Preseason Rankings
America East
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
108 Vermont 50.3%   14   0 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 8 13 - 3 +3.9      +2.3 108 +1.6 122 62.8 313 0.0 1 0.0 1
179 Umass Lowell 20.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 10 11 - 5 -0.4      +0.4 158 -0.8 200 70.9 107 0.0 1 0.0 1
208 Bryant 13.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 15 10 - 6 -2.1      +0.8 146 -2.9 263 78.6 11 0.0 1 0.0 1
264 Maine 4.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 16 8 - 8 -5.6      -3.6 284 -2.1 238 65.0 268 0.0 1 0.0 1
288 New Hampshire 3.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6.8      -4.9 314 -1.9 232 61.8 331 0.0 1 0.0 1
292 Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 17 7 - 9 -6.9      -2.2 252 -4.7 316 68.8 159 0.0 1 0.0 1
297 Binghamton 2.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 16 7 - 9 -7.4      -3.7 290 -3.7 288 65.4 256 0.0 1 0.0 1
318 Albany 1.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 20 6 - 10 -8.8      -4.0 296 -4.8 320 68.4 168 0.0 1 0.0 1
339 NJIT 0.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 19 5 - 11 -11.0      -6.4 342 -4.6 313 66.0 233 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.8 57.6 21.1 10.2 5.5 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
Umass Lowell 3.0 25.1 25.7 18.1 11.8 7.7 5.3 3.3 2.2 1.0
Bryant 3.5 16.5 20.8 19.4 14.5 10.6 7.8 5.3 3.5 1.8
Maine 4.9 5.9 10.9 13.8 15.3 14.6 12.9 11.2 9.6 5.9
New Hampshire 5.3 4.1 8.3 11.5 13.4 14.2 14.7 13.2 11.7 8.9
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.4 3.7 8.1 10.8 13.3 14.4 14.6 13.7 12.3 9.2
Binghamton 5.6 3.4 6.7 10.1 12.7 14.1 14.9 14.2 13.5 10.5
Albany 6.1 2.0 4.8 7.6 10.3 12.4 14.5 15.9 16.7 15.6
NJIT 6.9 0.9 2.4 4.5 6.9 9.2 12.4 15.8 20.6 27.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 13 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.1 5.4 7.8 10.8 14.1 16.4 17.2 14.2 7.7
Umass Lowell 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.5 3.9 6.0 8.4 10.6 13.0 14.0 13.5 11.6 8.2 4.5 1.4
Bryant 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.4 4.1 6.3 8.7 10.7 12.2 13.6 12.9 10.8 8.2 5.1 2.4 0.6
Maine 8 - 8 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.3 6.8 9.4 11.3 12.7 12.6 11.7 10.1 7.9 5.1 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
New Hampshire 7 - 9 0.4 1.6 3.5 5.9 8.5 11.0 12.8 13.1 11.8 10.5 8.3 5.6 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7 - 9 0.4 1.7 3.7 6.3 9.0 11.1 13.1 12.8 12.1 10.0 8.0 5.6 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
Binghamton 7 - 9 0.5 2.0 4.2 6.9 9.7 11.9 12.8 13.3 11.8 9.5 6.9 4.9 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
Albany 6 - 10 1.0 3.3 6.6 9.4 12.0 12.9 13.0 12.4 9.8 7.6 5.5 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
NJIT 5 - 11 2.6 6.7 10.8 13.5 14.2 13.9 11.7 9.5 6.6 4.8 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 57.6% 45.8 10.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 25.1% 16.6 7.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Bryant 16.5% 10.3 5.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maine 5.9% 3.3 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 4.1% 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.7% 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Binghamton 3.4% 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Albany 2.0% 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
NJIT 0.9% 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 50.3% 50.0% 0.3% 14   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 4.6 10.2 12.8 10.7 6.3 3.3 49.7 0.7%
Umass Lowell 20.6% 20.5% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.8 5.4 4.9 3.4 79.4 0.1%
Bryant 13.3% 13.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 3.4 3.4 3.0 86.7 0.0%
Maine 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.8 95.1 0.0%
New Hampshire 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 96.8 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.5 96.9 0.0%
Binghamton 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 97.3 0.0%
Albany 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 98.3 0.0%
NJIT 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 99.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 50.3% 1.7% 49.7% 8.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 20.6% 1.6% 19.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 13.3% 1.9% 12.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 4.9% 1.0% 4.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 3.2% 0.9% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 3.1% 0.9% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 2.7% 0.9% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 1.7% 0.6% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.6 0.4
1st Round 95.4% 1.0 4.6 95.1 0.3
2nd Round 12.7% 0.1 87.3 12.7 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.3% 0.0 96.7 3.3
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0