Preseason Rankings
Boston University
Patriot League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#313
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.4#277
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#334
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#256
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 4.7% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 27.4% 46.5% 21.8%
.500 or above in Conference 40.8% 54.2% 36.9%
Conference Champion 3.2% 5.8% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 9.5% 18.6%
First Four1.0% 1.2% 0.9%
First Round2.0% 4.1% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Away) - 22.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 411 - 1112 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 228   @ Northeastern L 61-69 23%    
  Nov 10, 2023 51   @ Rutgers L 53-74 2%    
  Nov 14, 2023 247   @ Howard L 67-74 27%    
  Nov 16, 2023 208   Bryant L 72-75 38%    
  Nov 21, 2023 149   @ Davidson L 58-71 12%    
  Nov 29, 2023 318   @ Albany L 66-69 41%    
  Dec 02, 2023 301   @ Sacred Heart L 68-72 36%    
  Dec 06, 2023 264   Maine W 66-65 51%    
  Dec 10, 2023 298   @ Wagner L 58-62 36%    
  Dec 13, 2023 243   @ Dartmouth L 65-72 27%    
  Dec 22, 2023 179   Umass Lowell L 67-72 33%    
  Dec 30, 2023 330   Merrimack W 63-59 64%    
  Jan 03, 2024 277   @ Navy L 60-65 33%    
  Jan 06, 2024 293   Lafayette W 62-61 55%    
  Jan 10, 2024 261   American L 62-63 50%    
  Jan 13, 2024 295   @ Loyola Maryland L 64-68 36%    
  Jan 17, 2024 331   Bucknell W 69-64 65%    
  Jan 20, 2024 110   @ Colgate L 62-77 10%    
  Jan 24, 2024 300   Army W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 27, 2024 293   @ Lafayette L 59-64 35%    
  Jan 29, 2024 327   @ Holy Cross L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 03, 2024 274   Lehigh W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 07, 2024 110   Colgate L 65-74 22%    
  Feb 10, 2024 331   @ Bucknell L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 14, 2024 300   @ Army L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 17, 2024 277   Navy W 63-62 53%    
  Feb 21, 2024 261   @ American L 59-65 31%    
  Feb 25, 2024 295   Loyola Maryland W 67-65 55%    
  Feb 28, 2024 274   @ Lehigh L 66-71 33%    
  Mar 02, 2024 327   Holy Cross W 70-66 63%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 9.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.2 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.8 4.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.4 1.2 2.7 3.2 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.0 10th
Total 0.4 1.2 3.0 4.9 7.2 9.1 10.6 11.5 11.3 10.5 9.4 7.7 5.5 3.5 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 90.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 67.0% 0.8    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 40.7% 0.9    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.1% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 34.8% 34.8% 12.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 41.9% 41.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 33.8% 33.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.2% 24.0% 24.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9
14-4 2.3% 16.9% 16.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
13-5 3.5% 8.3% 8.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.2
12-6 5.5% 6.0% 6.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.2
11-7 7.7% 5.2% 5.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 7.3
10-8 9.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.2
9-9 10.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.4
8-10 11.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.2
7-11 11.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.4
6-12 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.6
5-13 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.0
4-14 7.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.2
3-15 4.9% 4.9
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%