Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#85
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#60
Pace66.4#222
Improvement+2.3#91

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#92
First Shot-0.7#205
After Offensive Rebound+3.8#3
Layup/Dunks+0.6#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#114
Freethrows-0.2#192
Improvement-0.4#207

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#82
First Shot+3.3#75
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#142
Layups/Dunks+4.8#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#308
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
Freethrows+0.6#128
Improvement+2.7#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round24.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b2 - 02 - 0
Quad 24 - 26 - 2
Quad 39 - 315 - 5
Quad 48 - 123 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 139   UC Irvine W 62-51 75%     1 - 0 +10.7 -2.6 +14.2
  Nov 13, 2021 158   UTEP W 77-71 79%     2 - 0 +4.2 +4.9 -0.7
  Nov 18, 2021 52   Davidson W 75-64 39%     3 - 0 +20.6 +10.0 +11.7
  Nov 19, 2021 58   Utah St. L 58-85 41%     3 - 1 -17.8 -4.1 -16.4
  Nov 21, 2021 223   Indiana St. W 80-66 82%     4 - 1 +11.0 +9.9 +1.4
  Nov 30, 2021 155   New Mexico L 94-101 79%     4 - 2 -8.6 +6.4 -14.1
  Dec 03, 2021 158   @ UTEP W 72-69 66%     5 - 2 +5.6 +9.1 -3.2
  Dec 06, 2021 155   @ New Mexico W 78-76 OT 65%     6 - 2 +4.9 -7.3 +11.8
  Dec 11, 2021 183   @ Loyola Marymount W 63-58 70%     7 - 2 +6.3 -13.0 +19.2
  Dec 15, 2021 51   @ Washington St. W 64-61 31%     8 - 2 +14.8 +2.1 +13.0
  Jan 01, 2022 340   Chicago St. W 78-61 96%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +2.6 -4.8 +7.0
  Jan 08, 2022 305   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 85-73 89%     10 - 2 2 - 0 +5.5 +6.6 -1.2
  Jan 13, 2022 216   Tarleton St. W 73-57 86%     11 - 2 3 - 0 +11.2 +0.2 +11.3
  Jan 15, 2022 132   Abilene Christian W 77-63 74%     12 - 2 4 - 0 +14.1 +9.3 +5.5
  Jan 20, 2022 145   @ Sam Houston St. L 46-71 63%     12 - 3 4 - 1 -21.5 -12.9 -14.0
  Jan 22, 2022 117   @ Stephen F. Austin W 72-58 55%     13 - 3 5 - 1 +19.4 +8.1 +12.3
  Jan 29, 2022 103   Grand Canyon W 71-61 65%     14 - 3 6 - 1 +12.8 -2.1 +14.5
  Feb 03, 2022 226   California Baptist W 68-57 87%     15 - 3 7 - 1 +5.5 -5.8 +11.4
  Feb 05, 2022 141   Seattle W 79-64 75%     16 - 3 8 - 1 +14.7 +0.3 +12.7
  Feb 10, 2022 280   @ Dixie St. W 77-69 86%     17 - 3 9 - 1 +3.3 +0.8 +2.2
  Feb 12, 2022 133   @ Utah Valley L 68-72 59%     17 - 4 9 - 2 +0.4 +3.8 -3.7
  Feb 16, 2022 280   Dixie St. W 75-64 92%     18 - 4 10 - 2 +1.9 -3.9 +5.3
  Feb 19, 2022 103   @ Grand Canyon W 82-66 48%     19 - 4 11 - 2 +23.2 +17.5 +6.3
  Feb 21, 2022 141   @ Seattle W 68-55 60%     20 - 4 12 - 2 +17.2 +1.9 +15.5
  Feb 26, 2022 340   @ Chicago St. L 59-61 93%     20 - 5 12 - 3 -12.0 -12.0 -0.2
  Mar 02, 2022 117   Stephen F. Austin L 71-73 71%     20 - 6 12 - 4 -1.0 +6.7 -7.9
  Mar 05, 2022 133   Utah Valley W 62-46 74%     21 - 6 13 - 4 +16.0 -2.4 +20.1
  Mar 11, 2022 103   Grand Canyon W 75-70 57%     22 - 6 +10.0 +14.3 -3.8
  Mar 12, 2022 132   Abilene Christian W 66-52 67%     23 - 6 +16.3 +4.2 +13.9
Projected Record 23 - 6 13 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.1 0.1 3.7 81.7 14.6
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.1 0.1 3.7 81.7 14.6