Preseason Rankings
Albany
America East
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#318
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#168
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#296
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#320
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 3.6% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.4
.500 or above 18.3% 38.5% 14.7%
.500 or above in Conference 29.4% 43.4% 26.8%
Conference Champion 2.0% 3.9% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 23.6% 13.7% 25.4%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round1.4% 3.2% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 49 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 192   @ Massachusetts L 70-81 15%    
  Nov 11, 2023 303   @ Columbia L 72-76 35%    
  Nov 15, 2023 66   @ Seton Hall L 59-79 3%    
  Nov 19, 2023 232   @ Quinnipiac L 70-78 23%    
  Nov 21, 2023 300   Army W 73-71 56%    
  Nov 26, 2023 266   @ Siena L 67-73 29%    
  Nov 29, 2023 313   Boston University W 69-66 59%    
  Dec 02, 2023 243   Dartmouth L 72-73 45%    
  Dec 10, 2023 138   Temple L 64-75 17%    
  Dec 16, 2023 125   @ Drexel L 59-73 11%    
  Dec 19, 2023 301   Sacred Heart W 76-74 55%    
  Dec 22, 2023 145   @ South Florida L 65-78 12%    
  Dec 28, 2023 359   @ LIU Brooklyn W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 02, 2024 219   @ Harvard L 63-72 22%    
  Jan 06, 2024 339   @ NJIT L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 13, 2024 297   Binghamton W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 18, 2024 179   Umass Lowell L 71-76 32%    
  Jan 20, 2024 208   Bryant L 76-80 38%    
  Jan 25, 2024 264   @ Maine L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 27, 2024 288   @ New Hampshire L 64-69 34%    
  Feb 01, 2024 108   @ Vermont L 61-77 10%    
  Feb 03, 2024 292   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 08, 2024 297   @ Binghamton L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 15, 2024 339   NJIT W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 17, 2024 292   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 22, 2024 108   Vermont L 64-74 21%    
  Feb 24, 2024 179   @ Umass Lowell L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 29, 2024 288   New Hampshire W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 02, 2024 264   Maine L 69-70 49%    
  Mar 05, 2024 208   @ Bryant L 73-83 21%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.6 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.1 3.6 1.0 0.1 10.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.4 4.1 1.0 0.1 12.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 6.3 4.8 0.9 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.8 4.3 0.8 0.0 15.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.7 6.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 16.7 8th
9th 1.0 3.2 5.2 4.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 15.6 9th
Total 1.0 3.3 6.6 9.4 12.0 12.9 13.0 12.4 9.8 7.6 5.5 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 92.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-3 65.0% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 32.8% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 9.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 36.3% 36.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.3% 17.2% 17.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.9% 21.0% 21.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
12-4 1.9% 11.8% 11.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
11-5 3.3% 8.0% 8.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.0
10-6 5.5% 5.4% 5.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.2
9-7 7.6% 2.5% 2.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.4
8-8 9.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.6
7-9 12.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.3
6-10 13.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.9
5-11 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.9
4-12 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.0
3-13 9.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.4
2-14 6.6% 6.6
1-15 3.3% 3.3
0-16 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%