Preseason Rankings
Pacific
West Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#188
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.7#61
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#142
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#229
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.5% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.9 12.3 13.9
.500 or above 40.7% 55.3% 27.6%
.500 or above in Conference 26.8% 34.1% 20.2%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 21.7% 15.9% 26.9%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round1.7% 2.3% 1.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sam Houston St. (Home) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 33 - 55 - 13
Quad 49 - 214 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 117   Sam Houston St. L 69-70 47%    
  Nov 10, 2023 105   @ California L 65-73 24%    
  Nov 15, 2023 79   @ Nevada L 68-79 17%    
  Nov 18, 2023 341   Lamar W 80-66 89%    
  Nov 20, 2023 267   North Dakota W 80-72 77%    
  Nov 24, 2023 362   Le Moyne W 85-63 97%    
  Nov 26, 2023 361   Mississippi Valley W 83-63 96%    
  Nov 29, 2023 316   Cal St. Northridge W 77-66 83%    
  Dec 02, 2023 231   @ Northern Arizona L 75-76 49%    
  Dec 05, 2023 354   @ Idaho W 78-69 79%    
  Dec 09, 2023 111   @ Fresno St. L 65-73 26%    
  Dec 16, 2023 173   UC Davis W 79-77 57%    
  Dec 20, 2023 161   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 04, 2024 92   San Francisco L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 06, 2024 174   @ Portland L 78-82 38%    
  Jan 11, 2024 191   @ Pepperdine L 80-83 41%    
  Jan 13, 2024 116   @ Loyola Marymount L 72-79 28%    
  Jan 18, 2024 144   Santa Clara W 79-78 52%    
  Jan 25, 2024 26   @ St. Mary's L 59-75 9%    
  Jan 27, 2024 10   Gonzaga L 75-88 14%    
  Feb 01, 2024 174   Portland W 81-79 57%    
  Feb 03, 2024 92   @ San Francisco L 72-81 23%    
  Feb 06, 2024 26   St. Mary's L 62-72 19%    
  Feb 10, 2024 227   San Diego W 81-75 68%    
  Feb 15, 2024 144   @ Santa Clara L 76-81 33%    
  Feb 17, 2024 10   @ Gonzaga L 72-91 6%    
  Feb 21, 2024 191   Pepperdine W 83-80 60%    
  Feb 24, 2024 116   Loyola Marymount L 75-76 47%    
  Mar 02, 2024 227   @ San Diego L 78-79 49%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 4.6 3.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.9 6.1 3.9 0.9 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.9 6.8 3.8 0.7 0.0 15.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.8 7.4 3.3 0.4 0.0 16.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 5.3 6.4 2.4 0.2 0.0 16.4 8th
9th 0.9 3.2 4.8 3.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 13.7 9th
Total 0.9 3.3 6.7 9.8 12.8 14.2 13.4 12.2 10.0 7.0 4.9 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 78.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-3 39.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 16.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 100.0% 37.5% 62.5% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-1 0.0% 76.1% 35.8% 40.3% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 62.8%
14-2 0.2% 53.6% 25.2% 28.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 38.0%
13-3 0.6% 26.9% 13.5% 13.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 15.4%
12-4 1.3% 15.0% 11.5% 3.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 4.0%
11-5 2.7% 6.4% 5.4% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.5 1.0%
10-6 4.9% 4.7% 4.4% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 0.3%
9-7 7.0% 3.7% 3.7% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.7
8-8 10.0% 2.5% 2.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.8
7-9 12.2% 1.3% 1.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.0
6-10 13.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.3
5-11 14.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.1
4-12 12.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.8
3-13 9.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.7
2-14 6.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.6
1-15 3.3% 3.3
0-16 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
Total 100% 1.9% 1.6% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 98.1 0.3%