Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#18
Expected Predictive Rating+13.0#25
Pace62.3#324
Improvement-0.3#220

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#79
First Shot+1.4#126
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#23
Layup/Dunks+2.0#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#262
Freethrows-0.9#253
Improvement+0.0#177

Defense
Total Defense+9.2#8
First Shot+6.9#20
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#11
Layups/Dunks+11.1#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#277
Freethrows-0.8#253
Improvement-0.4#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 39.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round71.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen37.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.2% n/a n/a
Final Four5.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 76 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 410 - 11
Quad 22 - 212 - 13
Quad 31 - 013 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 360   IUPUI W 88-39 99%     1 - 0 +31.1 +3.1 +26.9
  Nov 13, 2022 316   N.C. A&T W 80-43 98%     2 - 0 +25.3 +4.5 +22.1
  Nov 20, 2022 232   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 68-53 96%     3 - 0 +8.5 -9.1 +17.4
  Nov 24, 2022 55   Villanova W 81-79 OT 65%     4 - 0 +11.3 +4.1 +7.0
  Nov 25, 2022 39   North Carolina W 70-65 58%     5 - 0 +16.0 +9.5 +7.0
  Nov 27, 2022 4   Connecticut L 53-71 33%     5 - 1 -0.3 -6.4 +4.2
  Nov 30, 2022 276   North Dakota W 63-44 97%     6 - 1 +9.8 -7.2 +19.6
  Dec 04, 2022 80   St. John's W 71-60 80%     7 - 1 +15.4 -0.8 +15.8
  Dec 08, 2022 34   @ Iowa L 56-75 45%     7 - 2 -4.5 -13.2 +8.2
  Dec 11, 2022 338   McNeese St. W 77-40 99%     8 - 2 +22.9 +0.4 +24.7
  Dec 18, 2022 313   Western Michigan W 73-57 98%     9 - 2 +4.6 +4.2 +3.1
  Dec 31, 2022 14   Baylor W 77-62 57%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +26.4 +7.4 +19.4
  Jan 04, 2023 53   @ Oklahoma W 63-60 53%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +15.5 +8.3 +7.7
  Jan 07, 2023 21   @ TCU W 69-67 39%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +18.1 +8.6 +9.6
  Jan 10, 2023 48   Texas Tech W 84-50 73%     13 - 2 4 - 0 +40.9 +16.8 +25.0
  Jan 14, 2023 9   @ Kansas L 60-62 27%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +17.5 +3.7 +13.6
  Jan 17, 2023 5   Texas W 78-67 47%     14 - 3 5 - 1 +25.0 +17.7 +8.1
  Jan 21, 2023 41   @ Oklahoma St. L 59-61 48%     14 - 4 5 - 2 +11.7 +1.9 +9.6
  Jan 24, 2023 23   Kansas St. W 80-76 63%     15 - 4 6 - 2 +13.9 +17.8 -3.7
  Jan 28, 2023 51   @ Missouri L 61-78 52%     15 - 5 -4.4 -5.6 -0.2
  Jan 30, 2023 48   @ Texas Tech L 77-80 OT 51%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +9.8 +5.7 +4.3
  Feb 04, 2023 9   Kansas W 68-53 49%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +28.5 +5.8 +23.3
  Feb 08, 2023 16   @ West Virginia L 71-76 37%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +11.7 +3.3 +8.5
  Feb 11, 2023 41   Oklahoma St. L 56-64 70%     16 - 8 7 - 5 -0.3 -7.3 +6.7
  Feb 15, 2023 21   TCU W 70-59 62%     17 - 8 8 - 5 +21.2 +6.1 +15.5
  Feb 18, 2023 23   @ Kansas St. L 55-61 40%     17 - 9 8 - 6 +9.9 -4.1 +13.5
  Feb 21, 2023 5   @ Texas L 54-72 26%     17 - 10 8 - 7 +2.0 +0.5 -1.5
  Feb 25, 2023 53   Oklahoma L 50-61 74%     17 - 11 8 - 8 -4.5 -10.4 +4.1
  Feb 27, 2023 16   West Virginia L 69-72 60%     17 - 12 8 - 9 +7.7 +6.1 +1.4
  Mar 04, 2023 14   @ Baylor W 73-58 34%     18 - 12 9 - 9 +32.4 +8.2 +24.9
  Mar 09, 2023 14   Baylor W 78-72 45%     19 - 12 +20.4 +18.1 +3.1
  Mar 10, 2023 9   Kansas L 58-71 37%     19 - 13 +3.5 -2.9 +5.9
Projected Record 19 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.7 0.0 5.8 33.7 48.5 11.6 0.4 100.0%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.7 0.0 5.8 33.7 48.5 11.6 0.4 100.0%