Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#133
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#128
Pace65.5#252
Improvement-3.2#304

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#196
First Shot+0.1#182
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#255
Layup/Dunks+3.3#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#293
Freethrows+0.7#115
Improvement-3.6#332

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#99
First Shot+2.4#101
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#121
Layups/Dunks+1.8#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#74
Freethrows+0.6#126
Improvement+0.4#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 36 - 58 - 11
Quad 410 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 37   @ Boise St. L 56-76 15%     0 - 1 -6.9 -7.2 -0.2
  Nov 15, 2021 265   @ Pepperdine W 86-74 OT 72%     1 - 1 +8.2 +6.3 +1.2
  Nov 17, 2021 148   @ Long Beach St. W 84-78 OT 45%     2 - 1 +9.4 +7.9 +1.1
  Nov 22, 2021 321   Idaho W 83-45 87%     3 - 1 +27.9 -3.5 +28.5
  Nov 24, 2021 224   Nicholls St. W 74-63 70%     4 - 1 +7.9 +2.2 +6.0
  Nov 27, 2021 295   Denver W 77-68 OT 87%     5 - 1 -1.2 -7.0 +5.4
  Dec 01, 2021 61   BYU W 72-65 OT 33%     6 - 1 +13.7 -7.0 +19.7
  Dec 08, 2021 167   @ Southern Utah L 56-60 50%     6 - 2 -1.8 -15.7 +13.6
  Dec 11, 2021 74   @ Wyoming L 62-74 22%     6 - 3 -1.7 +9.0 -13.6
  Dec 21, 2021 101   @ Washington W 68-52 31%     7 - 3 +23.4 +2.0 +21.9
  Dec 30, 2021 132   Abilene Christian L 76-80 58%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -3.9 +12.1 -16.4
  Jan 01, 2022 216   Tarleton St. W 77-55 75%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +17.2 +5.3 +12.5
  Jan 08, 2022 280   Dixie St. W 79-71 85%     9 - 4 2 - 1 -1.1 -0.7 -0.8
  Jan 12, 2022 141   @ Seattle L 65-71 42%     9 - 5 2 - 2 -1.8 -3.8 +2.0
  Jan 15, 2022 226   @ California Baptist L 73-75 62%     9 - 6 2 - 3 -3.1 +2.6 -5.7
  Jan 20, 2022 305   UT Rio Grande Valley W 66-56 89%     10 - 6 3 - 3 -0.9 -9.6 +9.4
  Jan 22, 2022 347   Lamar W 58-41 94%     11 - 6 4 - 3 +1.3 -17.6 +20.1
  Jan 27, 2022 340   @ Chicago St. W 101-87 87%     12 - 6 5 - 3 +4.0 +28.8 -23.9
  Feb 03, 2022 117   @ Stephen F. Austin L 59-78 38%     12 - 7 5 - 4 -13.6 -12.0 -0.8
  Feb 05, 2022 145   @ Sam Houston St. W 57-54 45%     13 - 7 6 - 4 +6.5 -6.5 +13.3
  Feb 10, 2022 103   Grand Canyon L 69-79 48%     13 - 8 6 - 5 -7.2 -0.8 -6.4
  Feb 12, 2022 85   New Mexico St. W 72-68 41%     14 - 8 7 - 5 +8.6 +6.5 +2.3
  Feb 16, 2022 216   @ Tarleton St. W 69-56 60%     15 - 8 8 - 5 +12.6 +3.1 +10.6
  Feb 19, 2022 280   @ Dixie St. L 75-80 OT 74%     15 - 9 8 - 6 -9.7 -6.4 -2.8
  Feb 24, 2022 141   Seattle W 67-52 59%     16 - 9 9 - 6 +14.7 -5.8 +19.8
  Feb 26, 2022 226   California Baptist W 63-54 77%     17 - 9 10 - 6 +3.5 -11.6 +15.1
  Mar 03, 2022 103   @ Grand Canyon L 57-68 31%     17 - 10 10 - 7 -3.8 -8.1 +3.8
  Mar 05, 2022 85   @ New Mexico St. L 46-62 26%     17 - 11 10 - 8 -7.0 -17.2 +8.5
  Mar 08, 2022 340   Chicago St. W 69-47 90%     18 - 11 +9.8 -0.8 +13.8
  Mar 09, 2022 132   Abilene Christian L 74-82 50%     18 - 12 -5.7 +6.4 -12.5
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%