IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.8	#306
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.8	#160
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.5	#328

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#243

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.7%	33.8%	14.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.1	15.7

.500 or above	37.8%	69.2%	37.7%
.500 or above in Conference	70.8%	86.4%	70.8%
Conference Champion	21.5%	35.3%	21.5%
Last Place in Conference	6.4%	1.9%	6.4%

First Four	7.8%	12.1%	7.8%
First Round	10.4%	30.4%	10.3%
Second Round	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kansas (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	11 - 8	11 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	1	@ Kansas	L	57-87	0.2%
Nov 12, 2023	73	@ Georgia	L	61-79	5%
Nov 18, 2023	213	@ Longwood	L	64-72	23%
Nov 20, 2023	294	@ Campbell	L	64-68	36%
Nov 21, 2023	320	The Citadel	W	70-69	54%
Nov 26, 2023	270	@ Coastal Carolina	L	69-74	33%
Dec 02, 2023	273	South Carolina Upstate	W	70-69	54%
Dec 05, 2023	34	@ Virginia	L	50-72	3%
Dec 09, 2023	182	@ Radford	L	61-71	19%
Dec 12, 2023	352	@ N.C. A&T	W	73-71	57%
Dec 20, 2023	213	Longwood	L	67-69	42%
Jan 06, 2024	247	Howard	L	73-74	50%
Jan 08, 2024	248	Norfolk St.	L	68-69	50%
Jan 20, 2024	345	@ South Carolina St.	W	77-76	53%
Jan 27, 2024	342	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	68-67	53%
Jan 29, 2024	355	@ Delaware St.	W	69-67	58%
Feb 03, 2024	357	Coppin St.	W	79-70	78%
Feb 05, 2024	333	Morgan St.	W	76-70	68%
Feb 17, 2024	247	@ Howard	L	70-76	31%
Feb 19, 2024	248	@ Norfolk St.	L	65-71	31%
Feb 24, 2024	342	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	71-64	72%
Feb 26, 2024	355	Delaware St.	W	72-64	76%
Mar 02, 2024	357	@ Coppin St.	W	76-73	60%
Mar 04, 2024	333	@ Morgan St.	L	72-73	49%
Mar 07, 2024	345	South Carolina St.	W	80-73	71%
Projected Record						11 - 14	8 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.1	1.4	4.5	6.8	5.2	2.7	0.8		21.5	1st
2nd								0.3	2.5	7.1	6.5	2.6	0.4				19.3	2nd
3rd						0.0	0.2	3.1	7.5	4.6	0.9	0.0					16.4	3rd
4th						0.2	2.9	7.0	3.5	0.3	0.0						13.9	4th
5th					0.2	2.5	5.5	2.6	0.2								11.0	5th
6th				0.2	2.1	4.2	2.0	0.1									8.6	6th
7th		0.0	0.3	1.6	2.6	1.2	0.1										5.8	7th
8th	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.3	0.4	0.0											3.4	8th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	3.1	5.3	8.2	10.6	13.2	13.9	13.4	11.9	9.4	5.6	2.7	0.8			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
13-1	100.0%	2.7		2.6	0.1
12-2	93.5%	5.2		4.3	0.9
11-3	72.3%	6.8		4.2	2.4	0.2
10-4	37.8%	4.5		1.6	2.2	0.7	0.0
9-5	10.2%	1.4		0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.9%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	21.5%	21.5		13.6	6.2	1.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.8%		82.9%	82.9%		14.4												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1
13-1	2.7%		60.1%	60.1%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.6	1.1
12-2	5.6%		49.4%	49.4%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.7	2.8
11-3	9.4%		34.2%	34.2%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.6	2.5	6.2
10-4	11.9%		22.8%	22.8%		15.9															0.0	0.2	2.5	9.2
9-5	13.4%		14.3%	14.3%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.9	11.5
8-6	13.9%		7.4%	7.4%		16.0																0.0	1.0	12.9
7-7	13.2%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																	0.4	12.7
6-8	10.6%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	10.4
5-9	8.2%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.1
4-10	5.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
3-11	3.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
2-12	1.4%																							1.4
1-13	0.5%																							0.5
0-14	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		14.7%	14.7%	0.0%	15.7												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	2.6	11.0	85.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%