Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#306
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#276
Pace70.1#127
Improvement-5.8#350

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#256
First Shot-1.9#237
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#256
Layup/Dunks-2.2#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows+1.1#99
Improvement-4.7#351

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#336
First Shot-2.3#257
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#351
Layups/Dunks-4.3#318
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#89
Freethrows+1.6#68
Improvement-1.1#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 12 - 5
Quad 33 - 75 - 12
Quad 44 - 89 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 12   @ Marquette L 70-92 1%     0 - 1 -3.1 +2.9 -5.0
  Nov 11, 2023 86   Appalachian St. W 91-78 13%     1 - 1 +17.1 +11.7 +3.9
  Nov 17, 2023 216   @ Georgia St. W 70-64 23%     2 - 1 +5.7 -5.9 +11.5
  Nov 18, 2023 193   Arkansas Little Rock W 98-93 27%     3 - 1 +3.3 +10.9 -8.3
  Nov 25, 2023 294   @ DePaul W 89-79 36%     4 - 1 +5.4 +9.6 -4.6
  Nov 27, 2023 40   @ Northwestern L 67-89 3%     4 - 2 -8.1 +3.3 -12.7
  Dec 05, 2023 46   Indiana St. L 67-90 7%     4 - 3 -14.8 -5.7 -8.6
  Dec 09, 2023 200   @ Monmouth L 71-74 21%     4 - 4 -2.5 -0.7 -1.9
  Dec 21, 2023 111   Northern Iowa L 63-76 19%     4 - 5 -11.9 -3.2 -9.9
  Dec 29, 2023 49   @ Iowa L 74-103 4%     4 - 6 -16.0 -9.3 -1.7
  Jan 02, 2024 123   Akron L 51-73 21%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -21.7 -16.7 -6.6
  Jan 06, 2024 143   @ Ohio L 66-78 13%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -8.0 +3.0 -12.6
  Jan 09, 2024 301   @ Western Michigan L 90-95 OT 38%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -10.1 +1.5 -10.8
  Jan 13, 2024 234   Bowling Green L 72-83 43%     4 - 10 0 - 4 -17.3 -5.4 -11.5
  Jan 16, 2024 173   Kent St. L 76-83 32%     4 - 11 0 - 5 -10.2 +5.0 -15.6
  Jan 23, 2024 140   Toledo L 73-89 24%     4 - 12 0 - 6 -16.9 -3.6 -13.3
  Jan 27, 2024 263   @ Ball St. L 71-81 30%     4 - 13 0 - 7 -12.6 -4.4 -8.1
  Jan 30, 2024 271   @ Central Michigan L 77-84 2OT 31%     4 - 14 0 - 8 -10.1 -2.0 -7.3
  Feb 03, 2024 324   Eastern Michigan W 76-66 67%     5 - 14 1 - 8 -2.6 +2.2 -4.3
  Feb 06, 2024 256   @ Miami (OH) W 62-59 29%     6 - 14 2 - 8 +0.6 -8.0 +8.7
  Feb 10, 2024 220   @ South Alabama L 66-75 23%     6 - 15 -9.4 -0.9 -9.4
  Feb 13, 2024 348   Buffalo W 72-68 77%     7 - 15 3 - 8 -12.1 -5.2 -6.6
  Feb 17, 2024 173   @ Kent St. L 47-85 17%     7 - 16 3 - 9 -36.0 -18.5 -22.8
  Feb 20, 2024 263   Ball St. L 63-70 49%     7 - 17 3 - 10 -14.8 -15.2 +0.5
  Feb 24, 2024 143   Ohio L 59-80 25%     7 - 18 3 - 11 -22.2 -14.0 -8.7
  Feb 27, 2024 140   @ Toledo W 75-72 12%     8 - 18 4 - 11 +7.3 +7.1 +0.5
  Mar 02, 2024 123   @ Akron L 73-80 11%     8 - 19 4 - 12 -1.5 +8.7 -10.6
  Mar 05, 2024 271   Central Michigan L 63-69 50%     8 - 20 4 - 13 -14.3 -2.7 -12.2
  Mar 08, 2024 348   @ Buffalo W 78-68 60%     9 - 20 5 - 13 -0.9 -2.4 +1.2
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%