IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#292
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.8	#159
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.2	#252

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.7	#316

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.1%	5.8%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.7	15.2

.500 or above	35.7%	61.9%	32.1%
.500 or above in Conference	42.1%	59.1%	39.8%
Conference Champion	3.7%	7.1%	3.3%
Last Place in Conference	14.8%	7.5%	15.8%

First Four	0.9%	1.0%	0.9%
First Round	2.7%	5.4%	2.3%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 11.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 9	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	124	@ Louisville	L	66-78	12%
Nov 11, 2023	272	Marist	W	70-68	58%
Nov 17, 2023	301	Sacred Heart	W	78-74	63%
Nov 19, 2023	295	Loyola Maryland	W	72-69	61%
Nov 21, 2023	29	@ Maryland	L	58-80	2%
Nov 25, 2023	302	@ William & Mary	L	69-71	41%
Nov 27, 2023	312	@ Hampton	L	74-76	44%
Nov 30, 2023	357	@ Coppin St.	W	80-76	63%
Dec 02, 2023	274	Lehigh	W	75-73	57%
Dec 06, 2023	333	@ Morgan St.	W	76-75	52%
Dec 09, 2023	158	Towson	L	67-72	34%
Dec 12, 2023	279	@ St. Peter's	L	62-66	38%
Dec 20, 2023	42	@ Iowa	L	68-89	4%
Dec 29, 2023	261	American	W	67-66	54%
Jan 06, 2024	208	Bryant	L	79-81	44%
Jan 11, 2024	108	@ Vermont	L	63-77	12%
Jan 13, 2024	179	@ Umass Lowell	L	70-80	21%
Jan 18, 2024	264	Maine	W	71-69	55%
Jan 20, 2024	288	New Hampshire	W	69-66	59%
Jan 27, 2024	339	NJIT	W	74-67	72%
Feb 01, 2024	208	@ Bryant	L	76-84	26%
Feb 03, 2024	318	@ Albany	L	73-74	46%
Feb 08, 2024	179	Umass Lowell	L	73-77	38%
Feb 10, 2024	108	Vermont	L	66-74	27%
Feb 15, 2024	297	@ Binghamton	L	69-72	42%
Feb 17, 2024	318	Albany	W	76-71	65%
Feb 22, 2024	264	@ Maine	L	68-72	36%
Feb 24, 2024	288	@ New Hampshire	L	66-69	40%
Feb 29, 2024	339	@ NJIT	W	71-70	53%
Mar 05, 2024	297	Binghamton	W	72-69	61%
Projected Record						13 - 17	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.5	1.1	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.1		3.7	1st
2nd									0.0	0.4	1.8	3.1	2.1	0.7	0.1				8.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	3.3	4.3	1.9	0.4	0.0					10.8	3rd
4th							0.1	1.5	4.9	4.9	1.7	0.2	0.0						13.3	4th
5th						0.1	1.9	5.7	5.3	1.4	0.1								14.4	5th
6th					0.2	2.1	6.3	4.8	1.0	0.1									14.6	6th
7th			0.0	0.4	2.6	5.6	4.3	0.8	0.0										13.7	7th
8th		0.1	0.8	3.1	4.9	3.0	0.5	0.0											12.3	8th
9th	0.4	1.6	2.8	2.8	1.3	0.2	0.0												9.2	9th

Total	0.4	1.7	3.7	6.3	9.0	11.1	13.1	12.8	12.1	10.0	8.0	5.6	3.5	1.8	0.8	0.2	0.1			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
14-2	88.6%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
13-3	63.1%	1.1		0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-4	30.2%	1.1		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0
11-5	8.0%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	3.7%	3.7		1.9	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		43.8%	43.8%		13.0									0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
15-1	0.2%		41.2%	41.2%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
14-2	0.8%		27.1%	27.1%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.6
13-3	1.8%		25.1%	25.1%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.4
12-4	3.5%		12.5%	12.5%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	3.1
11-5	5.6%		8.9%	8.9%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	5.1
10-6	8.0%		5.4%	5.4%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.3	7.6
9-7	10.0%		3.9%	3.9%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	9.6
8-8	12.1%		2.0%	2.0%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	11.8
7-9	12.8%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.2	12.7
6-10	13.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	13.0
5-11	11.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
4-12	9.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
3-13	6.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
2-14	3.7%																							3.7
1-15	1.7%																							1.7
0-16	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		3.1%	3.1%	0.0%	15.1									0.0			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	1.5	96.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%