Preseason Rankings
Lehigh
Patriot League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#282
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.3#110
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#261
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#298
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 13.2% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.0 15.0
.500 or above 31.9% 73.1% 30.7%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 75.9% 43.5%
Conference Champion 5.0% 14.7% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 14.2% 3.4% 14.5%
First Four1.3% 1.9% 1.3%
First Round4.0% 11.8% 3.8%
Second Round0.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 410 - 811 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 52   @ Syracuse L 66-86 3%    
  Nov 10, 2022 34   @ Virginia Tech L 58-80 2%    
  Nov 16, 2022 296   Marist W 72-68 63%    
  Nov 21, 2022 291   @ St. Francis (PA) L 72-74 42%    
  Nov 27, 2022 260   Monmouth W 71-70 54%    
  Nov 30, 2022 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-64 83%    
  Dec 03, 2022 236   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 75-76 48%    
  Dec 15, 2022 41   @ Wisconsin L 60-81 4%    
  Dec 20, 2022 217   @ Cornell L 75-83 26%    
  Dec 30, 2022 266   @ Army L 72-77 36%    
  Jan 02, 2023 113   Colgate L 70-78 27%    
  Jan 05, 2023 274   @ Bucknell L 74-78 38%    
  Jan 08, 2023 246   @ Navy L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 11, 2023 317   Holy Cross W 76-71 66%    
  Jan 14, 2023 312   American W 72-67 66%    
  Jan 16, 2023 297   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 21, 2023 271   Lafayette W 72-70 55%    
  Jan 25, 2023 317   @ Holy Cross L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 29, 2023 233   Boston University L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 01, 2023 266   Army W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 04, 2023 271   @ Lafayette L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 08, 2023 113   @ Colgate L 67-81 14%    
  Feb 11, 2023 297   Loyola Maryland W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 15, 2023 246   Navy L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 18, 2023 312   @ American L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 22, 2023 274   Bucknell W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 25, 2023 233   @ Boston University L 68-75 29%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 5.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.7 1.7 0.6 0.1 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.4 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.2 2.8 0.8 0.1 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.7 2.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.9 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.5 3.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.5 1.4 2.5 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.0 9.3 10th
Total 0.5 1.5 3.0 5.0 6.5 8.4 9.6 10.6 10.6 10.0 9.1 7.6 6.4 4.6 3.3 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 90.4% 0.9    0.7 0.1
15-3 68.6% 1.3    0.9 0.5 0.0
14-4 38.8% 1.3    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.3% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 59.2% 57.1% 2.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9%
17-1 0.4% 47.4% 46.8% 0.6% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.1%
16-2 1.0% 34.4% 34.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.0% 29.4% 29.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.3% 18.3% 18.3% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.7
13-5 4.6% 13.9% 13.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 4.0
12-6 6.4% 10.5% 10.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 5.7
11-7 7.6% 6.9% 6.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.1
10-8 9.1% 4.4% 4.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.7
9-9 10.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.7
8-10 10.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.4
7-11 10.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.5
6-12 9.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.6
5-13 8.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.3
4-14 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
3-15 5.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.0
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 1.5% 1.5
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 2.0 95.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%