Preseason Rankings
Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#232
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.3#49
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#237
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#234
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% 11.7% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 65.1% 70.2% 40.5%
.500 or above in Conference 65.6% 69.0% 48.8%
Conference Champion 12.8% 14.1% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 4.7% 11.0%
First Four1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
First Round9.8% 10.8% 4.6%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 82.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 414 - 716 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 335   Central Connecticut St. W 75-65 83%    
  Nov 13, 2023 192   @ Massachusetts L 75-80 30%    
  Nov 17, 2023 300   @ Army W 75-74 54%    
  Nov 19, 2023 318   Albany W 78-70 77%    
  Nov 26, 2023 350   Stonehill W 78-66 86%    
  Dec 01, 2023 269   @ Canisius L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 03, 2023 258   @ Niagara L 67-68 45%    
  Dec 08, 2023 277   Navy W 72-66 69%    
  Dec 11, 2023 68   Yale L 68-76 23%    
  Dec 18, 2023 327   @ Holy Cross W 76-73 60%    
  Dec 21, 2023 293   @ Lafayette W 67-66 51%    
  Dec 30, 2023 36   @ Florida L 66-84 6%    
  Jan 05, 2024 230   Rider W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 07, 2024 325   Manhattan W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 12, 2024 272   @ Marist L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 19, 2024 266   @ Siena L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 21, 2024 148   Iona L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 25, 2024 250   Mount St. Mary's W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 28, 2024 257   @ Fairfield L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 02, 2024 325   @ Manhattan W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 04, 2024 269   Canisius W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 08, 2024 279   St. Peter's W 68-62 68%    
  Feb 10, 2024 250   @ Mount St. Mary's L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 18, 2024 258   Niagara W 70-65 64%    
  Feb 23, 2024 257   Fairfield W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 25, 2024 230   @ Rider L 70-73 40%    
  Mar 01, 2024 148   @ Iona L 71-79 26%    
  Mar 03, 2024 266   Siena W 75-70 67%    
  Mar 07, 2024 272   Marist W 72-67 67%    
  Mar 09, 2024 279   @ St. Peter's L 65-66 49%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.6 3.1 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.2 12.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.9 4.4 3.5 1.7 0.4 0.1 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.6 4.3 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.0 4.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.7 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 3.4 3.6 1.1 0.1 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.0 3.4 1.1 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.9 1.1 0.1 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.3 0.9 0.1 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 5.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.5 11th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.1 4.7 6.0 7.7 9.0 9.6 10.3 10.2 9.6 8.3 6.8 4.8 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
18-2 97.0% 1.8    1.6 0.1
17-3 86.3% 2.6    2.1 0.6 0.0
16-4 63.5% 3.1    2.1 0.9 0.1
15-5 38.7% 2.6    1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0
14-6 16.5% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.8% 12.8 8.3 3.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 80.5% 74.7% 5.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.9%
19-1 0.8% 65.6% 65.3% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.8%
18-2 1.8% 48.1% 48.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9
17-3 3.0% 41.6% 41.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8
16-4 4.8% 30.2% 30.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 3.4
15-5 6.8% 23.6% 23.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 5.2
14-6 8.3% 16.6% 16.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 7.0
13-7 9.6% 12.4% 12.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 8.4
12-8 10.2% 7.8% 7.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 9.4
11-9 10.3% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.7
10-10 9.6% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.2
9-11 9.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.8
8-12 7.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 7.5
7-13 6.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.9
6-14 4.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.6
5-15 3.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.1
4-16 2.1% 2.1
3-17 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.5 3.1 3.1 89.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 6.1 33.3 33.3 29.2 4.2