Preseason Rankings
UMKC
Summit League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#289
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.1#186
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#313
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#254
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 10.0% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.3 15.3
.500 or above 27.4% 73.5% 26.3%
.500 or above in Conference 43.7% 77.9% 42.9%
Conference Champion 2.3% 8.6% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 1.1% 6.0%
First Four0.9% 1.3% 0.9%
First Round2.1% 9.4% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 41 - 10
Quad 410 - 611 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 47   @ LSU L 60-81 2%    
  Nov 11, 2022 18   @ Illinois L 57-82 1%    
  Nov 17, 2022 68   @ Kansas St. L 59-78 5%    
  Nov 21, 2022 108   Toledo L 67-79 15%    
  Nov 26, 2022 326   SIU Edwardsville W 73-67 68%    
  Nov 29, 2022 324   Idaho St. W 68-63 68%    
  Dec 03, 2022 355   Lindenwood W 76-64 84%    
  Dec 06, 2022 33   @ Oklahoma L 56-79 3%    
  Dec 10, 2022 347   @ Green Bay W 68-65 58%    
  Dec 19, 2022 135   South Dakota L 67-74 29%    
  Dec 21, 2022 134   South Dakota St. L 73-80 29%    
  Dec 29, 2022 346   @ Denver W 71-69 57%    
  Dec 31, 2022 307   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 07, 2023 122   @ Oral Roberts L 70-84 13%    
  Jan 12, 2023 357   St. Thomas W 76-61 87%    
  Jan 14, 2023 288   Western Illinois W 76-73 59%    
  Jan 19, 2023 322   @ North Dakota L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 21, 2023 216   @ North Dakota St. L 64-73 24%    
  Jan 26, 2023 307   Nebraska Omaha W 77-73 62%    
  Jan 28, 2023 346   Denver W 74-66 75%    
  Feb 04, 2023 122   Oral Roberts L 73-81 26%    
  Feb 09, 2023 288   @ Western Illinois L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 11, 2023 357   @ St. Thomas W 73-64 75%    
  Feb 16, 2023 216   North Dakota St. L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 18, 2023 322   North Dakota W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 23, 2023 134   @ South Dakota St. L 70-83 15%    
  Feb 25, 2023 135   @ South Dakota L 64-77 16%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.9 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 4.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.9 4.5 1.6 0.2 16.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.7 6.3 3.6 0.8 0.1 16.8 6th
7th 0.3 2.2 5.3 5.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 15.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.9 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.7 2.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.3 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.2 6.1 8.7 10.4 11.5 12.1 11.4 9.7 7.9 5.9 4.0 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 87.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 52.8% 0.7    0.3 0.4 0.1
14-4 22.8% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 62.5% 62.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 39.6% 39.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 31.9% 31.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.4% 17.4% 17.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-4 2.6% 14.4% 14.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.2
13-5 4.0% 7.9% 7.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.7
12-6 5.9% 5.3% 5.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.5
11-7 7.9% 4.5% 4.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 7.5
10-8 9.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.5
9-9 11.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 11.2
8-10 12.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.0
7-11 11.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.5
6-12 10.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.4
5-13 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.7
4-14 6.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%