IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.6	#342
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.3	#69
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.9	#358

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.6	#224

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.9%	9.4%	3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.6	15.8

.500 or above	13.5%	39.7%	11.9%
.500 or above in Conference	40.9%	61.4%	39.6%
Conference Champion	5.7%	12.4%	5.3%
Last Place in Conference	20.1%	10.3%	20.7%

First Four	2.6%	4.5%	2.5%
First Round	2.3%	6.9%	2.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 5.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 8
Quad 4	7 - 9	8 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	138	@ Temple	L	58-74	6%
Nov 15, 2023	213	Longwood	L	64-70	28%
Nov 18, 2023	203	Penn	L	66-73	27%
Nov 22, 2023	133	@ Notre Dame	L	58-75	7%
Nov 25, 2023	84	@ Liberty	L	55-76	3%
Dec 01, 2023	312	Hampton	L	71-72	50%
Dec 04, 2023	146	@ East Carolina	L	61-77	8%
Dec 06, 2023	61	@ North Carolina St.	L	61-84	2%
Dec 18, 2023	272	@ Marist	L	61-70	23%
Dec 22, 2023	82	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	57-78	3%
Dec 30, 2023	238	@ George Washington	L	67-78	18%
Jan 06, 2024	333	Morgan St.	W	73-71	57%
Jan 08, 2024	357	@ Coppin St.	L	73-74	47%
Jan 20, 2024	355	@ Delaware St.	L	67-68	45%
Jan 27, 2024	306	NC Central	L	67-68	47%
Jan 29, 2024	345	South Carolina St.	W	77-74	61%
Feb 05, 2024	248	Norfolk St.	L	65-69	37%
Feb 17, 2024	333	@ Morgan St.	L	70-74	37%
Feb 19, 2024	357	Coppin St.	W	76-71	67%
Feb 24, 2024	306	@ NC Central	L	64-71	28%
Feb 26, 2024	345	@ South Carolina St.	L	74-77	41%
Mar 02, 2024	247	Howard	L	70-74	37%
Mar 04, 2024	248	@ Norfolk St.	L	62-72	21%
Mar 07, 2024	355	Delaware St.	W	70-65	64%
Projected Record						8 - 16	6 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.1	0.8	1.8	1.9	0.9	0.2			5.7	1st
2nd								0.2	1.9	4.2	2.6	0.7	0.0				9.7	2nd
3rd						0.0	0.2	3.0	6.0	2.8	0.4						12.4	3rd
4th						0.3	3.9	7.0	2.8	0.3							14.3	4th
5th				0.0	0.5	4.3	7.6	2.9	0.2								15.5	5th
6th			0.0	0.7	4.7	7.2	2.7	0.1									15.5	6th
7th		0.1	1.4	4.9	5.8	2.0	0.1										14.3	7th
8th	0.8	2.9	4.3	3.5	1.0	0.1											12.5	8th

Total	0.8	3.1	5.7	9.1	12.1	13.9	14.5	13.3	11.0	8.0	4.9	2.6	1.0	0.2				Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0
13-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
12-2	96.0%	0.9		0.8	0.1
11-3	73.1%	1.9		1.1	0.7	0.1
10-4	36.9%	1.8		0.6	0.9	0.3	0.0
9-5	9.9%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.9%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	5.7%	5.7		2.8	2.1	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1	0.2%		46.8%	46.8%		14.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
12-2	1.0%		43.2%	43.2%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6
11-3	2.6%		28.9%	28.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.8
10-4	4.9%		16.7%	16.7%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	4.0
9-5	8.0%		9.3%	9.3%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.7	7.3
8-6	11.0%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																0.0	0.5	10.5
7-7	13.3%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.3	13.0
6-8	14.5%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	14.4
5-9	13.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	13.9
4-10	12.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
3-11	9.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
2-12	5.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.7
1-13	3.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
0-14	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		3.9%	3.9%	0.0%	15.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	3.3	96.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%