Preseason Rankings
St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#145
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.3#262
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#266
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#65
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.9% 21.6% 13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Average Seed 13.1 12.7 13.7
.500 or above 80.9% 88.6% 72.0%
.500 or above in Conference 81.8% 89.7% 72.8%
Conference Champion 21.7% 30.0% 12.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.6% 3.0%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.2%
First Round17.3% 21.1% 13.1%
Second Round2.6% 3.6% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 53.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 11 - 3
Quad 33 - 34 - 6
Quad 414 - 317 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 13, 2022 221   @ Quinnipiac W 69-68 53%    
  Nov 07, 2022 325   NJIT W 71-56 92%    
  Nov 12, 2022 46   @ Seton Hall L 59-71 14%    
  Nov 15, 2022 274   Bucknell W 75-64 82%    
  Nov 19, 2022 314   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 71-63 75%    
  Nov 27, 2022 319   Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-64 89%    
  Dec 01, 2022 267   Mount St. Mary's W 65-55 80%    
  Dec 03, 2022 222   @ Fairfield W 62-61 53%    
  Dec 13, 2022 327   @ Hartford W 70-61 77%    
  Dec 18, 2022 221   Quinnipiac W 72-65 71%    
  Dec 22, 2022 48   @ Maryland L 60-72 16%    
  Dec 30, 2022 227   Manhattan W 71-64 73%    
  Jan 01, 2023 101   @ Iona L 65-72 30%    
  Jan 06, 2023 244   @ Siena W 64-62 57%    
  Jan 08, 2023 290   Canisius W 72-60 84%    
  Jan 15, 2023 222   Fairfield W 65-58 71%    
  Jan 20, 2023 296   @ Marist W 66-60 70%    
  Jan 22, 2023 239   Niagara W 66-58 73%    
  Jan 28, 2023 267   @ Mount St. Mary's W 62-58 62%    
  Feb 03, 2023 218   @ Rider W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 10, 2023 296   Marist W 69-57 84%    
  Feb 12, 2023 227   @ Manhattan W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 19, 2023 101   Iona L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 24, 2023 290   @ Canisius W 69-63 69%    
  Feb 26, 2023 239   @ Niagara W 63-61 55%    
  Mar 02, 2023 218   Rider W 69-62 70%    
  Mar 04, 2023 244   Siena W 67-59 73%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.5 5.3 4.6 2.7 1.0 21.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.7 5.6 4.2 1.8 0.4 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.9 4.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 15.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.9 4.5 2.7 0.7 0.1 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.1 0.9 0.1 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.1 3.2 4.4 5.7 7.2 8.7 10.0 10.3 10.6 10.3 9.0 7.0 5.0 2.7 1.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
19-1 100.0% 2.7    2.6 0.1
18-2 92.1% 4.6    4.0 0.6 0.0
17-3 74.8% 5.3    3.8 1.4 0.1
16-4 49.5% 4.5    2.5 1.7 0.3 0.0
15-5 26.1% 2.7    1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0
14-6 8.0% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 21.7% 21.7 15.2 5.4 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 1.0% 80.5% 65.8% 14.7% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 43.0%
19-1 2.7% 64.1% 54.4% 9.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.0 21.1%
18-2 5.0% 47.5% 44.7% 2.8% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.6 5.0%
17-3 7.0% 37.7% 36.9% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 4.4 1.2%
16-4 9.0% 27.9% 27.8% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.5 0.1%
15-5 10.3% 22.5% 22.5% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.9
14-6 10.6% 17.5% 17.5% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 8.8
13-7 10.3% 12.4% 12.4% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 9.0
12-8 10.0% 9.3% 9.3% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 9.1
11-9 8.7% 6.8% 6.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 8.1
10-10 7.2% 5.3% 5.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.8
9-11 5.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.5
8-12 4.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.2 4.2
7-13 3.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 3.2
6-14 2.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-15 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-16 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.9% 17.3% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.4 3.5 4.5 3.9 2.3 1.4 82.1 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 96.0% 5.0 1.3 5.3 13.3 19.4 18.1 27.4 4.5 1.3 2.7 1.3 1.3