Preseason Rankings
Northeast
2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
298 Wagner 24.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 10 - 6 -7.4      -6.7 346 -0.7 197 58.5 354 0.0 1 0.0 1
301 Sacred Heart 25.1%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 14 10 - 6 -7.5      -3.1 274 -4.4 307 73.5 45 0.0 1 0.0 1
314 Fairleigh Dickinson 18.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 15 10 - 6 -8.5      -1.4 226 -7.1 352 71.2 102 0.0 1 0.0 1
330 Merrimack 12.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 9 - 7 -9.8      -10.5 360 +0.7 148 66.2 226 0.0 1 0.0 1
335 Central Connecticut St. 9.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -10.7      -5.7 330 -5.0 324 62.5 321 0.0 1 0.0 1
350 Stonehill 4.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 20 7 - 9 -12.6      -6.7 348 -5.8 343 66.9 209 0.0 1 0.0 1
358 St. Francis (PA) 2.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 18 7 - 9 -13.8      -6.5 343 -7.4 357 70.2 129 0.0 1 0.0 1
359 LIU Brooklyn 2.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 20 6 - 10 -14.6      -7.2 352 -7.4 358 79.7 6 0.0 1 0.0 1
362 Le Moyne 0.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 4 - 23 4 - 12 -19.6      -10.5 359 -9.1 361 68.1 173 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Wagner 3.1 28.8 19.8 15.2 12.0 9.1 6.5 4.7 2.8 1.0
Sacred Heart 3.1 28.5 19.8 15.6 11.9 9.4 6.5 4.7 2.7 1.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 3.5 22.0 18.2 15.8 13.3 10.7 8.4 6.2 3.9 1.6
Merrimack 4.0 16.2 15.5 15.1 13.8 12.6 10.5 8.4 5.6 2.3
Central Connecticut St. 4.4 12.5 13.0 14.1 13.6 13.6 12.2 9.9 7.3 3.8
Stonehill 5.1 6.8 9.0 10.9 12.6 14.3 14.3 13.8 11.7 6.6
St. Francis (PA) 5.6 4.7 6.7 9.2 10.7 12.9 14.6 15.6 15.6 10.0
LIU Brooklyn 5.9 3.8 5.5 7.5 10.0 11.9 14.2 16.8 17.7 12.5
Le Moyne 7.7 0.5 1.1 1.8 3.2 5.2 8.2 13.6 22.6 43.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Wagner 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.0 4.7 6.9 8.8 11.4 12.6 13.3 12.8 10.9 7.4 4.0 1.4
Sacred Heart 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.0 4.6 7.0 9.1 11.3 12.9 13.4 12.6 10.5 7.4 4.1 1.3
Fairleigh Dickinson 10 - 6 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.0 6.1 8.4 10.7 12.0 12.9 12.8 11.1 8.6 5.3 2.7 0.8
Merrimack 9 - 7 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.8 5.5 8.1 10.4 11.7 12.8 12.5 11.0 9.1 6.3 3.7 1.7 0.4
Central Connecticut St. 8 - 8 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.9 4.8 6.9 9.6 11.5 12.5 12.3 11.5 9.6 7.4 4.7 2.6 1.3 0.3
Stonehill 7 - 9 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.3 7.6 10.1 11.7 12.6 12.8 11.3 9.0 6.5 4.6 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
St. Francis (PA) 7 - 9 0.5 1.9 4.4 7.1 10.0 11.6 12.8 12.8 11.0 9.4 7.6 5.0 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 6 - 10 0.7 2.8 5.4 8.5 11.3 12.6 12.7 12.1 10.4 8.6 6.1 4.1 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
Le Moyne 4 - 12 6.1 12.4 15.9 16.4 14.4 11.6 8.8 5.8 4.0 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wagner 28.8% 19.7 7.3 1.5 0.3 0.0
Sacred Heart 28.5% 19.5 7.1 1.6 0.3 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 22.0% 14.3 6.1 1.4 0.2 0.0
Merrimack 16.2% 10.1 4.7 1.2 0.2 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 12.5% 7.5 3.6 1.1 0.2 0.0
Stonehill 6.8% 3.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 4.7% 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 3.8% 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Le Moyne 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wagner 24.8% 24.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.2 20.1 75.2 0.0%
Sacred Heart 25.1% 25.1% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.4 20.3 74.9 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 18.3% 18.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 15.4 81.7 0.0%
Merrimack 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 11.0 87.5 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 8.5 90.6 0.0%
Stonehill 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.4 95.2 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.5 97.4 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.1 97.8 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wagner 24.8% 15.1% 16.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 25.1% 15.2% 16.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 18.3% 11.9% 11.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 12.5% 8.8% 7.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 9.4% 7.0% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 4.8% 3.8% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 2.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 2.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 61.2% 0.6 38.8 61.2
2nd Round 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0