Preseason Rankings
Le Moyne
Northeast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-19.6#362
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.1#173
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-10.5#359
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-9.1#361
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 2.1% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 4.5% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 8.5% 22.4% 8.4%
Conference Champion 0.5% 2.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 55.6% 36.4% 55.7%
First Four0.1% 1.0% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 2.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 44 - 154 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 106   @ Georgetown L 60-87 1%    
  Nov 10, 2023 20   @ Villanova L 49-85 0.0%   
  Nov 17, 2023 227   @ San Diego L 64-83 4%    
  Nov 19, 2023 150   @ UC Santa Barbara L 56-80 2%    
  Nov 21, 2023 316   @ Cal St. Northridge L 60-74 11%    
  Nov 24, 2023 188   @ Pacific L 63-85 3%    
  Dec 05, 2023 300   @ Army L 63-78 10%    
  Dec 09, 2023 297   @ Binghamton L 61-76 10%    
  Dec 16, 2023 243   Dartmouth L 65-77 15%    
  Dec 21, 2023 76   @ Penn St. L 53-83 1%    
  Dec 30, 2023 257   @ Fairfield L 58-75 7%    
  Jan 06, 2024 314   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 68-82 11%    
  Jan 13, 2024 330   Merrimack L 60-67 28%    
  Jan 15, 2024 301   Sacred Heart L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 19, 2024 335   @ Central Connecticut St. L 61-73 16%    
  Jan 21, 2024 358   St. Francis (PA) L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 27, 2024 359   LIU Brooklyn L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 01, 2024 298   @ Wagner L 55-70 10%    
  Feb 03, 2024 301   @ Sacred Heart L 66-81 10%    
  Feb 08, 2024 350   @ Stonehill L 64-74 20%    
  Feb 10, 2024 330   @ Merrimack L 57-70 14%    
  Feb 15, 2024 335   Central Connecticut St. L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 17, 2024 350   Stonehill L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 22, 2024 359   @ LIU Brooklyn L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 24, 2024 314   Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 29, 2024 298   Wagner L 58-67 22%    
  Mar 02, 2024 358   @ St. Francis (PA) L 67-76 23%    
Projected Record 4 - 23 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.5 3.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.6 3.5 0.5 0.0 13.6 7th
8th 0.3 2.8 6.9 7.9 4.0 0.8 0.0 22.6 8th
9th 6.1 12.2 13.1 8.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 43.7 9th
Total 6.1 12.4 15.9 16.4 14.4 11.6 8.8 5.8 4.0 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 79.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 51.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 20.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 47.1% 47.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.0% 44.7% 44.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.3% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.6% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6
10-6 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
9-7 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.2
8-8 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
7-9 5.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.8
6-10 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.8
5-11 11.6% 11.6
4-12 14.4% 14.4
3-13 16.4% 16.4
2-14 15.9% 15.9
1-15 12.4% 12.4
0-16 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.0% 0.3% 16.0 0.3