IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Howard
Mid-Eastern
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.7	#247
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.9	#79
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.7	#205

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#296

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	33.3%	36.9%	23.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	55.2%	63.1%	33.0%
.500 or above in Conference	81.6%	84.9%	72.2%
Conference Champion	28.1%	31.0%	20.0%
Last Place in Conference	3.0%	2.2%	5.3%

First Four	13.9%	13.9%	13.9%
First Round	26.1%	29.7%	16.1%
Second Round	1.0%	1.2%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Home) - 73.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 6	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	312	Hampton	W	81-74	74%
Nov 09, 2023	98	@ Georgia Tech	L	67-79	13%
Nov 12, 2023	121	@ James Madison	L	74-84	17%
Nov 14, 2023	313	Boston University	W	74-67	73%
Nov 18, 2023	51	@ Rutgers	L	62-79	6%
Nov 20, 2023	208	@ Bryant	L	79-85	32%
Nov 25, 2023	250	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	69-72	40%
Nov 28, 2023	58	Cincinnati	L	70-81	17%
Dec 11, 2023	203	@ Penn	L	72-78	30%
Dec 16, 2023	245	Jackson St.	L	74-75	50%
Dec 17, 2023	222	Texas Southern	L	75-77	45%
Dec 20, 2023	150	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	68-77	23%
Dec 30, 2023	199	@ La Salle	L	72-78	30%
Jan 03, 2024	68	Yale	L	68-78	21%
Jan 06, 2024	306	@ NC Central	W	74-73	50%
Jan 08, 2024	345	@ South Carolina St.	W	83-79	63%
Jan 20, 2024	248	Norfolk St.	W	74-71	60%
Jan 27, 2024	333	@ Morgan St.	W	79-76	60%
Jan 29, 2024	357	@ Coppin St.	W	83-77	70%
Feb 03, 2024	312	Hampton	W	79-75	62%
Feb 05, 2024	355	@ Delaware St.	W	76-70	68%
Feb 17, 2024	306	NC Central	W	76-70	69%
Feb 19, 2024	345	South Carolina St.	W	86-76	80%
Feb 24, 2024	333	Morgan St.	W	82-73	76%
Feb 26, 2024	357	Coppin St.	W	86-74	84%
Mar 02, 2024	342	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	74-70	63%
Mar 04, 2024	355	Delaware St.	W	79-67	83%
Mar 07, 2024	248	@ Norfolk St.	L	71-74	41%
Projected Record						14 - 14	9 - 4

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.1	1.6	5.7	9.6	8.0	3.2			28.1	1st
2nd								0.2	2.8	8.6	8.6	3.4	0.4				24.0	2nd
3rd						0.0	0.2	2.9	7.9	5.3	1.1	0.0					17.3	3rd
4th						0.1	2.4	6.2	3.3	0.4	0.0						12.4	4th
5th				0.0	0.2	1.7	4.1	2.1	0.2								8.2	5th
6th			0.0	0.1	1.0	2.7	1.4	0.1									5.3	6th
7th		0.0	0.1	0.8	1.4	0.8	0.1										3.2	7th
8th	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0											1.5	8th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.8	5.3	8.1	11.4	14.2	15.9	15.4	13.1	8.3	3.2				Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0
13-1	100.0%	3.2		3.2
12-2	95.4%	8.0		6.9	1.0
11-3	73.5%	9.6		6.2	3.2	0.3
10-4	37.0%	5.7		2.1	2.7	0.9	0.0
9-5	10.1%	1.6		0.2	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0
8-6	0.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	28.1%	28.1		18.6	7.6	1.7	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1	3.2%		85.6%	85.6%		14.2							0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.8	0.4	0.5
12-2	8.3%		72.6%	72.6%		14.8												0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.1	1.9	2.3
11-3	13.1%		58.8%	58.8%		15.4													0.0	0.2	0.9	2.3	4.2	5.4
10-4	15.4%		44.8%	44.8%		15.7													0.0	0.0	0.3	1.5	5.0	8.5
9-5	15.9%		31.0%	31.0%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.6	4.2	11.0
8-6	14.2%		19.6%	19.6%		16.0															0.0	0.1	2.7	11.5
7-7	11.4%		11.8%	11.8%		16.0																0.0	1.3	10.1
6-8	8.1%		8.2%	8.2%		16.0																	0.7	7.4
5-9	5.3%		3.6%	3.6%		16.0																	0.2	5.1
4-10	2.8%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
3-11	1.4%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
2-12	0.6%																							0.6
1-13	0.2%																							0.2
0-14	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	15.4							0.0		0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	1.3	3.5	7.5	20.7	66.7		0.0%