IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Lamar
Southland
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.4	#341
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.3	#262
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.0	#336

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.4	#331

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.3%	9.6%	3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	16.6%	45.3%	15.4%
.500 or above in Conference	37.1%	60.4%	36.2%
Conference Champion	4.3%	11.7%	4.0%
Last Place in Conference	17.4%	6.2%	17.9%

First Four	2.0%	4.8%	1.9%
First Round	2.0%	7.3%	1.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Away) - 4.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 4	10 - 12	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2023	101	@ SMU	L	61-80	4%
Nov 14, 2023	249	Texas San Antonio	L	70-74	37%
Nov 18, 2023	188	@ Pacific	L	66-80	11%
Nov 24, 2023	349	Bethune-Cookman	W	71-70	54%
Nov 25, 2023	213	@ Longwood	L	61-73	14%
Nov 26, 2023	355	Delaware St.	W	69-67	56%
Nov 30, 2023	249	@ Texas San Antonio	L	67-77	20%
Dec 03, 2023	117	@ Sam Houston St.	L	56-73	6%
Dec 14, 2023	287	Louisiana Monroe	L	66-68	45%
Dec 18, 2023	152	Southern Miss	L	65-74	20%
Dec 21, 2023	56	@ LSU	L	56-80	2%
Jan 06, 2024	337	Northwestern St.	W	70-68	59%
Jan 08, 2024	348	Incarnate Word	W	71-67	64%
Jan 13, 2024	284	@ Nicholls St.	L	69-77	26%
Jan 15, 2024	271	@ McNeese St.	L	66-74	24%
Jan 20, 2024	360	@ Houston Christian	W	75-74	52%
Jan 22, 2024	291	Texas A&M - Commerce	L	67-68	45%
Jan 27, 2024	268	SE Louisiana	L	71-74	42%
Jan 29, 2024	299	New Orleans	L	75-76	47%
Feb 03, 2024	283	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	68-76	26%
Feb 10, 2024	284	Nicholls St.	L	72-74	44%
Feb 12, 2024	348	@ Incarnate Word	L	68-70	44%
Feb 17, 2024	299	@ New Orleans	L	72-79	28%
Feb 19, 2024	268	@ SE Louisiana	L	68-77	24%
Feb 24, 2024	283	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	71-73	45%
Feb 26, 2024	271	McNeese St.	L	69-71	42%
Mar 02, 2024	337	@ Northwestern St.	L	67-71	39%
Mar 04, 2024	291	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	L	64-71	27%
Mar 06, 2024	360	Houston Christian	W	78-72	70%
Projected Record						10 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.2	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0		4.3	1st
2nd											0.1	1.0	2.1	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0				5.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.5	3.0	1.9	0.5	0.1						7.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	1.8	3.8	2.3	0.4	0.0							8.6	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.3	4.5	2.7	0.4	0.0								10.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.8	5.2	3.0	0.4	0.0									11.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.7	3.2	5.5	3.0	0.4	0.0										12.8	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	1.3	3.9	5.2	2.7	0.4	0.0											13.7	8th
9th		0.1	0.6	2.2	4.4	4.3	2.0	0.3	0.0												13.8	9th
10th	0.5	1.7	3.0	3.4	2.3	0.7	0.1														11.7	10th

Total	0.5	1.7	3.7	5.7	8.1	9.6	11.0	11.5	11.1	9.9	8.6	6.8	4.9	3.3	2.0	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	97.2%	0.5		0.4	0.1
15-3	86.2%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
14-4	61.7%	1.2		0.6	0.5	0.1
13-5	29.2%	1.0		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	8.9%	0.4		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
11-7	1.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0								0.0	0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.3%	4.3		2.4	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		84.7%	84.7%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.2%		64.6%	64.6%		14.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.5%		42.4%	42.4%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3
15-3	1.0%		34.1%	34.1%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7
14-4	2.0%		24.5%	24.5%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.5
13-5	3.3%		15.5%	15.5%		15.9																0.0	0.5	2.8
12-6	4.9%		10.3%	10.3%		15.9																0.0	0.5	4.4
11-7	6.8%		5.8%	5.8%		16.0																0.0	0.4	6.4
10-8	8.6%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																0.0	0.3	8.3
9-9	9.9%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	9.7
8-10	11.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	11.0
7-11	11.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
6-12	11.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
5-13	9.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
4-14	8.1%																							8.1
3-15	5.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.7
2-16	3.7%																							3.7
1-17	1.7%																							1.7
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		3.3%	3.3%	0.0%	15.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	2.7	96.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%