Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Western Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#117
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#109
Pace71.5#88
Improvement+2.5#83

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#170
First Shot-0.6#201
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#104
Layup/Dunks+7.5#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#321
Freethrows-0.1#179
Improvement+1.9#83

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#102
First Shot+5.0#37
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#328
Layups/Dunks+4.9#24
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#114
Freethrows-2.7#333
Improvement+0.7#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 32 - 4
Quad 38 - 410 - 8
Quad 48 - 118 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2021 79   South Dakota St. L 71-83 43%     0 - 1 -6.9 -10.1 +4.1
  Nov 19, 2021 109   Middle Tennessee W 87-74 56%     1 - 1 +14.8 +7.3 +6.3
  Nov 23, 2021 121   Buffalo W 79-78 51%     2 - 1 +4.1 +0.3 +3.7
  Nov 24, 2021 67   Saint Louis L 68-79 31%     2 - 2 -2.7 -3.4 +1.0
  Nov 28, 2021 339   @ Northwestern St. W 72-68 88%     3 - 2 -5.7 -7.5 +1.9
  Dec 11, 2021 136   Liberty W 63-51 55%     4 - 2 +14.0 -1.4 +16.9
  Dec 14, 2021 270   Louisiana Monroe L 69-82 86%     4 - 3 -21.3 -6.6 -15.2
  Dec 18, 2021 4   @ Kansas L 72-80 6%     4 - 4 +12.3 +4.8 +7.8
  Jan 06, 2022 132   @ Abilene Christian W 64-58 45%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +10.5 -8.6 +18.8
  Jan 08, 2022 216   @ Tarleton St. L 71-77 OT 64%     5 - 5 1 - 1 -6.4 -5.6 -0.4
  Jan 11, 2022 305   UT Rio Grande Valley W 86-75 90%     6 - 5 2 - 1 +0.1 +0.3 -0.9
  Jan 15, 2022 145   @ Sam Houston St. L 41-49 49%     6 - 6 2 - 2 -4.5 -23.1 +17.7
  Jan 17, 2022 347   Lamar W 86-78 95%     7 - 6 3 - 2 -7.7 +6.6 -14.3
  Jan 20, 2022 103   Grand Canyon W 71-46 52%     8 - 6 4 - 2 +27.8 +2.9 +25.5
  Jan 22, 2022 85   New Mexico St. L 58-72 45%     8 - 7 4 - 3 -9.4 -8.4 -2.0
  Jan 26, 2022 141   @ Seattle L 62-70 46%     8 - 8 4 - 4 -3.8 -3.1 -1.1
  Jan 29, 2022 226   @ California Baptist W 81-77 66%     9 - 8 5 - 4 +2.9 +6.1 -3.3
  Feb 03, 2022 133   Utah Valley W 78-59 62%     10 - 8 6 - 4 +19.0 +4.1 +14.2
  Feb 05, 2022 280   Dixie St. W 81-52 87%     11 - 8 7 - 4 +19.9 -3.0 +19.8
  Feb 10, 2022 340   @ Chicago St. W 81-61 89%     12 - 8 8 - 4 +10.0 -2.6 +11.3
  Feb 16, 2022 340   Chicago St. W 88-71 94%     13 - 8 9 - 4 +2.6 -0.2 +1.4
  Feb 19, 2022 347   @ Lamar W 70-56 91%     14 - 8 10 - 4 +2.7 -8.8 +11.2
  Feb 24, 2022 145   Sam Houston St. W 69-67 66%     15 - 8 11 - 4 +1.1 +2.4 -1.2
  Feb 26, 2022 132   Abilene Christian W 73-71 62%     16 - 8 12 - 4 +2.1 +5.9 -3.7
  Mar 02, 2022 85   @ New Mexico St. W 73-71 29%     17 - 8 13 - 4 +11.0 +11.8 -0.6
  Mar 05, 2022 305   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 93-63 82%     18 - 8 14 - 4 +23.5 +12.3 +10.2
  Mar 10, 2022 132   Abilene Christian L 62-76 54%     18 - 9 -11.7 -10.4 -0.9
Projected Record 18 - 9 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%