Preseason Rankings
Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.2#355
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.7#161
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.1#355
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#325
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 8.1% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 10.0% 36.1% 9.7%
.500 or above in Conference 32.1% 57.0% 31.8%
Conference Champion 4.5% 13.5% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 27.5% 12.3% 27.7%
First Four1.7% 4.1% 1.6%
First Round1.2% 5.2% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn St. (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 48 - 138 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 76   @ Penn St. L 56-79 1%    
  Nov 10, 2023 15   @ Texas L 55-86 0.2%   
  Nov 15, 2023 194   Delaware L 65-74 20%    
  Nov 17, 2023 253   Grambling St. L 62-70 22%    
  Nov 20, 2023 339   @ NJIT L 65-70 32%    
  Nov 24, 2023 213   @ Longwood L 61-75 11%    
  Nov 25, 2023 349   Bethune-Cookman L 71-72 47%    
  Nov 26, 2023 341   Lamar L 67-69 44%    
  Nov 30, 2023 324   @ Chicago St. L 65-72 28%    
  Dec 02, 2023 295   @ Loyola Maryland L 64-73 21%    
  Dec 09, 2023 213   Longwood L 64-72 25%    
  Dec 18, 2023 64   @ Wake Forest L 61-86 2%    
  Dec 20, 2023 146   @ East Carolina L 60-78 6%    
  Dec 30, 2023 250   Mount St. Mary's L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 06, 2024 357   Coppin St. W 77-73 62%    
  Jan 08, 2024 333   @ Morgan St. L 70-76 32%    
  Jan 20, 2024 342   Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 27, 2024 345   South Carolina St. W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 29, 2024 306   NC Central L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 03, 2024 248   @ Norfolk St. L 62-74 17%    
  Feb 05, 2024 247   Howard L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 17, 2024 357   @ Coppin St. L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 19, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 24, 2024 345   @ South Carolina St. L 74-79 36%    
  Feb 26, 2024 306   @ NC Central L 64-72 24%    
  Mar 02, 2024 248   Norfolk St. L 65-71 32%    
  Mar 04, 2024 247   @ Howard L 67-79 17%    
  Mar 07, 2024 342   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 65-70 36%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.3 3.6 5.9 2.2 0.2 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.4 6.9 2.3 0.1 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.3 7.4 2.4 0.2 16.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 6.3 6.9 2.2 0.1 17.7 7th
8th 1.5 4.3 6.3 4.6 1.4 0.1 18.2 8th
Total 1.5 4.5 8.3 11.8 14.1 14.4 13.3 11.1 8.8 5.8 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
12-2 93.9% 0.7    0.6 0.1
11-3 75.2% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.1
10-4 36.9% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
9-5 10.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 72.6% 72.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 49.5% 49.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-2 0.8% 31.5% 31.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5
11-3 1.9% 22.1% 22.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5
10-4 3.5% 14.1% 14.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0
9-5 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.5
8-6 8.8% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.3 8.5
7-7 11.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.0
6-8 13.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.2
5-9 14.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.3
4-10 14.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.1
3-11 11.8% 11.8
2-12 8.3% 8.3
1-13 4.5% 4.5
0-14 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%