Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.1#24
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#46
Pace66.4#226
Improvement+0.1#174

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#17
First Shot+5.3#41
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#10
Layup/Dunks+5.2#24
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#233
Freethrows+0.2#146
Improvement+1.6#96

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#81
First Shot+1.2#134
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#14
Layups/Dunks+3.3#54
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#356
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#76
Freethrows+1.4#79
Improvement-1.5#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 84.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 84.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.7% n/a n/a
First Round77.4% n/a n/a
Second Round38.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.8% n/a n/a
Final Four1.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 74 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 35 - 10
Quad 23 - 38 - 13
Quad 36 - 114 - 14
Quad 43 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 121   Buffalo W 88-76 85%     1 - 0 +12.9 +10.8 +1.6
  Nov 13, 2021 300   Prairie View W 77-49 96%     2 - 0 +19.8 -2.7 +21.2
  Nov 16, 2021 34   Seton Hall L 65-67 62%     2 - 1 +7.0 -0.6 +7.6
  Nov 19, 2021 86   UNLV W 74-61 71%     3 - 1 +19.5 +9.1 +11.2
  Nov 21, 2021 2   Arizona L 62-80 23%     3 - 2 +1.9 -3.7 +5.7
  Nov 24, 2021 216   Tarleton St. W 65-54 93%     4 - 2 +6.2 -1.8 +9.2
  Dec 01, 2021 28   @ North Carolina L 51-72 43%     4 - 3 -7.0 -12.0 +3.3
  Dec 04, 2021 26   San Diego St. W 72-58 59%     5 - 3 +23.8 +11.3 +12.9
  Dec 07, 2021 116   @ Nebraska W 102-67 74%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +40.4 +20.7 +16.2
  Dec 11, 2021 105   Minnesota L 65-75 82%     6 - 4 1 - 1 -7.4 -1.3 -7.2
  Dec 18, 2021 167   Southern Utah W 87-50 90%     7 - 4 +34.7 +12.3 +23.2
  Dec 30, 2021 107   @ Central Florida L 71-85 69%     7 - 5 -7.1 +6.0 -13.9
  Jan 04, 2022 59   @ Rutgers L 67-75 53%     7 - 6 1 - 2 +3.4 +4.6 -1.5
  Jan 14, 2022 15   @ Illinois L 53-68 33%     7 - 7 1 - 3 +1.8 -5.5 +5.5
  Jan 18, 2022 64   Maryland W 83-64 71%     8 - 7 2 - 3 +25.4 +21.8 +5.7
  Jan 23, 2022 33   @ Indiana W 80-62 44%     9 - 7 3 - 3 +31.6 +20.2 +12.4
  Jan 26, 2022 78   Northwestern W 72-70 74%     10 - 7 4 - 3 +7.3 +9.1 -1.6
  Jan 29, 2022 32   @ Michigan St. L 67-83 44%     10 - 8 4 - 4 -2.3 +0.2 -2.3
  Feb 01, 2022 116   Nebraska W 85-79 85%     11 - 8 5 - 4 +7.0 +7.3 -0.6
  Feb 05, 2022 14   @ Purdue L 76-82 27%     11 - 9 5 - 5 +12.4 +14.1 -2.2
  Feb 08, 2022 73   @ Penn St. W 58-57 57%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +11.4 +4.7 +6.9
  Feb 10, 2022 14   Purdue W 82-58 43%     13 - 9 7 - 5 +38.0 +22.5 +18.6
  Feb 12, 2022 27   Ohio St. L 57-68 59%     13 - 10 7 - 6 -1.3 -7.7 +5.1
  Feb 17, 2022 10   @ Iowa W 84-79 24%     14 - 10 8 - 6 +24.5 +9.8 +14.4
  Feb 20, 2022 30   @ Wisconsin L 63-77 43%     14 - 11 8 - 7 -0.1 -1.8 +1.6
  Feb 23, 2022 59   Rutgers W 71-62 69%     15 - 11 9 - 7 +16.0 +5.0 +11.3
  Feb 27, 2022 15   Illinois L 85-93 49%     15 - 12 9 - 8 +4.4 +13.3 -8.5
  Mar 01, 2022 32   Michigan St. W 87-70 61%     16 - 12 10 - 8 +26.3 +19.4 +7.1
  Mar 03, 2022 10   Iowa L 71-82 39%     16 - 13 10 - 9 +4.1 +6.7 -3.4
  Mar 06, 2022 27   @ Ohio St. W 75-69 42%     17 - 13 11 - 9 +20.2 +10.6 +10.0
  Mar 10, 2022 33   Indiana L 69-74 53%     17 - 14 +6.4 +4.2 +2.1
Projected Record 17 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 84.0% 84.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.8 10.4 28.1 37.5 3.8 0.0 16.0 84.0%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 84.0% 0.0% 84.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.8 10.4 28.1 37.5 3.8 0.0 16.0 84.0%