Preseason Rankings
Temple
American Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#93
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.4#228
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#125
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#78
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.1% 2.3% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 4.2% 4.7% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.3% 21.0% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.6% 16.1% 2.6%
Average Seed 8.9 8.8 11.4
.500 or above 58.2% 62.1% 25.5%
.500 or above in Conference 51.2% 54.1% 26.7%
Conference Champion 4.5% 4.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 6.9% 17.6%
First Four3.6% 3.9% 1.7%
First Round17.5% 19.0% 4.3%
Second Round8.4% 9.3% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen2.9% 3.2% 0.4%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Home) - 89.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 23 - 44 - 11
Quad 36 - 310 - 14
Quad 45 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 252   Wagner W 74-61 90%    
  Nov 11, 2022 16   Villanova L 61-67 30%    
  Nov 15, 2022 72   Vanderbilt W 70-69 53%    
  Nov 18, 2022 43   Rutgers L 63-68 34%    
  Nov 21, 2022 49   St. John's L 75-79 36%    
  Nov 27, 2022 201   Drexel W 73-63 80%    
  Nov 30, 2022 182   @ La Salle W 71-67 62%    
  Dec 03, 2022 75   Virginia Commonwealth W 68-67 53%    
  Dec 06, 2022 149   Saint Joseph's W 73-65 74%    
  Dec 10, 2022 150   @ Penn W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 17, 2022 58   @ Mississippi L 64-70 30%    
  Dec 20, 2022 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 81-51 99%    
  Dec 28, 2022 192   @ East Carolina W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 01, 2023 53   Cincinnati L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 04, 2023 142   @ South Florida W 65-63 55%    
  Jan 07, 2023 82   Tulane W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 10, 2023 136   @ Tulsa W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 15, 2023 35   Memphis L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 18, 2023 192   East Carolina W 74-64 78%    
  Jan 22, 2023 5   @ Houston L 57-72 12%    
  Jan 25, 2023 142   South Florida W 68-60 72%    
  Jan 28, 2023 92   @ Central Florida L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 05, 2023 5   Houston L 60-69 24%    
  Feb 08, 2023 95   @ SMU L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 12, 2023 35   @ Memphis L 67-76 24%    
  Feb 16, 2023 94   Wichita St. W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 19, 2023 136   Tulsa W 71-64 71%    
  Feb 22, 2023 53   @ Cincinnati L 66-73 30%    
  Mar 02, 2023 92   Central Florida W 71-68 59%    
  Mar 05, 2023 82   @ Tulane L 69-73 38%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.9 2.3 1.0 0.2 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 4.0 2.1 0.5 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.7 4.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.2 4.2 1.4 0.1 11.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.3 1.2 0.1 11.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.6 4.1 1.1 0.1 11.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.0 3.6 1.0 0.1 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.9 0.8 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.7 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.8 11th
Total 0.2 0.9 1.8 3.4 5.3 7.0 8.8 10.4 10.9 10.9 10.1 9.0 7.7 5.7 3.8 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 83.1% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 59.8% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1
14-4 27.5% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 7.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 30.9% 69.1% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.4% 99.3% 33.3% 66.0% 2.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
16-2 1.1% 97.7% 23.1% 74.7% 4.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.1%
15-3 2.4% 91.7% 17.5% 74.2% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 89.9%
14-4 3.8% 80.1% 15.9% 64.2% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 76.3%
13-5 5.7% 64.9% 12.4% 52.5% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.0 59.9%
12-6 7.7% 42.3% 9.1% 33.2% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4 36.5%
11-7 9.0% 26.9% 7.0% 19.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.6 21.4%
10-8 10.1% 13.3% 5.6% 7.7% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7 8.2%
9-9 10.9% 6.4% 4.0% 2.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.2 2.5%
8-10 10.9% 4.1% 3.7% 0.4% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.4 0.4%
7-11 10.4% 2.5% 2.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.1 0.0%
6-12 8.8% 1.7% 1.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.7
5-13 7.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.9
4-14 5.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-15 3.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-16 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-17 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 19.3% 5.5% 13.8% 8.9 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 80.7 14.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 78.3 21.7