Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.3#10
Expected Predictive Rating+14.5#22
Pace73.8#50
Improvement+4.0#50

Offense
Total Offense+13.5#1
First Shot+10.3#2
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#11
Layup/Dunks+6.2#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#248
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#59
Freethrows+1.9#46
Improvement+1.1#125

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#75
First Shot+4.6#47
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#257
Layups/Dunks-0.1#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#45
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#157
Freethrows+2.4#32
Improvement+2.8#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 20.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 91.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round79.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen50.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight25.2% n/a n/a
Final Four13.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game6.5% n/a n/a
National Champion2.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 24 - 6
Quad 28 - 312 - 9
Quad 37 - 019 - 9
Quad 47 - 026 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 156   Longwood W 106-73 95%     1 - 0 +31.4 +23.7 +5.5
  Nov 12, 2021 217   UMKC W 89-57 97%     2 - 0 +27.1 +11.1 +14.8
  Nov 16, 2021 307   NC Central W 86-69 99%     3 - 0 +5.8 +6.8 -1.3
  Nov 18, 2021 333   Alabama St. W 108-82 99%     4 - 0 +12.9 +22.6 -11.0
  Nov 22, 2021 309   Western Michigan W 109-61 99%     5 - 0 +36.5 +18.2 +13.3
  Nov 26, 2021 244   Portland St. W 85-51 98%     6 - 0 +27.1 +4.3 +20.3
  Nov 29, 2021 77   @ Virginia W 75-74 76%     7 - 0 +11.0 +25.9 -14.7
  Dec 03, 2021 14   @ Purdue L 70-77 46%     7 - 1 0 - 1 +11.4 -3.4 +15.4
  Dec 06, 2021 15   Illinois L 83-87 69%     7 - 2 0 - 2 +8.4 +13.2 -4.7
  Dec 09, 2021 55   @ Iowa St. L 53-73 71%     7 - 3 -8.4 -7.0 -2.5
  Dec 18, 2021 58   Utah St. W 94-75 78%     8 - 3 +28.2 +21.3 +6.0
  Dec 21, 2021 286   SE Louisiana W 93-62 99%     9 - 3 +21.3 +2.3 +15.7
  Dec 29, 2021 242   Western Illinois W 92-71 98%     10 - 3 +14.3 +11.7 +1.8
  Jan 03, 2022 64   Maryland W 80-75 85%     11 - 3 1 - 2 +11.4 +14.8 -3.0
  Jan 06, 2022 30   @ Wisconsin L 78-87 63%     11 - 4 1 - 3 +4.9 +11.5 -6.5
  Jan 13, 2022 33   Indiana W 83-74 78%     12 - 4 2 - 3 +18.2 +13.9 +4.0
  Jan 16, 2022 105   @ Minnesota W 81-71 83%     13 - 4 3 - 3 +17.0 +12.0 +5.1
  Jan 19, 2022 59   @ Rutgers L 46-48 72%     13 - 5 3 - 4 +9.4 -18.3 +27.6
  Jan 22, 2022 73   Penn St. W 68-51 85%     14 - 5 4 - 4 +23.0 +8.1 +17.0
  Jan 27, 2022 14   Purdue L 73-83 63%     14 - 6 4 - 5 +4.0 +6.7 -3.2
  Jan 31, 2022 73   @ Penn St. L 86-90 2OT 75%     14 - 7 4 - 6 +6.4 +6.2 +0.9
  Feb 06, 2022 105   Minnesota W 71-59 91%     15 - 7 5 - 6 +14.6 +2.2 +13.0
  Feb 10, 2022 64   @ Maryland W 110-87 73%     16 - 7 6 - 6 +33.8 +38.4 -5.2
  Feb 13, 2022 116   Nebraska W 98-75 93%     17 - 7 7 - 6 +24.0 +12.9 +8.4
  Feb 17, 2022 24   Michigan L 79-84 76%     17 - 8 7 - 7 +4.9 +2.8 +2.5
  Feb 19, 2022 27   @ Ohio St. W 75-62 62%     18 - 8 8 - 7 +27.2 +15.7 +13.2
  Feb 22, 2022 32   Michigan St. W 86-60 78%     19 - 8 9 - 7 +35.3 +15.4 +19.3
  Feb 25, 2022 116   @ Nebraska W 88-78 86%     20 - 8 10 - 7 +15.4 +17.9 -2.4
  Feb 28, 2022 78   Northwestern W 82-61 87%     21 - 8 11 - 7 +26.3 +10.7 +15.1
  Mar 03, 2022 24   @ Michigan W 82-71 61%     22 - 8 12 - 7 +25.4 +20.6 +5.6
  Mar 06, 2022 15   @ Illinois L 72-74 52%     22 - 9 12 - 8 +14.8 +5.9 +8.9
  Mar 10, 2022 78   Northwestern W 112-76 82%     23 - 9 +43.5 +38.9 +3.0
  Mar 11, 2022 59   Rutgers W 84-74 78%     24 - 9 +19.2 +19.9 -0.3
  Mar 12, 2022 33   Indiana W 80-77 72%     25 - 9 +14.4 +18.1 -3.6
  Mar 13, 2022 14   Purdue W 75-66 54%     26 - 9 +25.2 +8.8 +16.8
Projected Record 26 - 9 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 16.5 42.3 29.4 7.6 0.6 0.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 16.5 42.3 29.4 7.6 0.6 0.0