Preseason Rankings
Mid-Eastern
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
247 Howard 33.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 14 9 - 4 -4.7      -0.7 205 -3.9 296 71.9 79 0.0 1 0.0 1
248 Norfolk St. 34.2%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 11 9 - 5 -4.7      -1.7 241 -3.0 265 64.2 282 0.0 1 0.0 1
306 NC Central 14.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 14 8 - 6 -7.8      -5.5 328 -2.3 243 68.8 160 0.0 1 0.0 1
333 Morgan St. 6.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 17 7 - 7 -10.6      -5.7 331 -4.8 319 75.1 33 0.0 1 0.0 1
342 Maryland Eastern Shore 3.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 16 6 - 7 -11.6      -9.9 358 -1.6 224 72.3 69 0.0 1 0.0 1
345 South Carolina St. 4.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 20 6 - 8 -11.7      -4.0 298 -7.7 359 77.5 17 0.0 1 0.0 1
355 Delaware St. 2.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 9 -13.2      -8.1 355 -5.1 325 68.7 161 0.0 1 0.0 1
357 Coppin St. 1.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 21 5 - 9 -13.8      -6.6 345 -7.2 354 77.8 15 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Howard 2.8 28.1 24.0 17.3 12.4 8.2 5.3 3.2 1.5
Norfolk St. 2.4 42.4 20.8 13.9 9.2 6.0 4.1 2.4 1.2
NC Central 3.4 21.5 19.3 16.4 13.9 11.0 8.6 5.8 3.4
Morgan St. 4.4 10.4 12.7 14.2 15.1 14.2 13.2 11.7 8.6
Maryland Eastern Shore 4.9 5.7 9.7 12.4 14.3 15.5 15.5 14.3 12.5
South Carolina St. 4.8 7.1 10.0 12.1 14.0 14.9 15.2 14.3 12.3
Delaware St. 5.3 4.5 7.1 9.8 12.2 14.4 16.1 17.7 18.2
Coppin St. 5.6 3.5 6.4 8.4 11.2 13.5 16.4 19.4 21.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Howard 9 - 5 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.8 5.3 8.1 11.4 14.2 15.9 15.4 13.1 8.3 3.2
Norfolk St. 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.9 5.7 8.8 11.3 13.9 14.8 14.7 12.3 7.9 3.1
NC Central 8 - 6 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.3 8.2 10.6 13.2 13.9 13.4 11.9 9.4 5.6 2.7 0.8
Morgan St. 7 - 7 0.5 1.8 4.0 7.0 10.0 12.3 13.4 13.7 12.3 9.9 7.2 4.6 2.3 0.9 0.2
Maryland Eastern Shore 6 - 8 0.8 3.1 5.7 9.1 12.1 13.9 14.5 13.3 11.0 8.0 4.9 2.6 1.0 0.2
South Carolina St. 6 - 8 0.8 2.8 5.6 9.2 12.1 13.7 13.8 13.0 10.6 8.0 5.3 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
Delaware St. 5 - 9 1.5 4.5 8.3 11.8 14.1 14.4 13.3 11.1 8.8 5.8 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0
Coppin St. 5 - 9 1.9 5.6 9.7 12.9 15.3 14.4 12.7 10.0 7.6 5.0 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Howard 28.1% 18.6 7.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Norfolk St. 42.4% 31.2 9.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
NC Central 21.5% 13.6 6.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 10.4% 6.1 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 5.7% 2.8 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 7.1% 4.0 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 4.5% 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 3.5% 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Howard 33.3% 33.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.5 7.5 20.7 66.7 0.0%
Norfolk St. 34.2% 34.2% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 4.1 8.2 20.4 65.8 0.0%
NC Central 14.7% 14.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.6 11.0 85.3 0.0%
Morgan St. 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 5.0 94.0 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.3 96.1 0.0%
South Carolina St. 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.4 96.0 0.0%
Delaware St. 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 97.8 0.0%
Coppin St. 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 98.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Howard 33.3% 13.9% 26.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St. 34.2% 13.0% 27.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 14.7% 7.8% 10.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 6.0% 3.8% 3.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 3.9% 2.6% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 4.0% 2.9% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 2.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 1.7% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 74.1% 0.7 25.9 74.1
2nd Round 2.4% 0.0 97.6 2.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0