 +8.1
  Nov 20, 2021 302   @ Evansville W 75-59 85%     4 - 0 +9.7 +8.7 +2.7
  Nov 27, 2021 29   Oklahoma L 62-65 32%     4 - 1 +6.6 -0.4 +6.7
  Dec 01, 2021 11   @ Auburn L 68-85 9%     4 - 2 +2.4 -1.3 +5.6
  Dec 05, 2021 343   Bethune-Cookman W 81-45 95%     5 - 2 +21.3 +0.1 +20.4
  Dec 11, 2021 298   N.C. A&T W 83-68 91%     6 - 2 +4.7 +4.9 -0.3
  Dec 15, 2021 111   @ Temple W 65-48 45%     7 - 2 1 - 0 +23.1 +1.6 +22.5
  Dec 22, 2021 320   North Alabama W 75-64 93%     8 - 2 -1.3 +4.7 -5.2
  Dec 30, 2021 24   Michigan W 85-71 31%     9 - 2 +23.9 +20.2 +4.7
  Jan 02, 2022 49   @ SMU L 60-72 24%     9 - 3 1 - 1 +0.1 -6.6 +6.7
  Jan 05, 2022 111   Temple L 62-66 62%     9 - 4 1 - 2 -2.3 -0.3 -2.5
  Jan 12, 2022 25   Memphis W 74-64 31%     10 - 4 2 - 2 +19.8 +4.1 +15.4
  Jan 15, 2022 231   @ South Florida L 51-75 72%     10 - 5 2 - 3 -25.4 -16.9 -8.3
  Jan 18, 2022 168   @ East Carolina W 92-85 OT 60%     11 - 5 3 - 3 +9.0 +8.4 -0.3
  Jan 22, 2022 96   Tulane W 68-66 55%     12 - 5 4 - 3 +5.5 -2.7 +8.3
  Jan 26, 2022 92   @ Wichita St. L 79-84 37%     12 - 6 4 - 4 +3.2 +11.0 -7.8
  Jan 29, 2022 5   Houston L 49-63 15%     12 - 7 4 - 5 +1.9 -9.1 +8.8
  Feb 03, 2022 231   South Florida W 68-49 84%     13 - 7 5 - 5 +13.2 +0.7 +13.2
  Feb 05, 2022 25   @ Memphis L 60-88 18%     13 - 8 5 - 6 -13.7 -7.7 -4.9
  Feb 08, 2022 92   Wichita St. W 71-66 54%     14 - 8 6 - 6 +8.8 +5.4 +3.6
  Feb 14, 2022 154   Tulsa W 76-67 72%     15 - 8 7 - 6 +7.6 +0.2 +7.1
  Feb 17, 2022 5   @ Houston L 52-70 8%     15 - 9 7 - 7 +2.3 -7.5 +8.4
  Feb 20, 2022 168   East Carolina W 69-66 75%     16 - 9 8 - 7 +0.6 +5.7 -4.6
  Feb 23, 2022 100   Cincinnati W 75-61 57%     17 - 9 9 - 7 +17.0 +8.4 +9.3
  Mar 03, 2022 96   @ Tulane L 67-82 38%     17 - 10 9 - 8 -7.1 -1.9 -5.4
  Mar 06, 2022 154   @ Tulsa L 72-73 57%     17 - 11 9 - 9 +2.0 +0.8 +1.2
  Mar 10, 2022 231   South Florida W 60-58 78%     18 - 11 -1.6 -5.9 +4.4
  Mar 11, 2022 25   Memphis L 69-85 24%     18 - 12 -3.9 +4.0 -8.3
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%