Preseason Rankings
Stonehill
Northeast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.6#350
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.9#209
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#348
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#343
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 9.7% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 11.6% 28.3% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 48.6% 65.4% 46.0%
Conference Champion 6.8% 13.7% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 11.0% 4.5% 12.0%
First Four3.8% 6.6% 3.3%
First Round2.5% 5.9% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 13.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 49 - 1210 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 238   @ George Washington L 68-80 14%    
  Nov 09, 2023 300   Army L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 11, 2023 6   @ Connecticut L 54-86 0.2%   
  Nov 14, 2023 136   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-81 6%    
  Nov 17, 2023 13   @ Kentucky L 54-85 0.3%   
  Nov 20, 2023 291   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 64-73 22%    
  Nov 26, 2023 232   @ Quinnipiac L 66-78 14%    
  Nov 29, 2023 179   Umass Lowell L 67-76 21%    
  Dec 02, 2023 297   Binghamton L 67-69 43%    
  Dec 06, 2023 255   @ Stony Brook L 61-71 19%    
  Dec 08, 2023 230   @ Rider L 62-74 15%    
  Dec 11, 2023 288   @ New Hampshire L 61-70 23%    
  Dec 21, 2023 30   @ Miami (FL) L 59-87 1%    
  Dec 30, 2023 51   @ Rutgers L 53-78 2%    
  Jan 04, 2024 335   Central Connecticut St. W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 06, 2024 359   LIU Brooklyn W 78-73 66%    
  Jan 13, 2024 314   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-78 28%    
  Jan 15, 2024 298   @ Wagner L 58-66 25%    
  Jan 19, 2024 314   Fairleigh Dickinson L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 21, 2024 330   @ Merrimack L 60-66 31%    
  Jan 25, 2024 359   @ LIU Brooklyn L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 01, 2024 301   @ Sacred Heart L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 03, 2024 298   Wagner L 61-63 43%    
  Feb 08, 2024 362   Le Moyne W 74-64 80%    
  Feb 10, 2024 358   @ St. Francis (PA) L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 15, 2024 330   Merrimack W 64-63 51%    
  Feb 17, 2024 362   @ Le Moyne W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 24, 2024 358   St. Francis (PA) W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 29, 2024 301   Sacred Heart L 72-74 43%    
  Mar 02, 2024 335   @ Central Connecticut St. L 64-69 34%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.4 2.3 0.6 0.1 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.3 5.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.9 6.1 2.0 0.1 0.0 14.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.2 5.7 1.7 0.1 14.3 6th
7th 0.4 2.1 5.3 4.7 1.3 0.1 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 2.8 4.3 3.0 0.7 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.6 9th
Total 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.3 7.6 10.1 11.7 12.6 12.8 11.3 9.0 6.5 4.6 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 92.7% 1.2    1.0 0.1
13-3 75.2% 2.0    1.3 0.6 0.0
12-4 43.4% 2.0    0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0
11-5 15.4% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 72.8% 72.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 54.0% 54.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2
14-2 1.2% 50.9% 50.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6
13-3 2.6% 31.1% 31.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8
12-4 4.6% 19.4% 19.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.7
11-5 6.5% 12.5% 12.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8 5.7
10-6 9.0% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 8.4
9-7 11.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 11.0
8-8 12.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.6
7-9 12.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.5
6-10 11.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.7
5-11 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
4-12 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
3-13 5.3% 5.3
2-14 2.6% 2.6
1-15 1.1% 1.1
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.4 95.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%