Pre-tourney Rankings
UCLA
Pac-12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+18.6#3
Expected Predictive Rating+18.5#5
Pace65.9#236
Improvement-0.2#201

Offense
Total Offense+6.7#28
First Shot+5.0#45
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#58
Layup/Dunks+5.0#23
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#318
Freethrows+0.4#141
Improvement-1.1#300

Defense
Total Defense+11.8#1
First Shot+9.6#1
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#16
Layups/Dunks+6.2#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#135
Freethrows+2.6#20
Improvement+0.9#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 13.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 64.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 98.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round97.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen72.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight50.3% n/a n/a
Final Four31.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game18.9% n/a n/a
National Champion10.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b6 - 28 - 5
Quad 29 - 017 - 5
Quad 35 - 022 - 5
Quad 47 - 029 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 231   Sacramento St. W 76-50 98%     1 - 0 +19.6 +1.9 +18.6
  Nov 11, 2022 162   Long Beach St. W 93-69 97%     2 - 0 +21.2 +5.9 +12.0
  Nov 14, 2022 200   Norfolk St. W 86-56 97%     3 - 0 +25.5 +17.8 +10.9
  Nov 18, 2022 30   Illinois L 70-79 73%     3 - 1 +3.2 -2.5 +6.5
  Nov 20, 2022 14   Baylor L 75-80 66%     3 - 2 +9.4 +6.3 +3.0
  Nov 23, 2022 185   Pepperdine W 100-53 97%     4 - 2 +43.2 +20.7 +20.6
  Nov 27, 2022 256   Bellarmine W 81-60 98%     5 - 2 +12.9 +7.1 +6.9
  Dec 01, 2022 86   @ Stanford W 80-66 80%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +23.8 +13.2 +11.2
  Dec 04, 2022 47   Oregon W 65-56 86%     7 - 2 2 - 0 +16.0 +2.4 +14.8
  Dec 10, 2022 306   Denver W 87-64 99%     8 - 2 +12.3 +3.6 +7.5
  Dec 14, 2022 25   @ Maryland W 87-60 61%     9 - 2 +42.7 +25.2 +18.4
  Dec 17, 2022 26   Kentucky W 63-53 72%     10 - 2 +22.5 -2.5 +25.6
  Dec 21, 2022 160   UC Davis W 81-54 97%     11 - 2 +24.3 +7.2 +17.0
  Dec 30, 2022 62   @ Washington St. W 67-66 75%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +12.6 +6.2 +6.5
  Jan 01, 2023 100   @ Washington W 74-49 84%     13 - 2 4 - 0 +32.7 +10.6 +23.4
  Jan 05, 2023 42   USC W 60-58 84%     14 - 2 5 - 0 +9.7 +2.0 +8.1
  Jan 12, 2023 70   Utah W 68-49 89%     15 - 2 6 - 0 +24.2 +8.7 +18.0
  Jan 14, 2023 59   Colorado W 68-54 88%     16 - 2 7 - 0 +20.0 +3.0 +17.4
  Jan 19, 2023 66   @ Arizona St. W 74-62 75%     17 - 2 8 - 0 +23.5 +16.8 +7.8
  Jan 21, 2023 10   @ Arizona L 52-58 47%     17 - 3 8 - 1 +13.3 -10.6 +23.6
  Jan 26, 2023 42   @ USC L 64-77 68%     17 - 4 8 - 2 +0.7 +4.3 -4.9
  Feb 02, 2023 100   Washington W 70-61 93%     18 - 4 9 - 2 +10.8 +3.2 +8.0
  Feb 04, 2023 62   Washington St. W 76-52 88%     19 - 4 10 - 2 +29.7 +11.9 +19.6
  Feb 09, 2023 196   @ Oregon St. W 62-47 93%     20 - 4 11 - 2 +16.7 +1.2 +17.6
  Feb 11, 2023 47   @ Oregon W 70-63 71%     21 - 4 12 - 2 +20.0 +6.5 +13.9
  Feb 16, 2023 86   Stanford W 73-64 91%     22 - 4 13 - 2 +12.8 +7.8 +6.0
  Feb 18, 2023 243   California W 78-43 98%     23 - 4 14 - 2 +27.7 +8.6 +21.1
  Feb 23, 2023 70   @ Utah W 78-71 76%     24 - 4 15 - 2 +18.1 +15.1 +3.3
  Feb 26, 2023 59   @ Colorado W 60-56 74%     25 - 4 16 - 2 +16.0 +2.1 +14.3
  Mar 02, 2023 66   Arizona St. W 79-61 88%     26 - 4 17 - 2 +23.5 +9.3 +13.6
  Mar 04, 2023 10   Arizona W 82-73 69%     27 - 4 18 - 2 +22.4 +6.1 +15.5
  Mar 09, 2023 59   Colorado W 80-69 82%     28 - 4 +20.0 +17.7 +2.7
  Mar 10, 2023 47   Oregon W 75-56 79%     29 - 4 +29.0 +8.7 +21.0
  Mar 11, 2023 10   Arizona L 59-61 59%     29 - 5 +14.4 -5.1 +19.4
  Mar 16, 2023 156   UNC Asheville W 76-58 94%    
Projected Record 30 - 5 18 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.4 64.5 33.9 1.6 0.0 100.0%
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.4 64.5 33.9 1.6 0.0 100.0%